The Lakers are heavy favorites to force a Game 6
pic.twitter.com/2jU8UNV5uo— Lakers All Day Everyday (@LADEig) April 28, 2025
NBA confirms that the refs missed a foul call on Jaden McDaniels for tripping Luka at end of the game pic.twitter.com/F5KDPBTyDi— LakeShowYo (@LakeShowYo) April 28, 2025
The basketball gods have not yet given up on the Los Angeles Lakers. They’ve just raised the bar on the kind of heroics that are going to be required for the Lakers to pull off a miraculous championship run.
Right now, the Lakers’ only path to this year’s championship is to pull off a rare 1–3 comeback by beating the Timberwolves 3 straight playoff games, something that’s only been done 13 times and only once by the Lakers. However, the Lakers have two things going for them that give them a remote chance to beat the Wolves 3 straight games: LeBron, who pulled off a 1–3 comeback in the NBA Finals and home court in 2 of the 3 games left.
So while the basketball gods did not intervene to prevent the zebras from stealing Game 4 from the Lakers, they did leave the purple and gold with a challenging-but-not-impossible path to survive the first round of playoffs.
The key game is obviously Game 5 in Los Angeles on Wednesday night. The Lakers desperately need a wire-to-wire big win to restore their confidence and keep the series alive. Win that game, go 2–3, and everything changes.
The Lakers are then within one game of tying the series and regaining home court advantage. Yes, they do have to win Game 6 on Friday night in Minnesota but if they do, they suddenly turn the tables on the Wolves.
The series then returns to Los Angeles on Sunday tied 3–3 with the Lakers once again the favorite to move on. That’s the dramatic comeback ending the basketball gods are demanding this year from the Los Angeles Lakers.
So the good news is the Lakers still have a chance to win a championship but they will need to play much better on offense and defense than they played in the first four games. So let’s look at what the Lakers need to do.
1. PLAY SMALL BALL
There is no question the Lakers best strategy in this series is to play small ball. JJ Redick probably should have benched Jaxson Hayes earlier as the spacing DFS provides makes the half court offense so much better.
2. SLOW GAME DOWN
Getting into a run-and-gun high scoring game against the Wolves is not going to be to the Lakers’ advantage. No live ball turnovers or leaking out to fast break. End every defensive possession with a rebound.
3. CUT DOWN ON FOULS
The Wolves are shooting 2 more free throws per game than the Lakers, a reversal over the regular season when L.A. averaged 2 more free throws per game than Minnesota. L.A. needs to defend with feet, not hands.
4. PLAY MORE PLAYERS
JJ’s big gamble on playing his Death Lineup the entire second half would have paid off big had it worked and they still have Wednesday to recover. Going forward, the Lakers need to play more players to avoid injuries.
5. SHOOT MORE THREES
The Lakers biggest differential so far in the Timberwolves series has been their +5.1 ppg in 3-point shooting differential. There is no other area where the Lakers can potentially improve their performance than threes.
LAKERS CAN STILL SAVE LEGACY SEASON!Despite overzealous zebras taking over the playoffs, I still believe the basketball gods have not yet given up on JJ Redick, LeBron James, Luka Doncic and the Los Angeles Lakers. Despite the Lakers being down 1-3, there is still a very… https://t.co/UR0Xypjr8I pic.twitter.com/AnmIycXMto— LakerTom (@LakerTom) April 28, 2025
Los Angeles Lakers finally put an end to miserable season https://t.co/vjdB7BJ9tZ— LakerTom (@LakerTom) April 28, 2025
Redick says decision to make no subs in second half wasn’t planned, not second guessing choice https://t.co/rSxr8m8s1U— LakerTom (@LakerTom) April 28, 2025
5 Reasons Los Angeles Lakers Should Panic After Loss vs. Minnesota Timberwolves https://t.co/p0qQT9qqxq— LakerTom (@LakerTom) April 28, 2025
The LA Lakers most disappointing player in the NBA Playoffs looks totally lost vs Minnesota Timberwolves https://t.co/id377adccq— LakerTom (@LakerTom) April 28, 2025
WOLVES BEAT LAKERS IN WILD ENDING TO TAKE 3-1 SERIES LEAD 🤯😳 pic.twitter.com/hmMZO04ljB— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) April 27, 2025
JJ Redick calls out the refs "Luka got tripped. That was a blatant trip. He doesn't just fall on his own. We should have been at the free throw line. He got fouled"(h/t @ohnohedidnt24 ) pic.twitter.com/r4Kixc3eg5— NBACentral (@TheDunkCentral) April 27, 2025
LeBron when trailing 2-1 in a series:👑 happened 11 times👑 7-4 record in those series’👑 has won the last 4 series’ (6 of the last 7) 👑 averages 31 PPG | 11 RPG | 8 APG | 51% FG in those Game 4’s(via @Ballislife) pic.twitter.com/Zm1f7zC1gl— Witness King James (@WITNESSKJ) April 26, 2025
Down 1 game to 2 to the Wolves, the Lakers are already being forced to play their second ‘Must Win’ game in just their fourth playoff game tomorrow. Win and Lakers are back on track. Lose and everybody’s legacy crumbles.
Will Luka Doncic be over his stomach illness and ready to play Sunday? Will LeBron James be able to repeat his terrific performance after playing heavy minutes and carrying a heavy load during Friday night’s tough loss? What changes will the Lakers’ JJ Redick and the Timberwolves Chris Finch have for their opponents on Sunday? Will the Lakers bench Jaxson Hayes and go small ball or will the Wolves bench Gobert in favor of Naz Reid?
If Luka and LeBron can somehow will the Lakers to victory on Sunday, LA would not only tie the series at 2 games apiece but also regain home court advantage and be headed back to LA for 2 of the 3 games left in the series.
A win on Sunday would leave the Lakers perfectly positioned to make a deep playoff run, playing series vs. the Timberwolves, Rockets, Thunder, and likely Celtics while avoiding the Clippers, Nuggets, and Warriors.
But lose on Sunday and suddenly what looked like a possible Cinderella winning-the-big-prize ending for LeBron James, Luka Doncic, Rob Pelinka, JJ Redick, and the Lakers becomes an embarrassing first round exit.
But give credit to Anthony Edwards and the Minnesota Timberwolves. They may be young and lack experience but they’ve also been the ones who’ve come through when the game was on the line, not the Lakers veterans.
Sunday’s game is a ‘Must Win’ game to save the Los Angeles Lakers’ season and the legacies of their superstars. Here are 5 changes JJ Redick can make to help win the Lakers win Game 4 and spark a deep championship run.
1. PLAY SMALL BALL
The time’s come for JJ Redick to fully embrace small ball and analytics and start Dorian Finney-Smith and Gabe Vincent in place of Jaxson Hayes and Rui Hachimura to surround Luka, LeBron, and Austin with more shooting.
In 3 playoff games, the Lakers current starting lineup of Doncic, Reaves, Hachimura, James, and Hayes has an offensive rating of 87.8, defensive rating of 136.6, and net rating of -48.8. It’s LA’s 7th worst 5-man lineup.
In contrast, the 5-man lineup of Doncic, Vincent, Reaves, Finney-Smith, and James has an offensive rating of 186.7, a defensive rating of 75.0, and a net rating of +111.7, It’s the Lakers’ top rated 5-man lineup in the playoffs.
The Lakers cannot afford to play from behind in Game 4 like they did in Game 3. Playing from behind just takes too much out of a team. Getting off to a great start in Game 4 will be critical for the Lakers chances to win.
2. SLOW GAME DOWN
The Lakers cannot beat the Wolves if they continue to making live ball turnovers that lead to easy fast break points. The Lakers 19 turnovers resulted in 28 Timberwolves points and was the main reason for losing.
Instead of leaking out trying to get out and run, the Lakers need to focus on securing the possession ending rebound and taking good care of the ball in transition so as not to cough up those live ball turnovers the are killers.
The Lakers need to understand that low-scoring games are to their benefit as the older and less athletic team whereas high-scoring games are likely more beneficial to the younger and more athletic Timberwolves players.
The Lakers want to run when the opportunity presents itself, which will usually be off a live ball turnover they create. Their first priority should be to slow the game down to avoid needless turnovers and control the pace.
3. CUT DOWN ON FOULS
The Timberwolves are not only winning the physicality battle but have also prevented the Lakers from getting their usual advantage via made free throws. So far, the Lakers have shot 56 free throws to the Wolves 55.
The Wolves are counting on the refs not being able to call enough fouls to deter them if they are overly physical. The Lakers must be careful to keep their hands in like against SGA to cut down on free throws the Wolves get.
In a critical Game 4, the Lakers need every edge they can get. During the regular season, they received 23.2 FTA per game while their opponents only received 20.5 FTA per game, a differential of 2.7 points per game.
The Lakers want to slow the game down without junking it up and avoiding sending their opponents to the free throw line has be be a major objective during Game 4. The Lakers also need to make their free throws in Game 4.
4. STOP TARGETING RUDY
Hopefully, Luka will be fully recovered from his illness and ready to go. Rather than pounding the ball looking to make Rudy look foolish, Luka needs to focus on getting into the offense and sharing the ball earlier.
Game 4 is a game where the Lakers will need the best of both of their superstars if they are going to win and regain home court advantage. Playing Luka off the court actually hurts the Lakers in the long run.
We need the Luka and LeBron to each post 30/10/10 games and Austin to bounce back with a 20/5/5 game. The focus by Luka and LeBron has to be to score as well as get their teammates going with easy baskets off assists.
This is the Lakers’ second ‘Must Win’ game out of four games and, win or lose, Game 5 will likely be an even more important ‘Must Win’ game. Lakers don’t have time to be fooling around trying to embarrass Rudy Gobert.
5. SHOOT MORE THREES
The Lakers need to take and make more threes. At least 50 attempts per game. It’s the only way they can counter their lack of front court positional size compared to the Wolves’ Rudy Gobert and Naz Reid center rotation
The Lakers won the 3-point differential Friday night, making 17 of 40 vs. Wolves 13 of 36 threes. Unfortunately, they used so much energy coming back that they were unable to match the Wolves’ threes down the stretch.
Tomorrow, the Lakers need to surround Luka, LeBron, and Austin with 3-point shooters and focus on slowing the game down, running smart plays, freely sharing the ball, and finding and making wide-open 3-point shots.
The Lakers recorded 17 makes out of 40 takes from deep on Friday night. This Sunday, look for them to make 20 threes out of 50 attempts as they win Game 4 wire-to-wire to setup a return to Los Angeles for a killer Game 5.
LEGACIES ON THE LINE AS LAKERS AGAIN FALL BEHIND!It was the 23-year old budding superstar and his young and inexperienced team that outshone the 40-year old GOAT and his experienced cohorts down the stretch to take a 2-1 series lead and put the legacies of the Los Angeles… pic.twitter.com/H8JShq72M4— LakerTom (@LakerTom) April 26, 2025
Anthony Edwards DROPS 29 PTS, 8 REB, 8 AST, 2 STL as the Timberwolves DEFEAT the Lakers 116-104 MINNESOTA TAKE A 2-1 SERIES LEAD 🐺 pic.twitter.com/JFbPdzbHhe— Basketball Forever (@bballforever_) April 26, 2025
WHAT'S HAPPENED TO LAKERS' OFFENSE?It's only 2 games but the Lakers are only averaging 94.5 points per game and shooting just 42.4% from the field and 30.0% from deep. If not for great defensive in Game 2, the Lakers could easily be down 2-0 at home. At any rate, if the Lakers… pic.twitter.com/h8NdDsuCrh— LakerTom (@LakerTom) April 25, 2025
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