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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Me either, and it was nice to see Koloko get some run. Looks rusty but that’s expected.
What’s concerning, if not all that surprising given that we ran it back, is that we’re losing games the same way we did last season. Which means, in a lot of ways, it ain’t the coach but the personnel that’s the true issue. I think that we’re seeing that play out now.
Rebounding continues to be the Achilles Heel and you can add in transition defense and a lack of paint protection now, too. Part of it is a lack of talented size, some of it is we need a 40 year old on the floor to score enough points to win, and some of it is either a bad scheme or the players not fully executing the scheme (my personal jury is still out and waiting 20 or so games on that one).
The step forward we all hoped/needed one of Reaves/DLO/Hachimura or Christie to take hasn’t really materialized, at least not anything consistent. That’s not a knock on anyone but rathe the sobering reality of a team that had it’s two best players on the floor for the majority of the games last season and ended up in the Playin all the same. That indicates someone other than AD or LeBron needs to become a bigger factor.
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Last year our starting unit was 21-8 down the stretch with a 110 defensive rating. The biggest difference is we were shooting a great percentage and not turning the ball over much. That has killed our transition defense. We also had Prince and Dinnwedie coming of the bench in stead of Christie and Dalton. Both were good defenders and Prince was shooting the 3 like we hoped Dalton would. I really do think we will be better when Vando and Wood come back. After that Dalton or Christie really have improve.
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Wow, great post, Jamie!
Regarding your point about Dalton and the need to start Cam for some much-needed energy in the lineup, I absolutely agree! Cam has shown his value on the court, especially since he’s playing for his NBA life. He really was a spark plug for us last season, and it feels like Coach Reddick is overlooking this healthy, energetic guy in favor of others. You’re spot on about Cam. In fact, he is the only player with a positive +/- in the last two games.
The last five games highlight our current struggle: the lack of a strong bench. Remember when we prided ourselves on the depth of our roster? We called them the “bench mob” for a reason!
Just the other day, I expressed my frustration over not keeping Jay Huff and Scotie Pippen Jr. Why in the world are we hanging on to Maxwell Lewis and JHS? It feels like we’re gifting talent to the Grizzlies, who are now proving us wrong with those players. Collin Castleton has just been added to that list after moving from the Lakers. This early in the season, I really don’t think we should be locked into that 9-man rotation you mentioned. We need to rethink our strategy! Great post; keep the conversation going!
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Nice post Jamie, after looking at the schedule if asked before the season I would have been pleased with a 3-2 start. the Suns game was the one that hurt. could have won that one. just a couple of things. Austin and Rui’s offense have been big parts of our success and each only got 6 shots. thats on JJ. the other thing is our transistion defense will get better once we reduce that mountain of live ball turnovers to atleast a hill. So many of them have occurred at mid court leading to a unreal amont of 3 on 1 fast breaks for the opposition. The imprtant thing now is to win the games we should win. we didnt always do that last year. our next two are games we should win. go Lakers.
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Good Fiver, Jamie.
Overall, I’m happy with the 3-2 start. We have a good chance to finish 7-3 for first 10 games. I had predicted 8-2 but the loss to the Suns probably made that improbable
This team has potential to be a legitimate contender if healthy. Having Vando, Wood, and Koloko would have been a huge difference maker in our two losses. We can dominate the Suns if healthy. The Cavs are a different story. Their 3rd, 4th, and 5th players trump our 3 non-superstar starters. We simply had no answer for their size in the front court.
I am concerned about LeBron and his battle with Father Time. Seeing him disappear against the Suns and then seeing the entire team disappear against the Cavs should be a wake up call for Rob Pelinka. We cannot wait until Vando, Wood, and Koloko are healthy. We just TOO SMALL.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Nice 5er Jaime, I agree with everything thing except one point. I don’t believe Max has tap out on his potential. The Kids 21. Dalton is 2 years older. For the most part I have liked his defensive energy but you are right, his offense leaves a lot to be desired. And you are also correct with Vando. When he comes back he will be coming in for LeBron, not Max. With Dalton filling the role of Austin’s backup Max will probably be reduced to spot minutes. Although I still am not sure if a 9 man rotation is best over a long season. Our first 3 games have been against 3 quality teams and it’s early so the heavy starter minutes are justified. But as the season progresses I think it would be wise to reduce those minutes some. This is where Max could fit in.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Great piece. What I like about the team is the poise, and how organized they were from start to finish. The best thing? Fewer turnovers. The first season opener win since 2016 – 2017 season? That’s 8 years ago. Great win!!
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
What a journey for that young man. Facing a Brandon Roy-like end to his career it was really nice to see him play and play pretty well. While I doubt he’ll ever be able to play anything close to a starter’s role he could end up being a key piece off the bench for a good team if he can stay relatively healthy. Congrats to him and all of his hard work just to get back in the floor.
2 Comments -
Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Lotta bad, early shot clock threes. But at least we shot 40 of ‘em lol.
Really bad defense and not much effort or focus on cleaning the glass.
Looked like a team that had either partied in Vegas or was looking forward to it.
AD was great. Not much positive after that.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Bummer, wish he was a part of our staff. Can understand why JJ would maybe be against it (or even if the front office just doesn’t have the same relationship that Doc and RR do) but if the goal is to have guys who grind and have a deep understanding of the game then NOT having Rondo around feels like a crime.
Reading about it makes me respect the dude so much, he’s coming at the (eventual) job the right way. Or at least in a way that makes sense to me: study under a great, observe what it really means, be involved in camp, improve on that as time goes on.
Hey, there is a small silver lining here, he might be primed to take the job about the time JJ gets canned lol.
All kidding aside, he’s possessed of an uncanny mind when it comes to basketball. Wish he was here instead of Milwaukee.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Not sure if his own doctors or ours didn’t suggest surgery but it now looks short sighted…
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Aloha Jamie, I may not be as concerned by the defense as a lot of folks. Although the center position does concern me. We were shredded when AD rested. The first part of the year we had one of the better defensive rankings in the league but we often found ourselves 10 to 14 points behind by the end of the first quarter. When we went with the offensive line up that stopped happening. I think that Vando and Gabe will be big for us if they can stay healthy. Last year we simply did not have guys to bring in when we really needed tough defense. I’m hoping that growth from some of our younger guys will help our defense. Last year Austin’s defense started to improve, towards the end of the year, hopefully that trend continues. Rui is actually a pretty good on ball defender. His problem was more about getting lost in his rotations and he found himself chasing the play at times. Fortunately that is something that is easier to correct than on ball ability. His defensive rating was 113.9 as a starter, while the teams rating was 118 over that stretch. I also have high hopes for Max. He did look very good at times on defense, he made young guy mistakes but NBA defense is the last to develop. Hopefully he will be more consistent. Woods defense was better than advertised when he played the 4. While the sample size was small the front line of LeBron. AD and Wood were plus 22 per 100 possession. Jackson isn’t bulky enough to bang but hopefully he can learn to use that athleticism to do a better job of protecting the rim. This team has a lot of fire power so if we can improve the defense some we can be dangerous. Still hoping we can find a banger at some point.
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I’m ho early not too worried at all about scoring the ball, stopping the other team is a big concern for me.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Personally, can only speak for myself, I’m more impressed with the fact that the US women hoopers are on the verge of a 60 game Olympic winning streak than at the comeback I saw today. That, my friends, is what dominance looks like.
Let’s go ladies!!!!
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Which means basically for a year, or whenever draft day is next summer. No surprise here, Jazz brass (Trader Danny) never really “dangled” LM, they just never said he was off limits. If you play for a team with Ainge as the GM you should probably know, or gain the knowledge, that any player can be had…for the right over-prince.
When that deal didn’t emerge this was the smartest path. Lock him up for 5 years, $238 mil and start building. After this season, depending on how he actually plays (and how much) it will be interesting to see what his market is. $40+ mil for a guy who hasn’t even taken a team to the playoffs is steep. Even LaVine has at least been the key player on playoff rosters. Yes, he’s technically an All-Star…once. So this should be interesting to see unfold.
What doesn’t change is how far under the minimum salary floor the Jazz or that they need to sign at least 2 players in order to meet the minimum roster requirements. Still something brewing over there just hard to discern what it could be.
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Actually Jamie, they actually were allowed to add 24 mil to this years contract so the Jazz are now over the floor. They still need to add 3 players though.
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I am left with bad feelings. The Lakers’ overall inactivity during the offseason raised my eyebrows initially, but then the painful sting took over. As a fan, I am worried that missed opportunities may come back to haunt the team in the 2024-25 season.
I am fully invested in their performance, so the inaction worsened things for me. Let’s hope for a successful season ahead!
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
On our podcast over the weekend the topic of the salary floor came up. I nonchalantly asked the panel if anyone knew what the penalty for not meeting said floor was since I had no clue. LT confidently said, “they just pay the excess into a fund that goes to the league office.” which seemed kind of sensible enough and so I left it at that.
The way my brain works has always been funny, even to me. I generally don’t stop and think about something, it’s more like a kitchen with 8 or 9 dishes in various stages of completion. Throughout the day my mind drifted back to LT’s answer, mainly because the more I thought about it the more it felt out of line with Adam Silver’s campaign to even out competitive balance. The penalties for over-spending felt extremely harsh when compared to “and if you don’t spend enough, just send us a check and we’ll throw ourselves a pizza party!”
So today on my lunch break I did my own research and found that the answer provided to me was incorrect. The penalties for not meeting the NBA minimum salary floor are almost as extreme as pushing past the second apron. I don’t post this just to zing LT, that’s a semi-amusing side effect, at best. I post this because it affects a lot of what could happen in the next month or so. SO here it is, at long last, the not asked for at all rules on the NBA Minimum Salary Floor!!!!!
-Beginning in 2024/25, a team whose salary is below the minimum floor at the start of the regular season won’t receive a share of the end-of-season luxury tax payouts. (last season it was just 50%, this is important because small market owners absolutely rely on this windfall to turn a profit)
-A team whose salary is below the minimum floor at the start of the season will have a cap hold added to its salary in order to reach the minimum floor. For instance, a team with a $117,418,000 salary on opening night in 2023/24 would have a $5MM cap hold added to its salary to reach the $122,418,000 floor and would be unable to immediately access that $5MM of cap room. (For Utah that would be a whopping $21, 983, 000+ million dollar cap hold!)
-A team that begins the season below the floor cannot reduce the shortfall amount it will owe at the end of the season by spending on player salaries during the season. For example, a team that starts the season $5MM below the floor would owe no less than $5MM at the end of the season. The shortfall amount that club owes could increase if its team salary dips further than $5MM below the floor by the end of the season.
So not only would Utah owe nearly $22 mil in league payments they would be denied any payments from the luxury tax pool in addition to having a cap hold imposed on them throughout the season making it more difficult to swing a massive trade or sign someone who is waived. That is nothing to sneeze at folks. Especially for a small market team like the Jazz who aren’t selling out the arena, aren’t the benefactors of a mega local cable market and are one of the more fiscally responsible teams out there.
Now it is possible they could take a one-season hit. After all, Ryan Smith’s net worth is 2.2 billion. It’s just hard for me to see a guy who knows how money works simply throw money away or sacrifice his GM’s team building flexibility.
All of this is to say I expect the Jazz to be involved in some kind of deal where they absorb salary for the cost of a couple picks, maybe even a 1st rounder or 2 . The are plenty of (Zach LaVine) contracts out there that a team would be happy (Zach LaVine) to move (Zach) for a draft pick without taking back more than one (LaVine) player (Zach LaVine). Maybe Zach LaVine…? They can send out my man Jordan Clarkson and balance out the roster and sign some decent talent from the Olympics. It’d be great to see Wenyan get back into the NBA or something like that.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Well, at least we didn’t lose Cam Reddish! Rob has been utterly out GM’d this summer by the entire Association. Putting a lotta eggs in the “better health/no regression” baskets. We’ll see how that works out. Seems like getting Tyus for the cost of moving Cam via a 2nd rounder would have been worth it given our seeming intent to trade DLo and Vincent’s health concerns coupled with Reaves being only decent at running the point. But what do I know?
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There’s a point where Jeanie has to see Rob Pelinka has to go. The indecision and lack of confidence has paralyzed our front office.
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I’m going to give Robb a pass. I’m sure he tried to move some guys. But this is a brave new NBA world. The Nuggets had to send 3 2nd round picks for the Hornets to take Reggie Jackson. The Lakers only have 4 2nd round picks. The few sellers are trying to cash in with over pricing players, knowing there isn’t much inventory out there. I have been critical of Robb for years but I don’t see this as his fault.
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I’m assuming brave is in the sarcasm font? Not disagreeing but the fact is Max Christie’s market was not sooooo scorching he needed to be the first move. Speaking of Max I can think of 3 players off the top of my head who I’d have used the MLE his deal would have opened up. Jones, Trent Jr. or Drummond. I’d have even preferred keeping Dinwiddie. But we had to rectify Rob’s mistake of only signing him to a 2 year rookie deal. Feel free to be critical, he’s earned it.
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Remember Jamie Robb could only sign him for 2 years without giving him MLE money. Thats changed now and it’s act called the Pelinka rule.
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All I’m saying is we dictated Max’s value, not the market. This in turn forced us into begging at the ATM of LeBeon to take massive pay cut to engage the TPMLE since I honestly never bought into him taking a $20+ mil cut. Based on the market for proven commodities like Jones and Trent Jr. it’s real hard for me to see Max getting what he got on the open market. I’d take the MLE over Max. He could be a good player but he has a lot of growth to do to live up that deal based on our actual roster needs. He’s the 4th…maybe 5th…guard in the rotation behind DLo, Reaves, Vincent and maybe even DK. I’m just not seeing the logic.
I called running back a couple months ago and nothing has changed that opinion but that doesn’t mean I won’t be astounded by illogic as I have been thus far. All I can come up with is that FO planned for or more of Wood. Hayes, and Cam to walk. That’s a bad plan when they’re your margin for error.
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Nice Post Jamie, I never am optimistic when AD is out. I knew defense would be a problem. What was weird was it really wasn’t the stars that killed us. It was Pippin as you mention, that rookie wells, I think he hit 5 3’s And Jay Huff, another South Bay Laker alum. I liked him then and he is more like the back up 5 we need now. But it boiled down to shooting, which I thought would be the case. We missed a ton of open 3’s. We were 15 for 48 while they were 17 for 34. That was basically the difference. Austin and Dlo were a combine 4 for 18 and Dalton was 1 for 7. This year reminds me of last year at the beginning of the season when we lost games because we couldn’t hit open shots. We have to be better. I agree on Cam, he has been a bright spot. He started well last year to before a series of injuries seemed to derail his game. Hopefully he stays healthy. By the way my birthday is Saturday. We are almost birthday bro’s.😊