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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
I, for one, am happy the trade with the Hornets got pulled back. Even if 100% healthy I felt that Knecht and an unprotected FRP AND a pick swap was just too much for a guy who replicates someone we already have in Jaxson Hayes. Factor in the injury history and it really becomes a no-brainer. For me.
Thankfully, divine intervention was also able to convince the front office, as well. I’m sure Dalton and Cam would rather not have been traded but no better way to learn the at the NBA is first and foremost a business than by being involved in a trade that doesn’t happen.
Look in at the trade in hindsight, and reading between the lines in the myriad of clickbait news articles published about it, one starts to realize a few things:
1) This trade, while made for Luka, was as much about maximizing what’s left of LeBron’s window as much as anything else. LeBron is the small ball center in most lineups without AD and this would have been lessened with the acquisition of Williams.
2) Luka and Hayes share a fondness and Luke has advocated trading for Hayes at multiple points during his time in Dallas. Makes you wonder who leaked the “story” about this being a trade to appease Luka?
3) Hayes is playing some of his best basketball ever right now. Again, I feel like a broken record on this one, Williams was a decent center on a bad team. In his very small sample size he put up OK numbers but the Hornets have barely been in playin contention since his arrival. Injuries to LaMelo (and Williams) has certainly played a part in all that…but it is fair to wonder what impact he would have on winning on this team.
4) Lastly, this shrinks the amount of integration we need to put Coach Reddick through, he now just has to find a role for nova super star Luka.While messy, I truly believe this is the best outcome. Even if we move forward as-is I’m OK with Hayes and Morris as the backup with DFS and LeBron being small ball 5s when needed. Backup bigs are the first position to get played off the court in the playoffs. If Wood ever plays he’ll still have a role. We can waive Cam, or wait for rosters to expand, if we feel an urgent need for another big man.
Me? I’ve been, and will continue to be, cool with Hayes.
Why?
He’s a high fly act for a center. Faster and more mobile than most bigs but he needs to take advantage of this better. He’s an underrated passer (currently averaging 1 assist for the season but since moving into the starting five he’s averaging 2/game which is great for how much he handles the ball, he just finds the open man and moves the offensive possession forward). Every meaningful stat is up since he assumed full time starter duties. He’s on a minimum, expiring contract so keeping him ought not to be a challenge this summer.
Like Williams, he fits into Luka’s timeline and can augment LeBron right now. Only we didn’t ever have to give up a damn thing to find this out. C’est la vie, and here’s hoping this motivates DK4 to find the early season vibe he had going.
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Price they paid for Williams was the price I was willing to pay for Kessler. Rob a little too eager to please Luka. We’ll do better this summer. I suspect Lakers changed their mind and were looking for way out when physical came. There will be better options for what we’re willing to pay this summer. In meantime, Jax is playing well and doing everything we need.
I love JJ’s move to simply trap and double the leading scorers on the other team and trust our smarts, speed, and quickness to rotate in time to create chaos and turnovers rather than allowed opposing teams to hunt and target our weaker defenders. This is how we protect Reaves, Jaxson, and Doncic. It worked against the Knicks, Clippers, Warriors, and Pacers. It’s best defense for Luka and Austin.
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My concern with Jackson has been his weight. At 220 he is moved around by bulky centers. I do know that we need to add another center. If something were to happen to Jackson, we can’t exclusively play small. There have been rumors swirling that Wood may not come back this year. And Wood is a small ball center as well. We need to do one of two things. Cut someone now and add a center. Currently Mo Bamba is probably the best option. Or we can wait and use our two way guys. Whoever is looking the best before the end of the season, we can cut a player then and add the two way, since they are already on the roster we can do that. I would honestly like them to figure it out before the all star break so they have the time to incorporate whoever into the system.
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Re: “3) Hayes is playing some of his best basketball ever right now.”
I completely agree. That was why I wanted for us to re-sign him last offseason. Not only is Mark Williams going to replicate what Hayes does, but Hayes is an energizer bunny. He is real fun and brings lots of energy to the team. Every team needs a player like that. Thanks for the good post, Jamie!!
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Nice post Jamie, I like this group. They are young with room to grow, but good enough to compete now. Williams is not AD but Luka picks up the scoring that AD brought and Williams should provide the rebounding. Nearly 10 boards a game in 26 minutes. Health is an issue but he just turned 23 and his upside is worth the risk. The Lakers could have a couple of moves left. They will see if there is a player of interest on the buyout market. They could also add one of the two way centers by cutting Morris. A rookie prorated salary will only cost about 1/2 a mil towards the cap. We are 3.8 mil under the 2nd apron so we easily could do both. The South Bay Lakers just signed another center so I think a promotion for one of the two ways will probably happen for depth.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
That’s at a minimum, that kind of injury has to fully heal or you’re looking at something potentially serious and could threaten the season. This will certainly sink the road trip and, depending on how long he’s out, maybe the season.
We already know this team only goes as far as AD can take us. I think there are 2 questions the Lakers need to really confront honestly:
1) Is this season still worth going all in on of AD missed extended time?
2) Is AD really the guy you want to build around?The Shams interview showed us he still is pining to play the 4 even though that weakens the starting line up significantly as it forces LeBron to the 3 where he cannot keep up defensively.
AD has issues being the offensive focal point, issues staying on the floor and had benefitted greatly from operating in the shadow of LeBron.
If you’re not building the team around AD it stands to reason you deal with his background issues and desires and keep him at his best position: center.
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Dan Woike, the LA Times beat reporter reported that the Lakers are viewing the injury as not very serious. Hope they are right.
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To be fair to AD Jamie, he was healthy the last 3rd of the season 2 years ago, leading us the the conference finals. He only missed 6 games last year and 3 this year with parts of 2 others. So that is a good stretch.
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For me it’s everything above, not just his health. I love AD but I do not see him as a player you build a team around at this point. He’s like Pau Gasol, an excellent second option and a solid all around second best player. Our current issue is our best player is 40 and only plays on offense now, none of this is sustainable.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Great to see Vando back on the court. Now let’s add in Christian Wood to mix and see what we got. Any update on Wood’s status?
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Great post Jamie. The defense has come alive. That’s great defensive efforts over the last 3 games. I know the Wizards are but we held them 20 under their season average. I think with Max and his rapid development, adding DFS and Vando coming back, we have a solid defensive core to go along with AD. Actually Gabe’s been good to. He was also great against Curry. It was kind of amazing that looked like his old self on the first day back. I’m sure he will be limited for awhile. 12 to 15 minutes of that kind of play is still valuable. LeBron, Rui, DFS and Vando is a great forward rotation. It’s also nice that Dalton is hitting his 3’s again. He is now 9 for 16 over his last 4 games. I’m not sure what we can get done at the deadline, another center would be nice but I also do not want to give up a lot of salaries for another center either. The good news is is we are playing well and can wait to see if asking prices come down before the deadline.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
This time of year always cracks me up. BS online rumors whip folks into a typing frenzy. “Insiders” claiming this and that star are all disgruntled with this or that front office. So much sound and fury…signifying nothing.
If you’re a big fan of the “Throw Pasta at the Wall and See What Sticks!!!” game then, my friend, this is the time of the NBA year for you! Big fan of unsubstantiated BS? Welcome to the last 2 weeks before the NBA trad deadline! Like to follow fellow bloggers posing as journalists? You, too, can report on potential NBA trades that have to no actual chance of going down.
Some enjoy this time of year, getting as worked up as the other “news” outlets in their “Could the Lakers REALLY trade for the Eastern Conference ALL Star team?!?!?!” level of mania. Me? I find it exhausting and boring. It doesn’t take much to pick apart most of these ludicrous deals floating around.
LBJ and AD are…(gasp)…DISGRUNTLED!!!!! Even if true, what of it? AD is under contract until close to the next decade and we all honestly would just prefer LeBron retire. Neither is Jimmy Butler Nuclear Disgruntled and neither is doing anything on the court to show just how truly disgruntled they are. I’m disgruntled, you’re not human if you’re blithely happy about everything. They’re fine.
“The Lakers could get _______ number of these players for ______ and ____ # of draft picks!” In theory, sure. Anything is technically possible but let’s look at some facts:
-Only one team has a decent amount of cap space to help facilitate capped teams in a trade and that is Detroit. Detroit who has a team very much on the rise and is just as leery of tying their finances up with bad contracts as any other team. With a little over $14 mil in cap space Detroit holds every single card as to how that space will get used up. If it even does. They’re 6th in the east and beating good teams. They have multiple picks in both rounds for the foreseeable future. They don’t need to do anyone any favors or disrupt their team with a bad contract/player. You’ll have to pony up more picks for that privilege.
https://www.spotrac.com/nba/cap/_/year/2024/sort/cap_maximum_space
-https://basketball.realgm.com/nba/draft/future_drafts/team
-The Lakers picks five years out are SUPER valuable. Maybe. Only if we don’t restock with a superstar between now and when they convey. But if there’s one team GMs are wary of trusting to be bad for a long time it is definitely the Lakers. You can believe all the dysfunction smoke you want, if we’re paying top dollar there are few better places to play. Especially if you’re an aging superstar looking for one more big run. The Baby Laker Run post-Kobe was a self-inflicted debacle, mainly because of some of the worst free agent signings of all time. Even Rob has shown better stone as a GM than Jimbo did in getting out of his worst messes quickly and efficiently (see: Westbrook, Russell).
-Look at the player in the trade rumor and do the following exercise: are they even playing, are they on an expiring contract, are they recovering from a serious injury, and have they ever been a part of a winning culture, ever? If the answers are: no, yes, yes, and no a trade is not imminent. Why? Because the lakers are in win now mode, not hope for the best mode. Some people equate a win now philosophy to a “manic trade activity” stance. I do not. Win now means building something that can actually, ya know, win…now. Swap Rui for what amounts to a backup center and sure you’ve gotten bigger but have you gotten better. I mean in reality not in “trades fix everything!” land. The answer is usually murky at best. If the player was/is hurt and has a minutes restriction/can’t play in back-to-backs/only recently came back from serious injury issue they’re more than likely off the table for us.
I could go on, really I could. Suffice to say the only move I see happening is us trading Christian Wood to Detroit for a 2nd rounder and even that better get locked up quick. otherwise Detroit will simply watch Miami circling the drain with Jimmy Buckets and wait for Miami to come-a-calling. Which is smart.
We can’t afford to overpay. We can’t afford to swing and miss. This situation is the result of prior trade mismanagement. Them’s my two-bits on all this hoopla.
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Aloha Jamie, nice post. You beat me to it, I was going to write something similar. There are several other problems. The biggest is these clip bait guys never take the other team and what they are trying to do under consideration. Most of these trade are Laker centric and the worst part is they still don’t help that much. Numerous trade ideas have us sending out 2nd round picks for a good player. The problem with our picks is they are both next years. Ours and the Clippers. Both will most likely fall between 45 and 52. Not exactly overwhelming. Now maybe someone bites because they want to clear cap space. This is problem number 2. Our larger contracts have years left on them and that defeats the purpose of the trade. We have several small expiring contracts but you have send 3 just for 10 mil. And I’m going to scream if I read one more trade that includes Vando. He hasn’t played in a year and has 3 years left on his contract after this one. He has ZERO trade value right now. When you read the articles by several of the teams beat writers, their expectations are very low. Most feel perhaps a small trade or two. Read another of many articles today that again stated that Rui is not being shopped yet he is in nearly every trade.
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The Lakers will not give up the first round picks unless it significantly improves the chance of winning a ring. I have watched OKC play several times. I don’t see a trade that does that. The other thing the reliable beat writers have stated is those 1st round picks are reserved for players that will play for the Lakers for years to come. Not these often injured has beens like Bruce brown, Lonzo and Smart.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Something. Just traded 1 First Rounder for 3 future First Rounders as Utah seems to be entering an extended rebuild, or at least realizing you can only bring in so many young guys and also improve. Regardless, this feels like the move you make before you make a MOVE. Feels like Jimmy is coming back west, folks.
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I think the Jazz had more pics than they can use and they are betting that the Suns will be bad in 2031. I would like to see the Lakers do something like that. They should talk with OKC to see if they can do something similar. OKC have more pics than they can possibly ever use.
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This is actually good news for the Lakers. I’ve always believed the Lakers 2029 and 2031 first round picks would be among the most valuable picks available, especially considering LeBron would be gone, Davis older, and Lakers ownership and management inept.
Only problem is these picks need to be offered and unprotected, neither of which Rob Pelinka has done yet. All we have ever offered is protected single pick. We need to get serious. We have 3 swaps that could be used instead of picks if we need. Rob must make moves.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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You forgot what I feel was the biggest issue. Our offense was our defense’s biggest problem. It’s hard to win when you have 19 turnovers leading to 28 points. A lot of the turnovers led to fast break opportunities. When we have these kind of games, points off turnovers usually plays a significant role. LeBron had 7 turnovers himself. Pretty unacceptable.
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Wow, I dozed off during the third quarter with the Lakers up by 10 points, feeling confident we had it in the bag. Imagine my shock when I woke up to see not just a loss, but a blowout! I’m left wondering, what on earth happened? This has to be the most disappointing loss of the season. And LeBron with 7 turnovers? We all know how much turnovers drive me crazy. What happened to the team’s morale? It’s just baffling.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Sounds like it’s coming and that is welcome news. Firstly, the issues we have are as much from energy and heart as anything else, feel free to nit pick The Vandolorian’s skillset but the energy he plays with is undeniable. Our other issues stem from defense, specifically transition defense. Another energy/hustle stat that Vando can impact positively.
I’m not trying to frame this as him returning and saving the season but he gives us a another rotation-worthy player that we can see how he fits in alongside a newly aggressive and empowered Austin Reaves, how he combines defensively with AD, DFS and Max Christie and another option at the 3/4 to go along with Rui, DFS and LeBron.
Weird to see him return faster than Wood who simply may be toast at this point if he can’t get his knee right. Seems to take a step back every time he ramps up from what was supposed to be a fairly minor injury. It would be nice to see if he could supplant Hayes as the first center off the bench rather than send out assets for a backup big who likely won’t play in the playoffs all that much.
Lakers Injury Update: JJ Redick Calls Jarred Vanderbilt’s Return ‘Imminent’
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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As we thought, a WalkOver, only by the wrong team. I was a bit concerned when LBJ was passing up shots for those Others that couldn’t deliver at all.
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Absurd! I think most of us are starting to realize we aren’t good. I start with LBJ, he has to look to score, not pass off to the Others that don’t show up. I know he’s trying to get the Others off to a good start, but those Others aren’t. Hachi played 25 minutes and got 1 stinking board! We are so weak rebounding, when AD had 12 and LBJ 10 and those Others had 11! We have no real bench per se. Dang AD musta blown 10 layups! The whole team had 12 Assists and LBJ had 8 alone. UGH
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Great post Jaimie, I’m going to disagree on one point. I think Finney-Smith will come off the bench. He’s not like Vando that can guard point guards. And Rui has a better all around game. Rui’s defense has significantly improved. While his teammates and coaches gush over his efforts there, fans seem to be a little late to the party. I’ll give you an example. The previous two Kings games Derozen was Rui’s primary assignment. In those 2 games, Derozen went 8 for 24 and totalled 22 points. This game with LeBron out Ruo slid down to the 4. And Derozen got 25. Rui’s primary in this game was Murray who scored 5. Rui is defending, rebounding and is 7th in the league in 3 point percentage. I think Finney-Smith will be the first guy off the bench when LeBron rests. He will start when LeBron misses a game. But he will get big minutes regardless.
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Thanks Michael. We’ll see. I could also see Max going to the bench over Rui, especially with Vincent being out and DLO being elsewhere now. Hard for me to see them trading this much and relegating him to the bench. Most coaches give the vet/higher salaried player the starting job to lose and I don’t think JJ is any different since he came up as a player. We’ll just have to wait and see. Regardless we added more of 3 things we need: shooting, length and defense.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
As we come upon Christmas Day and the skate of games played every year we reach what I consider to be the quarter point of the season.
The Lakers are, unfortunately, about what I thought they’d be: middle of the pack. Sure there’s some fluctuations but no matter where we’re ranked in either defense or offense the record is the only thing that really matters. We’re 7th in the west, I have them pegged as finishing 8th.
Sure we’re only 1/2 a game from a true playoff spot, but the point differential informs one that, as currently constructed, this is about the ceiling for this team. Defense is still a major concern. Health, specifically LeBron’s, is a major and ongoing issue. It’s real hard to see us taking down a healthy Phoenix, Denver or Dallas squad. Heck, with home court advantage I can even see Houston running us off the floor in their gym.
That doesn’t mean it’s all doom and gloom, there are quality players on the roster now. They’re just not good enough to push us over the top into true contender. The roster’s decent talent level creates an issue for the front office: to trade them or not?
The case for making a trade this season revolves around one player: LeBron James. After that time is more on the Laker’s side. AD has shown he can be a key piece on a banner winning team. Rui, Reaves, DLO, and perhaps even Max Christie could form the kind of core that hoists a banner…with the right top tier player. That will at some point will not be LeBron James.
Is it worth jettisoning a competent core for a player that fits in alongside someone who really ought not be a part of the team come 2026. This is based on simple math. LeBron will 42 in 2026. You simply cannot in good conscience continue to build around a player who is that old. If AD continues to play at this level you need to find him a cohort that maximizes his talents, not LeBron James.
This will not come as good news to LeBron fans or his camp but it is the truth. It cannot be ignored after this season. You cannot trade competent role players who also play well alongside AD for a “maybe” or “hopefully” player. You either need a playmaking point guard with true three point gravity (Trae Young) or an elite wing (not gonna happen, those are the most valuable commodity in the NBA today and would require a king’s ransom thus decimating the very team you are trying to build).
Could a rugged backup center help? Minimally, at best, in my opinion. A rugged backup center will not fix the transition defense, turnovers or myopic three point shooting. So, unless it’s for a player not listed above…maybe DLO because there’s no guarantee he read-ups here on the cheap, it’s just not worth it.
Certainly not for any draft picks unless it’s for a future altering player. That is not Zach LaVine or Zion, it’s for guys who won’t be traded. Guys like Ant Man, Fox, and the like. We need those picks to try and draft players like that.
So tomorrow enjoy the game, I’ll be pulling for our Lakers to prove me wrong and not just tomorrow but for the rest of the season. I just can’t ignore what is so obvious to my own basketball sensibilities. There’s a reason they play the games though and that opinions don’t define the world: it’s all in the doing.
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Aloha and Happy holidays Jamie. I agree with most everything you posted. I would not give up our firsts for a role player, nor would I give up the contracts it would take to land a star. I do think a center that can rebound and protect the rim would help considering we get killed when AD sits. But it doesn’t have to be a big name. Sharpe with Nets or Richard’s from the Hornets would do the trick. Both are quality rebounders and rim protectors on cheap contracts. And they both out weigh Hayes by 40 pounds which I think is important. If we can ever get healthy I could see this team finishing in the top six. We literally gave away 4 games so it’s not hard for me to see us finishing there. There is plenty of room for internal improvements. Like you I don’t see a championship contender in this group.
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