5 THINGS

That was probably the worst loss of the JJ Reddick era. Absolutely no defense being played. Bad offense. Just about the shittiest overall effort I’ve seen all season other than Miami. Begs the question…what happened?

1. Broken record topic of the season: defense still sucks. The Lakers defense was an utter disaster last night. It was if everyone had eaten a big dinner and couldn’t move their feet. That was followed by too much ice cream and the resultant brain freeze was such that defensive communication was rendered non-existent. All in all, even though we “only” gave up 118 points it was obvious from the jump the Lakers as a team didn’t much seem to care that Dallas got what they wanted, when they wanted it and how they wanted to get it. All. Game. Long. The telling stat? Only DFS had a positive plus/minus (+3) from the entire team. The one guy who has no clue where he should be still managed to impact winning the most. Pathetic.
2. Bench Gabe Vincent and trade him. That’s it, dude is cooked and I’m done.
3. Dalton Knecht and Rui need to do more on D. Knecht scored 13 points in 16 minutes. Still had a -8 +/-. Rui played 26 minutes and scored 6 points and had the same -8. They combined for 1…1…rebound. We need more out of both for this to have a shot at working.
4. Picking on Austin. Reaves was getting abused on defense from the jump and neither he, the team, or the coaches were able to bother adjusting. In fact there really wasn’t any kind of adjusting being done as the listless Lakers got scorched on the glass, again, and Dallas waltzed to the rim over and over and over. Hope for a quick fix was extinguished in Coach Reddick’s post gamer. His exact words were: “I’m not sure what our rotations were. I’ve never seen us try to execute what we were doing. I haven’t watched the film yet. Just watching it live and talking to the assistants who did watch it on film, we’re not sure what was going on with the shift positioning and the rotations. Never seen it before.” Dude…news flash coach…you kind of only have 1 job and that’s to know what the fuck is going on. This is a Darvin Ham kind of tactic. Blaming the players, c’mon man, there are 48 minutes during the game in which you can make adjustments. You’re the one who has to make the team adapt if they’re not doing it organically on the court. You don’t wait for a film session after you get home from the road trip to hammer it out. Read, react, adapt. Honestly, there is little doubt in my mind that the differences between Vogel, Ham, and Reddick are minute if not purely cosmetic. Of the 3 Vogel was clearly the best coach. Good job, Rob…
5. Hope everyone in the LA area is safe from the fire. I know several people who have been evacuated and it’s crazy how big the fire is. Stay safe folks!

After the Lakers finished the season sweep the Lakers made a choice few around here believed they would make: a trade. While the win was important (vaulting us into 5th place at 18-13) the trade has the potential to redefine the Lakers defense, especially with injury concerns to Vanderbilt, Wood, Hayes, Vincent, and Reddish. All in all, a big day in Laker Land!

1. The win over the Kings was born of a solid mix of OK defense and timely shot-making. The Kings had no answer for AD in the paint as he put Sabonis in foul trouble and bullied his way to 36 points (11-13 from the free throw line) and along with Reaves applied the right pressure to Sacramento’s defense to complete the sweep. Reaves and AD have a nice chemistry on the floor and, in general, Austin has distinguished himself as a capable (though not elite) offense initiator.
2. Rui Hachimura should be considered as untouchable as Reaves. The dude just makes shots off the pass. He’s hitting 47.7% of his catch and shoot threes and he’s leading the Lakers in three point efficiency by a country mile at 45.2%. The next closest player is Dalton Knecht at 36.7%. Rui has become the ultimate release valve and is doing it while playing a variety of roles on defense. Small ball center? Rui’s got you covered. He’s averaging a steal/game for the first time in his career and if he upped his rebounding we’d really have something cooking at the 3 spot.
3. Dalton Knecht re-emerging from his slump. After a few games of virtually vanishing from the offense and seeing his playing time decrease Dalton rediscovered his shooting tough on Christmas and carried it over to the game last night. Dalton has a solid shot at winning ROY and needs to keep impacting winning like he has. He’s not afraid of banging on defense, he’s a decent rebounder and he cuts well off the ball to open up his inside game. We need all of those things on a more consistent basis.
4. The Trade. Nobody saw it coming, in fact I thought Memphis had locked up DFS yesterday as it sounded like it was a done deal. As always the NBA keeps one on their toes. The trade for Dorian Finney-Smith and Shake Milton was for DLO, Max Lewis and 3 second round draft picks. One has to imagine that Memphis balked at the inclusion of a FRP or was concerned that DFS would either not pick up his player option and walk or that he would and mess up some potential salary cap plans. Regardless the Lakers made the right move. Adding DFS and Milton helps two areas of need, especially with Vincent being out with an injury mid-game last night. DFS allows us to move one of Hachimura or Christie to the bench and augment our shooting and defense while doing it. My personal preference would be to move Max but I feel like Hachimura may end up the fall guy. However it goes this was a solid move by the front office if for no other reason than we made a move that helps preserve the cap space DLO would have cost us had he simply moved on as an UFA.
5. Speaking of DLO. I want to thank him for his contributions. Coming over as the centerpiece to the Westbrook deal after everything that went down when he was a Laker there were a lot of questions. I think he answered almost all of them, although not all to the liking of the fans. Gone was the immature kid posting Insta videos of his teammates without them knowing and instead we got a quality player on the floor and in the locker room. Helping us get to the western conference finals that season was an awesome journey for him to have taken. It’s unfortunate that Coach Reddick didn’t unlock DLO’s game as hoped for and it felt to me like Russell took a small step back this season and so hopefully he can showcase his talent in Brooklyn and get himself a solid contract this summer. D’Angelo Russell, thanks for everything.

If only there were multi day breaks scattered throughout the season. As it is, the Lakers seemingly have maximized their non-participance in the NBA Cup 2.0 by finding a grip of days to get LeBron rest, the team to get back on the same page, and to get record on the right side of the column. After struggling on defense for most of the season the Lakers have turned in 2 decent performances on that end and the result has been pleasing, Time to turn this thing around.

1. Defense first. It’s weird how often I write about this. I often feel like a wise man, shouting into the wind as everyone else who appreciates basketball screams “shoot more threes” back at me. Then we lose, often a lot, and eventually everyone else comes around to my way of looking at things, mumbling about defense does in fact put banners on walls. There was string of games where the Lakers were giving up close to 120 points per game. Utterly pathetic. We were getting run out of the building because of silly live ball turnovers, non-existent transition defense, and anemic defensive rebounding. While those will surely be issues for the under-sized and soft Lakers all season long, they did start to right the ship and seem more focused on limiting those opportunities after the long break. Time will tell how much of this is an actual sea change and how much of this is a result of a long break early in the season.
2. The LeBron question. It’s not a question of the stats. They look, for the most part, like they always do. Fairly efficient scoring, solid all around play, defense is the area where he needs the most team help. It’s what he needs to do in order to be ready to do this effectively in the playoffs. LeBron has looked decent since his long break. Unfortunately the NBA isn’t in the habit of putting a week or so in between games. So, to this, I hope LeBron, the training staff and coaches are looking at the season and circling games he absolutely needs to sit out in order to maximize off days and increase rest. It’s all for nothing if he grinds himself down to dust and can’t find another gear come playoff time.
3. AD taking the baton. Can we just stop with this being a question now? It’s obvious he cannot carry a team by himself, that he is more suited to being the second dog at the feeding bowl and that his best focus is on defense and scoring can come second. There is no other version of AD that I’ve ever seen show up consistently. Yeah force-feeding him worked for about a month, maybe 6 weeks. It’s not happening anymore because teams are junking up the paint fronting him, having a secondary defender lurking and quick defenders scouring his passing lanes waiting for lazy passes that will happen over the course of every game. A lot of our turnovers are off of ridiculously difficult passes into AD, trying to short cut the play (possibly) and not running a proper action. This is now by defensive design by the opponent. Call me crazy but when you broad cast to the world your plan,, go about executing and then it gets scouted…you need to adjust.
4. The value of Austin Reaves. The reason I prioritize getting another off the bounce distributer at the point guard position is because of the ceiling it seems like Reaves has hit. He’s having a solid season, one could say Tony Parker-esque, It doesn’t seem like enough unless one of DLO, Rui and Max has a pretty error-free, high-impact game. Reaves’ stats won’t wow you but the eye test shows us his value in how he attacks the defense and loosens up the interior with drives. Nobody else can really accomplish that. DLO does his thing with his misdirection, flip shot/sneaky pass game he’s developed but it’s limited and really doesn’t work come playoff time (a well documented issue we need not harp on again). There needs to be another option because Reaves has to eventually sit and, given his styler of play, has a knack for getting banged up. We have serviceable center options on the team, they’re just hurt. Getting Wood and Hayes back would represent the same basic idea of pulling off a trade for another one-dimensional center (like Valanciunas, for example) and if we can get them both on the floor I’d prefer to keep or focus on improving the point guard position or getting a wing defender. This is because Austin Reaves can get it done…barely. If we could get him some help (or if JHS could ever stay healthy AND prove he belongs in the NBA) it would go a long way to improving our title chances.
5. Max Christie: starter. The fact that this is the possibly the best answer to our rotation woes does nothing but illustrate the gaps in the overall roster in a glaring fashion. Pick any top 5 team in either conference and Max Christie is definitely coming off the bench as the plucky guard who can get a stop or two and maybe hit a corner three. End of role. On the Lakers he’s expected to be a steady rotation player, play solid on-ball defense for 20+ minutes/game and score at least 10 ppg. Frankly, that seems unreasonable. He’s not that player, at least not yet, and this really can’t be a season of growing pains. When (if?) Vando comes back I’d rather see him start at the 2 for a month or so.

Usually do one of these a few games earlier but I wanted us to get through the roadie and have been busy. So there it is. At the beginning of the season I picked us to end up 8th in the western conference. So I’m personally not blown away at our record (8th in the west) but more concerned with how we got there. Issues with the bench and defense were predicted and have come to fruition and, across the board, I think it’s fair to say the Lakers have actually somehow managed to take a small, if correctable, step backwards this season.

1. The Offense. The hiring of coach Reddick was supposed to herald the L:akers arrival into the world of analytic basketball, revolutionize our offensive approach and embrace the modern era of the NBA. This season, at this time, we have 113.0 team offensive rating, good for 14th in the NBA. Last season, at the end of the year, we had 115.4 team offensive rating, good for 15th overall. We are taking more threes (33.3 this season vs. 31.4 in 2023-24) but we’re making fewer 34.2% this season vs. 37.7% last year). Our turnovers are down under Coach Reddick, incredibly, and free throws are about the same. The biggest change has been the regression of D’Angelo Russell and Rui Hachimura in terms of overall FGA’s. This isn’t on the players, necessarily, although anyone can choose to be more aggressive at work. It’s also a byproduct of force-feeding AD FGA’s and the significant slowing down of the Lakers offense, in general. AD’s FGA’s are up by almost 2 per game (18.7 vs. 16.9 last season), LeBron’s are down by .2, but Rui is also down by .4 (despite an increase in minutes by game by 5.8) and DLO is down from 14.2 FGA’s/game to 10.9). Reaves has seen his attempts increase (13.2 up from 11.5) but his accuracy go down (44% down from 48.6%, 35.5% from three down from 36.7%) Consider this: last season under Coach Ham we were 4th in the NBA at Pace of Play at 101.38. This season under Coach Reddick we’re playing at a 98.66 Pace of Play. Pace is a measure of how many possessions a team uses/game. Due to several factors (mainly the entirety of my next point) the Lakers offense is more bogged down and working harder to score this season under Coach Reddick.
2. The Defense. It’s bad. Defense doesn’t just mean getting stops, it can also lead to more easy baskets, fewer second chance points and a lowering of overall scoring efficiency for the opposition. In all of those areas the Lakers have taken a very large step backwards. Defensive Rating (points allowed/100 possessions) is abysmal: we’re 26th at 117.0 (behind teams that are basically tanking like Brooklyn and the Trailblazers, that’s downright embarrassing) and the season prior we finished 17th at 114.8. Without comparing how it went last year anymore (it’s all better), this season we’re 25th (15.0 per game) in opponent second chance points, 27th in opponent fastbreak points (18.4 per game) and 26th in opponent points in the paint (52.2 per game). Points off turnovers is our most respectable defensive stat, thus far, and we’re only 10th (16.9 per game) there. Every one of those stats was better last season with roughly the same team. Unless this gets corrected there will be no banner aspirations and the front office would do itself a favor by making a form choice: win now or start building a team better suited to the theories and principals they hired the coach for. Even then, Coach Reddick has some serious philosophical issues to debate in regards to his approach to team defense. This isn’t all on the roster because we know without a doubt that this roster has better defensive potential than they’ve shown all season long. It has to start with the coach understanding that a “one scheme to rule them all” approach is inherently flawed. Any simplistic, one-dimensional approach to a professional sport is doomed from the start. You need a plan A, B, C, D, and E and each of those should come with a different look. I’m not even sure we have assigned roles on defense as more often than not a guy gets rubbed off a screen and his man has an open lane or jump shot. It’s plain to the casual fan that defense is not Coach Reddick’s strong suit and that is the biggest issue confronting the Lakers at this juncture of the season. it’s on he and the staff to figure out a better way forward with the players on hand. If the roster changes, so too do the plans. Good defense leads to easy offense, a lot of problems will solve themselves if we can get better than the lower 1/4 of the NBA on defense.
3. Health. The same guys are still hurt, for the most part. Vando? out until at least January. Wood? Out for an indefinite period of time. Reaves is hurt for the first time in over a year and has missed several games (4, I think?) in a row. Jalen-Hood Schifino? Perpetually out with various injuries befitting a much older player. Of all the walking wounded Gabe has turned the corner, seemingly, and has played mediocre, at best. His offense is a gaping hole and his defense doesn’t make up for it. Now that Hayes is out we rely on G-Leaguers to plug the holes in the dyke when AD sits. It’s not pretty and is one of the factors contributing to our defensive malaise. LBJ finally sat a game and the Lakers won…against the utterly tanking Blazers. I know we got a new head trainer, it just hasn’t helped.
4. The rookie head coach. I have to say, despite all of the above, I am mildly impressed with Coach Reddick in that he hasn’t utterly lost his shit. Other than one sideline meltdown early on he’s held his composure. This season more contact is being allowed than in season’s past and you can see it’s affecting many players and their willingness to drive into the defense. I never really bought into anyone who was saying things like “Reddick will revolutionize the Lakers approach to offense” and “he’s the next Pat Riley!” because that’s all just bullshit people post in the dog days because they’re bored or whatever. If that’s what helps get them to the regular season, great. It’s not a game I play, I don’t deal in hyperbolic superlatives. I deal in results. The fact is the Lakers, with this roster, didn’t have a tremendous ceiling to come up to. LeBron is LeBron, AD is AD and nothing coach says in the locker room or on TV is going to fundamentally change how they play and approach the game. Where he has failed a little bit is in elevating the rest of the team. This can still happen, though, as everything from the previous season is a measure of 82 games and we’re only 24 games in for the Lakers season, so far. Coach Reddick still has time to scrap the switch everything as the default, go-to defensive scheme and add in some zone, some midcourt traps, full and midcourt presses, and a hybrid man/switch scheme where the only switches happen onto shooters who are hot or guys they don’t want to see get hot. He can run plays for Rui and Russell. He can take the ball out of Reave’s hands a little more and give it to Gabe or DLO. There are a ton of un-tried adjustments on the table, thus there is still time for this group to simply execute better on both ends. Where we definitely need to up our game is our physicality. We started well enough but have gotten very, very soft after a hot start.
5. Trade our way to greatness. In short…don’t hold your breath. Let’s assume for a minute that Rob has access to every pick between now and 2030. I am of the opinion he does not but who knows. Most importantly we don’t have our 2025 1st rounder (aka as “The Cooper Flagg” draft), which is bound for Atlanta from New Orleans via the Murray trad thus completing the AD trade, at long last. Here’s the list, can’t trade picks more than 5 seasons out, this season ends in 2025, thus 2030 is the cap:
   
   2025 NBA Draft
   First round: Hawks have the rights to this pick from the Pelicans
   Second round: (2) Own plus one from the Clippers
   2026 NBA Draft
   First round: Own
   Second round: Headed to Miami
   2027 NBA Draft
   First round: LAL’ 2027 1st round pick to UTA protected for selections 1-4; if this pick falls within its protected range and is therefore not conveyed, then the LAL will instead convey their 2027 2nd round pick to UTA
   Second round: Own (see above)
   2028 NBA Draft
   First round: Own
   Second round: Orlando or Washington (all part of the Westbrook trade)
   2029 NBA Draft
   First round: Own
   Second round: Washington (last of the Westbrook trade)
   2030 NBA Draft
   First round: Own
   Second round: Own
   
   Here are the picks we CAN trade:
   2025 2nd round pick (LAL)
   2025 2nd round pick (LAC)
   2026 1st round pick – Pick Swaps Only
   2027 2nd round pick
   2028 1st round pick – Pick Swaps Only
   2029 1st round pick
   2030 1st round pick ***cannot trade both 2029 and 2030***
   
   Here’s Why:
   I’m sure we’re all vaguely familiar with the Stepien Rule in that we can’t trade 1st round picks in back-to-back seasons. So, because of the Westbrook deal and the AD deal we can’t trade our 2026 1st rounder until Draft Day in the summer of ’26. Depending on what happens in 2027 we could trade that one on draft day ’27, as well (it can’t be included as a pick swap, either, as we don’t own it outright so it’s actually Utah’s pick to trade until it becomes clear where it falls after the 2027 season concludes). So, for this season, the only 1st round picks we can trade outright at the moment are: 2029 and 2030 and we can’t trade them both. This is because we do not yet know what will happen to our 2027 1st round draft pick as it is protected 1-4. It will know it’s fate when the draft lottery happens…in the summer of 2027. As such, it is essentially holding our 2028 1st round draft pick hostage. Our picks we can include outright in trades are limited to: our 2029 first and 2030 first & second round draft picks, and the 1st rounders can’t both be included. We can trade pick swaps in 2026, ’28, ’29, and ’30. We have 3 second round draft picks because we won’t know the fate of the 2027 pick until…2027.
   
   The cupboard, as they say, is bare. We don’t have much in terms of impact players to trade, either. Lakers fans will be loathe to see Reaves or Knecht in any trade scenario but you can bet that any team the Lakers call will insist on one or the other, if not both, if the trade is for anything but another mediocre role-player. You can forget the “DLO, Rui, JHS, Max, and Gabe are perfect trade filler for Fox” type scenarios. That’s absurd; plain and simple, there is absolutely no way the Kings make that deal. Same goes for LaMelo, even if he sprains both ankles this season, again. If Atlanta hadn’t pulled out of their tail spin a couple weeks ago one could almost see the hope of a Trae Young deal. We will not be getting any picks back for doing the Bulls the favor of trading for Zach LaVine and trading for Lonzo Ball is beyond ludicrous, the dude can play…at max…16 minutes/game and no more than 4 minutes at a time. So any trade involving those kinds of scenarios I find simply laughable.
   
   To put it all simply and plainly: we don’t have the juice to use just filler players in a blockbuster trade, even if we go all-in. It’s not more than at least4 other teams can beat that have similar needs as ours and vested interest in not seeing us become elite, again. No team trading with us will be doing us any favors. Whether it’s a dislike of Rob, the Lakers in general, or both we will be looking at a slight overpay (or more) in any trade we make. These are the problems accrued by drafting poorly, using our exceptions on the wrong guys, and not including the coach on the Westbrook trade. These are the problems that are still reverberating through time, waiting for us in the future. With nothing to be done now.
   
   Go Lakers.