Here’s hoping this is the only playin game we play. If it is that would mean we beat the Timberwolves and are officially the 7th seed in the NBA. Falling to the 8th seed, while certainly better than being wholly eliminated, would represent the most difficult path to the NBA Finals for the Laker’s as it would require playing in two playin games and ending up in the tougher seeding bracket. Beating the T’wolves means we don’t play until Sunday which would be a really great amount of rest for the team. So let’s dig in to some key aspects of this match up and how the Lakers can move on.
- Take advantage of the missing Minnesota players. While it’s unfortunate that the Timberwolves won’t have their roster available it’s on the Lakers to press that advantage to it’s fullest. Missing key rotation players in Rudy “Mic Check” Gobert (suspended by team for fighting Kyle Anderson in the last game), Jaden “F#$% THAT WALL!” McDaniels (fractured hand after punching a wall), Naz Reid (surgery) and possibly Jaylen Nowell (knee). That’s a ton of talented size that will be MIA tomorrow night. The Lakers have made a living this season driving into the paint and attacking the rim. This generates both easy points and fouls. It’s imperative the Lakers press this exact advantage to the fullest tomorrow night.
- Use the right defenders on KAT. Karl has been hurt a lot of the season and is probably one of the healthier superstars going into the post season. The Lakers rely on Anthony Davis on both ends of the floor, heavily. I’d maybe start the quicker and certainly more expendable if foul trouble is an issue Jarred Vanderbilt on KAT. Save AD for the second half, 4th quarter and keep his fouls low. KAT might be over to shoot over the Vandolorian but he’ll be hard=pressed to gain a speed advantage over him. I’d throw a combination of JV, Wenyan and maybe even Bamba (although Mo is awfully slow of foot and will likely pick up a grip of quick reach/hold fouls so we’ll see on that one). I’d rather KAT shoot over guys from the perimeter than get it going on the inside where he’s also likely to get to the line.
- Contain ANT-MAN. Anthony Edwards could start to see his name appearing as a dark horse MVP soon and he really ought to make some level of All NBA this season. Dude single-handedly carried Minnesota to the brink of the playoffs with KAT missing a huge chunk of the season, the team trading D-Lo, and the kind of mish-mash roster you don’t generally see do well in the modern NBA. No single player will stop this man so the question is containment and how to get it done. Like KAT you prefer him shooting from the outside over a defender or two and you don’t want him to live at the free throw line. Just do your best to keep him out of the paint and throw two guys at him when possible, give him different looks every few times down, maybe zone him up when it’s just Anthony and Karl sits.
- Don’t sleep on Mike Conley. I feel like this will be LeBron’s defensive assignment although with 40% of the starting line up out for the game he might end up on Kyle Anderson or Taurean Prince. I’d try and keep LeBron off the high energy/hustle guys (like prince) so if it’s not Mike I expect it to be Kyle. Both players can hurt you but Mike Conley is sneaking elite. He can light you up for 40. he can rack up 20 assists. he can put a defensive gem in his crown in any game. He’s a top tier point guard who’s healthy right now (frankly that’s my one gripe is he’s often out for long stretches of a season). LeBron is going to be our weakest link defensively. I’ve watched him not close out, not rotate, not switch or fight through a screen all season long and I don’t think he possesses a magical switch to just turn that all on. Not anymore. So you want him on the least mobile or slowest player. Or at least the guy who is most likely to slink into the corner for an open three. LeBron needs to stymie those kind of plays.
- The Lakers bench has little reason not to dominate. With a lot of their vaunted depth sapped due to stupidity, injuries or stupid injuries the Lakers’ bench has a golden opportunity to define and dominate this game. If they can put together a solid, focused and effective effort we might win this game going away. If they’re not on point, wilt under the bright lights, or simply get out-played it could make for a tough game indeed. Some guys have been sitting a lot and you may find your number called: be like Lonnie and stay ready. You will not get calls going forward barring something obvious. Play through, play hard, and get it done.
The Lakers need to get this done and start to atone for the many bone-headed losses, subpar efforts and inexplicable choices made throughout the season. Get this win tomorrow, get LeBron and AD into treatment and let the team rest a bit with some film and walk throughs. We have the talent and the experience to go on a deep run and the bracket broke very favorably for us. Now we need to take advantage of those fortunate occurences.
Michael H says
Nice post Jamie. We can’t have a perfect defensive line up but there are things we can do. First question is, who will start for the TWolves. I suspect Vando will get Ant Man, like the last game. He did a great job last game on him. I’m pretty sure AD will draw Towns. I think Austin will take on Conley.
If he starts I’m sure that LeBron will draw Slo mo. A lot of his game is backing down guys into the paint. While LeBron is no longer quick he is strong enough that he won’t be moved. The thing that surprised me was LeBron guarding Kawhi on against the Clippers in the 2nd half. He kind of shut him down. It was other guys that killed us. I also see Rui on Kat like last game. He did an amazing jog. He got a lot of praise all over the league for his effort. DLO will be our weak link but if we can take care of Ant Man and Kat, the TWolves don’t have anyone that is going to torch DLO off the bench.
Jamie Sweet says
I think KAT and Co. will be ready for Rui in this game and not let him body him up and I expect them to set some screens to shake Vando loose from Anthony-E. These are the minimum adjustments I would make and expect to see because coach Finch is solid and has coached in and out of various jams all season long.
Jamie Sweet says
That’s why I’m think something different out of the box and put Vando on KAT but you are right in that he is our best option to contain Edwards to some degree.
DJ2KB24 says
Who you, Bill Walton, lol!
Michael H says
No I just went with what they did last time.
Buba says
“We have the talent and the experience to go on a deep run and the bracket broke very favorably for us. Now we need to take advantage of those fortunate occurrences.”
That is a powerful piece right there. What I want to see from the team is hunger. If they smell blood, as the basketball Gods have already given them blood splattered everywhere, I would like to see them go for the kill.
Mike Conley is the head of the snake and if you can cut that off you have a chance to fight to live another day. The Lakers have been playing down to the level of their opponents of late but they have to figure out a way to separate themselves from the rest of the pack.