With the All Star break in the rearview mirror and a much needed break before the Lakers tumultuous season resumes it’s time to look at what the team can do to re-write the narrative. Written off for a title chase by fans and media alike, trying overcome yet another leg injury to Anthony Davis and making the most of an unbalanced roster the Lakers are looking one place right: up at their goals that seem more and more out of reach by the game. For a team that had banner aspirations as recently as December and won a title 2 seasons ago the Lakers are at a crossroads.
- The Klutch Konnundrum. Honestly, I’ve wanted us to sever this tie since the summer when we chose THT over the more impactful and better suited to win-now Alex Caruso. While there are no time machines around for us to go back and see how things could have been if we swapped Alex for THT we can recognize the toxic relationship with Klutch for what it is: bad for Laker business. I have no real issue with Klutch, they do their job well which is to represent talent on the open market. But, for a flagship franchise like the Lakers to be as beholden to one agency like they’ve become I think it’s an issue. So if Klutch, and by extension LeBron and AD are grumpy that we didn’t make a (widely considered bad) trade for John Wall in an effort to preserve some hope of a future…well…that’s the business. It’s not a one way street of gimmee gimmee gimmee. That’s how children behave. Besides, based on everything we know about the dinner and AD and LBJ pressuring Rob to make the Westbrook deal there’s a fair amount of blame to share. So, as I’ve said a few times now, this is the bed they all made together. Best get cozy.
- The Anthony Davis question. Again, it’s amazing to me how quickly things can change in pro sport. Considering trading Anthony Davis was nigh unthinkable as recently as January. After his return from his first major injury of the season he was playing well. Maybe not Bubble-level AD but certainly having a very positive impact on both ends. Another ankle injury and, at least for me, a lot is starting to change. Davis may simply not be durable enough to reliably be counted on to lead a franchise. You can’t lead from the bench in street clothes and, outside of his first season here in LA< he’s been trying to lead from that position in those clothes far too often. Davis getting traded likely means the Klutch Konnection is getting blown to smithereens. IMO, not the worst thing that could happen. I am of the opinion that, if it’s for the right deal, trading AD wouldn’t wholly alienate LeBron who seemingly has two goals right now: Winning a cookie and playing with his son Bronny.
- The LeBron James situation. I don’t think LeBron is going anywhere. he chose LA because he wanted to be near his family oin a nice city where his son was going to attend a private high school and hopefully build some cache as a NBA draft prospect. So, while that is still a work in progress, I expect for James to want to at least stay in LA. Were his All Star media comments curious? Sure, I guess. I mean, Presti is probably one of the shrewder GMs in the Association. I can see how giving Sam props was a subtle way to give Russ props (Presti drafted and shepherded Russ through 2 superstars leaving and then helped him find a situation he wanted to go to in Houston). I can also see it as a dig at Rob who was purportedly in Cleveland attending All Star game festivities. Honestly, it’s clickbait at this point to me. LeBron had as much of a hand in our current situation as anyone. So if he wants to throw himself little pity parties to the media he’s earned that right. Doesn’t mean anyone needs to take it too seriously. The dude is frustrated and I get it: nothing has worked out even close to how they likely hoped it would go. I have a hard time seeing how the Lakers and LeBron can break up with one another this summer. While certainly not impossible I think it would take us falling completely out of the playoffs for that bridge to be crossed. Maybe not even then. The Lakers need LeBron, I don’t see him pulling a Simmons or a Harden and whining his way out of a tough situation or quitting on his team. It would have to be a summer trade and next summer feels the more likely of the two. But, you never know, it is the NBA where weird and unlikely are kinda commonplace. I will say this, it’s obvious The King is unhappy and nobody wants to be around when a grumpy King starts looking for heads to chop. Lakers need to nail the rest of the season and the summer.
- Where are we going to find help? The only answer that seems likely to me is from within. Probably not the most inspiring thing one could say but I’m being real. Don’t see us making a splash on the buyout market. First off there aren’t a lot of teams with cap space next season, everyone saw what went down with Andre’ Drummond here last season, our team really isn’t all that attractive a destination right now and the positions we need the most help at aren’t likely to see a ton of buyout candidates emerge. Three and D wings don’t usually get bought out. Elite rim protectors don’t really get bought out. So that leaves the dregs of the NBA big men and old and slow vets. Sure, we could switch DeAndre Jordan for Willie Cauley-Stein. Heck, WCS might even see more floor time than Dwight but I kinda doubt it. Drummond couldn’t find a major role here last season and that was with only Marc Gasol as his biggest threat of PT. Davis was out a lot, as well and still Dre’ couldn’t carve out a role here. WCS isn’t the rebounder Drummond is and I just feel like Frank sticks with whom he knows. The Lakers would do themselves a big favor if they adopted the mindset that the cavalry isn’t riding over the hill, that they need to find the resolve to compete better inside themselves, and anything other than that will be a (hopefully) pleasant surprise.
- How does this season end? Honestly, I don’t see much hope that it ends anything but badly at this point. Let’s say we play .500 ball the rest of the way, no guarantee since we have the 3rd toughest strength of schedule remaining in the NBA. That means we’re facing opponents whose current winning percentage averages out .538. So, while that’s not good news we will be facing the now CP3-less Suns twice, the semi-floundering Warriors twice, Utah, Philly and Cleveland as well. Oddly enough it’s the games against the young athletic Thunder, Rockets and Wizards that makes me worry more. We also face the Clippers twice and winning any game against conference or division opponents is essential at this point. Is there a way I can see the Lakers bumping that winning % up to .600? Well… Uhm… Not really, simply because it would require a multitude of things to break right for us in a season where almost nothing has broken our way. So, in order for me to get behind the idea the Lakers can win 60% of their remaining games the following will have to start happening consistently:
-the young players need to play better overall and that’s not just on them. Frank needs to give a larger role and trust in Reaves, Monk and THT. We desperately need youth and energy to offset the rest of our geriatric squad and that’s all we got. If Nunn ever plays for us I’ll take that for what it is when I see it.
-no more injuries. Like zero. We need Melo back, we need AD to make his 4 week timeline and not see it stretch into a 5 to 6 week deal (although he also has to come back right or risk suffering catastrophic injury) and we need LeBron in as good of health as he can manage at this point.
-Russ needs to keep playing smart. His cuts, his offensive rebounds and his secondary play-maker role are all things he is capable of doing well at. He needs to do just that and be the best offensive rebounding guard in the Association, making the smart cuts we’ve started seeing, and being ready to get the ball off a failed drive with fewer than 10 seconds on the clock and go ahead and make a play.
-Lakers need a little luck. Odd losses to key opponents, unlikely wins of our own, a decent buyout candidate comes our way, health…you name it. The Lakers could use a heaping portion of good luck to close out the season.
It all starts back up on Friday, hopefully just a couple weeks or so after that we get Davis back, and maybe we see some sense from Frank and he starts Monk even when Bradley returns from his hamstring injury. We’ll see. If we can collectively hit the reset button and come back focused and energetic we can make a nice run to end the season. Not sure how high in the standings we can climb at this point, though.
LakerTom says
Thanks for the Fiver, Jamie.
1. The Klutch Konundrum. I understand why Lakers fans might be against the Klutch/Lakers Alliance. Incidents like the Lakers refusing to include THT in the trade for Kyle Lowry at the deadline last season because of Klutch can happen.
But so can things like LeBron James signing as a free agent and Anthony Davis demanding to be traded to the Lakers. Klutch basically gifted LeBron and AD to the Lakers. That’s as big an advantage for the Lakers right now as the LA market.
I’m in favor of the Lakers mending, renewing, and continuing the Klutch partnership as I believe it gives the Lakers a huge advantage over the competition, an advantage that will still be there long after LeBron has retired.
If the Lakers really declined an offer to trade John Wall and Christian Wood for Russ, THT, Nunn, and the pick primarily because of potential luxury taxes, I can fully understand why LeBron has lit the situation on fire.
LeBron wants what the Lakers fans want. Pelinka to step up and be willing to do whatever it takes to win another championship, including trading all of our picks, taking back multiple-year contracts, and being willing to pay mega luxury taxes.
Now that the gun is focused directly at Pelinka’s head, let’s see if he is smart enough not to blow the big edge that won the Lakers #17 before LeBron has an opportunity to bring us #18. Lakers not trading LeBron or AD. Period.
2. Anthony Davis Question. Again, I guess we’re on opposite sides. First, I’m not ready to sacrifice LeBron James simply to unwind our alliance with Klutch Sports. Lakers have benefited more than they’ve been hindered by the partnership.
I’m also not going to start thinking about trading Anthony Davis unless things got so difficult that he demanded it. Less than a year and a half ago, LeBron and AD proved they were the #1 and #2 players in the league. We’re just two seasons of crazy injuries since that.
I remember the 10 years we did not win a championship after Kobe. Not going to agree to rash and angry moves to move away from Klutch, LeBron, or AD. AD may be more injury prone than we would like but he’s still a unique player and the best modern center in the game and still only 28-years old. He stays no matter what.
3. LeBron James Situation. I agree LeBron is not going anywhere. The one caveat is the Lakers do have to play well the rest of the season and be willing to trade picks, spend lavishly, pay taxes, or whatever is needed to win championships. If they do that, LeBron will stay. If they don’t, they don’t deserve him and will have made what could be a fatal mistake for the franchise.
4. Where are we going to find help? LeBron James and Russell Westbrook must play great and the young guns: Monk, Reaves, Stanley, and Talen must receive more minutes and bigger roles. We’re going to need their young legs to carry us. Once he returns, we will also need Bubble AD. Give us that and we don’t need any more help. I’d love to see us land WCS if bought out. Not counting on it.
5. How does this season end? Likely with a whimper and not a bang. But we were playing better the last few games and LeBron and Russ have led the way. I also think we could sneak in and surprise some teams. We match up well against the Jazz and Warriors. Not so well against the Suns or Grizzlies.
I would like to see us still go 18-6 for the last 24 games, maybe with AD playing in the last 12 games. Be great to at least make the conference finals. I think that’s possible if we faced the Jazz and Warrior in the first two rounds.
Buba says
Great discourse here, folks. Nothing better than a good fiver in the middle of a break. Both of you made a ton of great points. As hard as it has been for us this season, I am still going to hold high whatever optimism is left of me.