Lakerholics

Following 2 dismal games by Andre Drummond and Montrezl Harrell and facing a key 5-game stretch that could determine playoff seeding, should the Lakers be considering reinstating Marc Gasol as their starting center?

On the surface, it looks like the league may have figured out that packing the paint and forcing Andre Drummond and Montrezl Harrell to go against two or three defenders is the smartest strategy to shut down the Lakers’ centers. The Knicks and Hornets not only held Drummond and Harrell to 3.5 and 3.0 points per game respectively but also outrebounded the Lakers 47–33 and 45–38 and dominated them in points in the paint 54–38 and 50–32.

The defensive tactics exposed a major weakness in both Drummond’s and Harrell’s games in that both struggle to score when surrounding by multiple defenders. That resulted in the Lakers being totally dominated in the paint. The Lakers return home to a critical 5-game stretch that starts with a single game against the Celtics, following by a pair of 2-game back-to-back series against the Jazz and Mavs that could determine their playoff seeding.

Realistically, the Lakers need to split their 2-game series with Utah and Dallas. Sweeping the Jazz or Mavs is unlikely without LeBron James or Anthony Davis but getting swept could dump them into the play-in tourney. The Lakers are 5th in the West, 1 loss behind the 4th place Nuggets and 3 behind the 3rd place Clippers but only 2 ahead of the 6th place Blazers, 3 ahead of the 7th place Mavs, and 4 ahead of the 8th place Grizzlies.

With just 17 games left in the season, the next 5 games could determine the Lakers’ playoff seeding and there’s a good argument that Marc Gasol could be a better fit because he can pull opposing centers out to the 3-point line. The NBA is a copy cat league and Celtics coach Brad Stevens, Jazz coach Quin Snider, and Mavs coach Rick Carlisle saw what Knicks coach Tom Thibodeau and Hornets coach James Borrego did to shut down the Lakers.

Starting Gasol could enable the Lakers to pull opposing centers out of the paint and create space for Schroder and Horton-Tucker to get to the rim. Gasol is also a better passer and playmaker than Drummond and Harrell. Over the 7-game road trip, Gasol’s 97.0 defensive rating was best on the Lakers and his 4.8 net rating the best of the team’s centers. He averaged 8.0 points, 5.5 boards, and 3.5 assists in 19.7 minutes shooting 60% from three.

While Vogel’s notoriously reluctant to change his starting lineup, the Lakers are at a point where starting Gasol instead of Drummond could be their best option to survive the next five games and remain in the top 6 in the West.

While he came away empty handed at the Trade Deadline, Lakers VP of Basketball Operations Rob Pelinka may have bounced back to win the NBA Buyout Sweepstakes by signing Andre Drummond and Ben McLemore.

The Lakers buyout duo came up big last night as the undermanned Lakers, missing LeBron James, Anthony Davis, Kyle Kuzma, Marc Gasol, and Wesley Matthews, dominated the heavily favored Nets in a 126–101 blowout win. The stars of the game were the Lakers’ new center Andre Drummond who posted game high 20 points and 11 rebounds and guard Ben McLemore who rained 5 threes and 17 points late to turn a close game into a rout.

The game was a matchup of two highly publicized buyout duos as the Lakers’ Drummond and McLemore faced off against the Nets’ Aldridge and Griffin. The matchup of the buyout duos was a blowout like the game itself. Drummond and McLemore played like championship contributors while Aldridge and Griffin played like waived veterans. The Lakers’ duo combined for 37 points and 12 boards vs. the Net’s duo’s 14 points and 3 boards.

The Nets were 11.5 point favorites despite missing their third superstar James Harden. The Lakers were not only missing their two superstars LeBron James and Anthony Davis but also three other key rotation players. The difference in the game was the Lakers’ top ranked defense holding the Nets’ 2nd ranked offense to just 101 points on 43.8% shooting from the field and 18.5% shooting from deep, including 0–15 second half threes.

Pelinka’s buyout market coup has taken away a lot of sting out of losing LeBron and AD for at least another two or three weeks. Drummond and McLemore have given the Lakers serious hope they can weather the storm. Davis is expected back in two weeks and LeBron in three. The Lakers are now 1 loss behind the Nuggets for 4th in the West and two losses behind the Clippers for 3rd in the West. Their goal is obviously 3rd seed in the West.

While it’s still early and the sample size is small, Rob Pelinka and the Lakers’ front office may have won the NBA buyout sweepstakes with their savvy signings of center Andre Drummond and guard Ben McLemore.

We’ve seen this movie before, haven’t we? But usually we’re the other team who just lost the game because some red hot 3-point shooter just shot lights out and sent the the Lakers home losers. Well, not tonight, baby.

Tonight, the team where 3-point shooters come to die got revenge as Ben McLemore, starting with a minute left in the 3rd, exploded for 5 threes and 17 points in 13 minutes to turn a 12 point lead into a 25 point Lakers’ win. Ben made 6 for 12 from the field and 5 for 10 from deep as the Lakers tied their season record with 19 made threes on 34 attempts while holding the Nets to just 5 made threes on 27 attempts, including a 0 for 15 second half.

The Lakers took an 8-point 1st quarter lead, lost it but still led by 3 at the half, and were holding a shaky 12-point lead with a minute left in the 3rd when Ben McLemore made what was the most important shot in the game. After missing his first four shots in the game, Ben’s corner three jumper off a pass from Caruso broke a 3-minute drought without a field goal and gave the Lakers confidence and a 15 point lead heading into the fourth quarter.

There were many Laker heroes last night — Dre, Dennis, Kenny, Talen, Keef — but it was Ben splashing two more threes to start the fourth that pushed the lead to 21 points and turned a competitive game into a Lakers’ blowout. The Lakers have struggled all season to win the 3-point battle without a volume 3-point shooter like McLemore who could shoot them back into games or catch fire and turn close games into blowouts like last night.

Ben McLemore may be the answer to the Lakers 3-point shooting woes. While Ben’s not going to take 10 threes every game, if he could take 7 or 8 threes per game, he could reverse the Lakers’ negative 3-point differential. Teams can’t increase their 3-point shot attempts by just having their existing shooters take more threes. The only way teams can realistically increase the threes taken is by adding high percentage, high volume 3-point shooters.

Volume 3-point shooting is specific skill and mind set the Lakers didn’t have on the roster until they added McLemore. It takes a player with a quick release and zero conscience or worry when it comes to letting the shot fly. That’s not Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Dennis Schroder, Alex Caruso, Marc Gasol, or even Kyle Kuzma, Wesley Matthews, or Markieff Morris but it is Ben McLemore as we saw last night when he rained threes on the Nets.

How much difference can one volume 3-point shooter make for the Lakers? The math is simple. Each additional 3-point shot is potentially worth a point so if Ben can add 8 more threes per game, that could be worth 8 points. That’s assuming he shoots threes at 33.3%. If he can take 8 threes and make 3.2 or 40%, then he could add 9.6 points to the Lakers’ offense, which would elevate the Lakers from 23rd with 110.8 ppg to 1st with 120.4 ppg.

While some of those 8 additional threes by McLemore could be new shots, some will just replace 2-point or 3-point shots taken by other players so Ben taking 8 threes per game is not going to actually generate 9.6 more points. However, volume 3-point shooting by Ben could generate half of that or 4.8 more points per game which would increase the Lakers’ ppg to 115.0, which would make them a Top-5 NBA offense in points scored per game.

So while last night’s game was just one game, it shows why Ben McLemore and his high percentage, high volume 3-point shooting could be the missing piece in solving the puzzle of the Lakers’ negative 3-point differential.

Life is always full of irony. April 15th has always been a day of infamy for most Americans as income taxes become due but, in this crazy Covid colored world, it could be a day of resurrection for the Los Angeles Lakers.

Not only has the IRS changed the due date for filing income taxes for this year to May 17 but the Lakers are working with California health officials to begin welcoming back live fans to Staples Center starting on April 15th. Meanwhile, Marc Stein of the New York Times has reported that there’s a good chance Anthony Davis may return to action after the team’s 7-gtame road trip when the Lakers play the Celtics at Staples Center on April 15.

Finally, to put the cherry on top of this pipe dream sundae, LeBron James has finally taken off the protective boot he’s been wearing while recovering from his high ankle sprain and could possibly be ready to return by April 15. So if the Lakers can survive another week and steal a few more wins over the next four games, they might be able start their resurrection and drive to the playoffs on April 15 in front of fans and maybe with both LeBron and AD.

Right now the Lakers are in 5th place in the West with a 32–19 record. If they can win three of the last four games on the road trip, they would head into the second half of April 35–20 with 17 games remaining before the playoffs. While the Jazz are seven and Suns five losses ahead of them, the Lakers could have a realistic chance of overtaking both the Clippers and Nuggets who are just one loss ahead of them and securing the 3rd seed in the West.

3rd seed is a lot better than being 7th through 10th and having to win in the Play-In Tournament just to get into the playoffs. It would also force the 4th and 5th seed Clippers and Nuggets to play each other in a first round series. The Lakers as 3rd seed would likely play the Blazers or or Mavericks in the first round, then the 2nd seed Suns in the second round, and then the 1st seed Jazz, or 4th or 5th seed Clippers or Nuggets in the conference finals.

While it’s not a sure thing that we’ll see fans in Staples and LeBron and AD in the lineup on April 15, there’s certainly a chance it could happen then or soon after. We know how much LeBron and the team have missed their fans. Suddenly, home court could once again become a major advantage and finishing 3rd would insure the Lakers home court in the first round of the playoffs and in the conference finals against any team but the Utah Jazz.

There’s also the possibility the Lakers may decide April 15 should be the day they hang the 2020 NBA Championship banner. If they do that, it’s hard for me imagine LeBron James not wanting to lace up his sneakers and play.

Frank Vogel declaring the Lakers’ top ranked defense or deep and talented roster is their third star makes for a great sound bite but the truth is none of the team’s role players have the skillset or mindset to be the ‘ Next Man Up.’

In the end, the Lakers’ opportunity to repeat as champs may fail due to their lack one or more players with star potential willing to accept a lessor role to win a ring but capable of taking their game to another level when needed. Robert Horry, Dennis Rodman, Tony Parker, Andre Iguodala, Rajon Rondo. Players who can step up and play like a star and save the day. Players who become stars given the opportunity. That’s what the Lakers are missing.

Playoff Rondo is now playing for the Clippers. Maybe Kenny will suddenly find his mojo again and we’ll see Playoff KCP or maybe Kuz will wake from his funk and finally deliver the promise he showed early. Maybe. Maybe.

The injuries to LeBron James and Anthony Davis have exposed the Lakers’ Achilles heel, which is they are overly reliant on their two superstars and don’t have any other players on the roster capable of rising to the occasion.

No disrespect but Dennis Schroder, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Kyle Kuzma, Montrezl Harrell, Alex Caruso, Wesley Matthews, Markieff Morris, Marc Gasol, Talen Horton-Tucker, or Andre Drummond are not potential stars. They’re a collection of flawed role players whose skills and abilities are expanded and magnified playing with LeBron James and Anthony Davis but diminished and limited when forced to play outside their roles.

That was painfully obvious watching the Lakers lose to the Bucks last night. While they might be able to pull out a win here or there against a team like the Cavs or Magic, they have no chance of beating a team with a superstar. Unless one of their role players suddenly transforms into a star or the team miraculously clicks and synergy overpowers reality, the Lakers are headed for 7th or 8th in the West at best and a ticket to the Play-In Tournament.

Dennis Schroder and Montrezl Harrell can create energy and get you points but they’re not what the Lakers need at point guard offensively or center defensively. They’re short term solutions that will move on this summer. Kuzma and Caldwell-Pope were hoped to be long term parts of the puzzle but are looking more and more like trading chips the Lakers will be forced to cash in this summer to solve their problems at point guard and center.

Bench GOAT Caruso and budding star Horton-Tucker will be free agents looking for raises this summer. Both are fan favorites whom the Lakers have rights and are expected to go over the cap to retain on the roster. Then there are Gasol and Mathews, both of whom are older veterans who have struggled to live up expectations but have little value as trading chips and are likely to be odd men out come the stretch run and the playoffs.

The Lakers deep and talented roster is a mirage that disappears without LeBron James and Anthony Davis. There’s simply nobody on the roster who can be counted upon to take his game to the next level with needed.

Jeanie Buss, Rob Pelinka, Frank Vogel, LeBron James, Anthony Davis, and the Laker players to a man still believe they can still win the championship regardless of where they’re seed or who the opposition turns out to be.

The Lakers hoped Andre Drummond might be third star they’ll need should they make it to the NBA Finals and get an opportunity to play the Nets and their Superstar Big Three of Kevin Durant, Kyrie Irving, and James Harden. Based on what we saw last night against the Bucks, it looks like Drummond won’t be the third star the Lakers were hoping and praying would solve their rim protection and low post scoring woes until LeBron and AD return.

That’s disappointing but not unexpected. The Los Angeles Lakers’ front office apparently believes all the team needs to repeat is for LeBron James and Anthony Davis to be healthy and ready to play in time for the playoffs. The problem is this is not last year in the bubble where the Lakers luckily avoiding playing the Clippers and Bucks, their top two competitors. The Lakers will likely face a playoff quarter of the Suns, Clippers, Jazz, and Nets.

The Lakers had a chance to trade some of their role player depth and talent to add a second tier star like Kyle Lowry or Victor Oladipo to their roster but opted instead to gamble that Andre Drummond could be that third star. While the Lakers bet on Andre Drummond, the Nets added Blake Griffin and LaMarcus Aldridge, the Clippers Rajon Rondo and DeMarcus Cousins, the Heat Victor Oladipo and Trevor Ariza, and the Nuggets Aaron Gordon.

The Lakers have one roster spot left and would be smart to be patient and use it on a player who could be a difference maker, who could be that third star they need to run the playoff gauntlet and match up with Brooklyn.