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LakerTom wrote a new post
The Lakers will be under intense pressure to win games the rest of this season and transform their flawed roster into a deeper, more balanced and talented team this summer to convince LeBron James to sign an extension.
LeBron James will become eligible to sign a 2-year extension with the Lakers on August 4th. The Lakers need to do everything in their power before then to win enough games and improve their roster to get LeBron to re-sign. While the Lakers didn’t have the chips to make a big move at the trade deadline, they’ll be able to offer their 2027 and 2029 first round draft picks and Russell Westbrook’s $47 million contract will now be expiring.
There’s also been a rash of articles in the media and blogs about the Lakers wanting to distance themselves from Klutch Sports. While the organizations have many common goals, their motives have not always been fully aligned. Nevertheless, the partnership has resulted in the Lakers getting superstars LeBron James and Anthony Davis and winning the team’s 17th NBA championship in the bubble, proof of the benefits of the Klutch alliance.
The Los Angeles Lakers/Klutch Sports alliance has been a huge edge for the Lakers over other NBA teams. While it can be an unwieldy partnership at times requiring compromise, it’s an advantage no other NBA team has. That’s not something you throw away or risk losing. Nothing wrong with wanting to renegotiate issues but keeping communications open and working to refine and make the partnership even better is smart.
So what do the Lakers have to do to convince LeBron James to sign a two-year extension to continue wearing the purple and gold? Here are the four key things the Lakers must accomplish to get LeBron to sign an extension:
1. Mend Fences with Klutch Sports and Agree on Offseason Plan
Nobody knows who or how the Lakers front office makes decisions. Most observers see the team run by a cadre of four individuals: team governor Jeanie Buss, VPBO Rob Pelinka, and advisors Kurt and Linda Rambis.
What’s missing are the dominant voices the Lakers had when Jerry Buss was managing owner and Jerry West GM. Instead, Lakers now make decisions via mutual collaboration and consensus rather than decisive executive edict. One of the reasons the collaborative approach has worked for the Lakers has been their close alliance with Rich Paul and Klutch Sports, the agency that coincidentally represents both LeBron James and Anthony Davis.
From LeBron’s free agency signing to Anthony Davis forced trade, there’s a valid argument Rich Paul and, by extension LeBron James, have been the true general managers behind the L.A. Lakers’ 17th NBA championship. While there are situations where what’s best for the team and a player may not align, there’s no question signing LeBron James as a free agent and then forcing a trade for Anthony Davis were gifts to the Lakers by Klutch Sports.
Rob Pelinka and Rich Paul need to sit down together and get back on the same page because the LeBron James and Anthony Davis pairing is still the genius move that raised the bar and ceiling for both the Lakers and Klutch. They need to share intelligence and work together to figure out how best to resolve the Russell Westbrook situation, keep the players who have proven they belong, and how to upgrade the starting lineup and overall rotations.
The Lakers/Klutch Sports alliance has been a major success for both the NBA team and the player agency. The Lakers need to do what’s necessary to mend the fences and keep Klutch Sports as an exclusive weapon.
2. Finish Regular Season Strong and Show Up Big in Playoffs
The Lakers have 24 games remaining in the regular season. They are currently 9th in the West with a 27–31 record. To compete for 6th seed and avoid the play-in, the Lakers need to win 75% of the rest of their games.
That would mean going 18–6 with a good chance neither Anthony Davis or Kendrick Nunn will be available until the last 6 to 12 games. Realistically, the Lakers will be hard pressed to avoid being in the play-in tournament. While participating in the play-in tourney would create a gauntlet the Lakers would have to survive to win the championship, the silver lining is they always have a chance with a healthy and motivated James and Davis.
The Lakers have finally elevated their play over the last few games, almost defeating the Golden State Warriors in San Francisco and coming from behind after losing Anthony Davis to injury to smack down the Utah Jazz. Hopefully, they’ll come back refreshed after the All-Star break ready to make a stretch run despite missing their superstar center. While they probably can’t go 18–6 over the last 24, the goal should be at least 15–9.
As for the playoffs, here’s where it gets interesting, if the Laker finish 7th or 8th, they can win the #7 or #8 seed. If the finish 9th or 10th, they can only win the #8 seed. Ideally, the Lakers want the #7 seed to face the Warriors. Because of matchups, the last team the Warriors want to play in the first round of the playoffs is the Lakers with healthy superstars LeBron James and Anthony Davis. Lakers could upset Warriors and win first round battle.
Who knows, maybe the Lakers take down the Grizzlies in round two and the Suns to get to the Finals and we have a Hollywood ending to the story. Showing up in the playoffs, however, could be key to keeping LeBron.
3. Bring Back Role Players Monk, Anthony, Reaves, Johnson, and Nunn
One of the underappreciated aspects of this season has been the emergence of five talented role players who should be part of the Lakers’ roster next season, hopefully providing some long needed continuity and consistency.
This season, the Lakers brought back just three players from the previous season: LeBron James, Anthony Davis, and Talen Horton-Tucker. The expected lack of continuity was exacerbated by injuries and poor lineups. Even if they trade Horton-Tucker, who’s not a great fit next, and Russ, the Lakers still have five quality role players in Malik Monk, Carmelo Anthony, Austin Reaves, Stanley .Johnson, and Kendrick Nunn.
LeBron James and Anthony Davis plus the five proven role players listed above would give the Lakers’ roster for next season seven returning players, which is almost half of the fifteen active players on their roster. The Lakers need to use Russ’ $47 million expiring contract and THT’s $10 million contract and their 2027 and 2029 first round draft picks to trade for three quality starters to complement LeBron James and Anthony Davis.
Of the five role players, Malik Monk is the one the Lakers are most at risk of losing because the most they can offer him is the taxpayer $6.2 million MLE, while there could be teams willing to offer him the full $10 million MLE. Reaves is under contract, Nunn has a player option, Johnson a team option, and Anthony likely to want to run it back. So with luck, the Lakers might be able to keep the best of this year’s team for better continuity next season.
Bringing back players whom LeBron likes and respects is just as important as bringing in new players who solve needs that cost us wins. Monk, Anthony, Reaves, Johnson, and Nunn would give the Lakers a great bench.
4. Trade for Third Superstar or Three Elite Two-Way Starters
The most important thing the Lakers can do to get LeBron to sign an extension this summer is trade Westbrook, THT, and their 2027 and 2029 first round draft picks for a third superstar or three quality starters.
How successful the Lakers are in trading Russ and his $47 million expiring contract, Horton-Tucker, and picks for that elusive third superstar —like Lillard or Beal — could determine whether LeBron stays or forces a trade. While it’s a long shot that the Lakers could turn Westbrook, Horton-Tucker, and two first round picks into a third superstar or three elite starters, there are fortunately pathways Pelinka can take to accomplish both goals.
Landing a legitimate third superstar to complement James and Davis would likely require a loyal superstar like Lillard or Beal requesting the Blazers or the Wizards to trade him to the Lakers, which is not very likely to happen. But trading for three potential starters who would be major upgrades over the current starters is something Rob could accomplish using Russ’ $47 million expiring contract and the Lakers’ two first round draft picks.
The key is the Lakers’ willingness to trade Russ’ expiring contract for two or three players with multiple-year deals. The Pacers, for example, might take Russ’ expiring contract to dump Brogdon’s and Hield‘s long-term contracts. While they would be getting Russ’ $47 million expiring contract, they would also be avoiding the over $100 million total salary owed to the other two. The real value of expiring contracts is helping other teams clear cap space.
Turning Westbrook, Horton-Tucker, and their 2027 and 2029 first round draft picks into three quality 3&D starters would be the kind of offseason Rob Pelinka needs to have to convince LeBron James to sign an extension.
What this entire situation has come down to is a battle for positioning on what the end of the LeBron as a Laker era is going to look like. Will it end with the Lakers paying max salaries to a diminished superstar like Kobe? The win-now Lakers just don’t want the LeBron era to end like it did the two times he left Cleveland , where the team was left with zero cap space and too many overpaid veteran role players on long-term contracts.
In the end, its LeBron versus Jeanie in that Klutch want the Lakers to go all-in to win another championship, which today means trading draft picks, taking back long-term contracts, and be willing to pay mega luxury taxes. These are points Lakers’ media and fans have been screaming about for years. The rules of how you win in the NBA have changed and the Lakers need to recommit to doing whatever is needed to win championships.
Lakers need to mend fences with Klutch, finish season strong and have good run in the playoffs, bring back their five elite role players, and trade Russ’ expiring contract and picks for a third superstar or three starters.
That’s how the Los Angeles Lakers get LeBron James to sign an extension.
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LakerTom2 years, 8 months ago
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LakerTom wrote a new post
Two disappointing injury-plagued seasons where the front office failed to make moves to improve the team at the trade deadline have now morphed into a crisis that could result in LeBron James leaving the Los Angeles Lakers.
For a team that won its 17th NBA championship just 17 month ago, how the landscape has changed is stunning. How the Lakers respond and play the rest of this season could be critical to what finally happens this summer. Maybe is just posturing as usual and LeBron is just putting the normal pressure on the Lakers to be prepared to make major moves and spend lavishly this summer to build a legitimate championship team to keep him.
Or maybe what we’re seeing is the next step in evolution of player freedom as LeBron James charts a dramatic return back to Cleveland or minimum contract signing as a free agent to play for team that drafts his son Bronny. Bronny will eligible to be drafted by an NBA team the summer of 2024 while LeBron’s contract with the Lakers ends the summer of 2023, meaning next season could be LeBron James’ final year wearing the purple and gold.
This summer was going to be huge for the Lakers before LeBron turned it into the summer that will determine the future of the franchise. Here are four possible paths for LeBron and the Los Angeles Lakers this summer.
1. LeBron Signs Extension and Guarantees Lakers Two Years
LeBron signing a 1+1 extension is the best solution as it guarantees the Lakers at least 2 more years of the King while setting up a 39-year old James to join another NBA team and enjoy his dream of playing with his son.
This would certainly be the Kumbaya solution as it would signal at least a temporary peace and alignment between the Los Angeles Lakers and Klutch Sports and a recommitment to win championships with LeBron and AD. It’s also the smartest option for both sides, who know injuries have been the real culprits who derailed the Lakers/Klutch championship quest. A heathy, rested, and engaged LeBron James and Anthony Davis is unbeatable.
James agreeing to an extension to be a Laker through 2024 with option to be a free agent the summer his son Bronny is likely to be drafted by an NBA team would be the idea solution for the Lakers and Klutch this summer.
2. LeBron Refuses Extension and Lakers Gamble to Keep Him
LeBron refusing to sign an extension and threatening to leave as a free agent after next season could force the Lakers to pursue a blockbuster trade this summer to replace Russell Westbrook with a legitimate third superstar.
While the Lakers’ assets were underwhelming at the trade deadline, they should be appreciably better this summer when the Lakers will be able to offer two first round picks and Westbrook will become an expiring contract. Whether that would be enough to trade for a legit third superstar like Dame or Beal is uncertain as is the question of whether it would be smarter to swap Russ, the picks, and filler for three elite starters and a deeper bench.
LeBron may opt to keep his options after next season open and apply maximum pressure on the Lakers to make moves and spend money this summer to build a championship team or risk losing him to free agency.
3. LeBron Refuses Extension and Lakers Look to Trade Him
The Lakers’ other option should LeBron refuse to sign an extension would be to trade James this summer to avoid losing him for nothing the following summer. Trading LeBron could end up being a savvy move by the Lakers.
Even though he’s 37-years old, there’s no question LeBron James would bring back a huge package of talent and picks. Would the Cavs give up Collin Sexton, Jarrett Allen, Kevin Love, and two first rounders for LeBron? Could the Lakers choreograph a LeBron trade that netted them another top ten player and a pair of elite starters plus picks for the future. It would not have to be a rebuild. The Lakers could still remain a legitimate contender.
While trading LeBron could yield a huge haul, LeBron is irreplaceable for the Lakers, which is why Los Angeles needs to look at every possible option to convince LeBron James to stay, including drafting Bronny James.
4. Lakers Breakup with Klutch and Also Trade Anthony Davis
To the competition, the partnership between the LeBron James’ Los Angeles Lakers and Rich Paul’s Klutch Sports is an unholy alliance with the devil, something the league should be investigating and somehow outlawing.
The past two seasons have been plagued by injuries to both James and Davis, reminding everybody LeBron is now 37-years old and Anthony has missed more games than he’s played during the last two Lakers’ seasons. Maybe it’s buyer’s remorse for agreeing to their superstars request to trade for Russ, or the pressure last year to not trade THT for Lowry or pressure this year to trade Russ and the pick to Rockets for Klutch client John Wall?
At any rate, one very possible fallout from the collapse of the alliance between the Los Angeles Lakers and Klutch Sports could be a request from Rich Paul for the Lakers to trade both LeBron James and Anthony Davis.
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Four Possible Paths for LeBron James and Los Angeles Lakers This Summer:
1. LeBron Signs Extension to 2024.
2. No Extension but Lakers Gamble to Keep LeBron
3. No Extension and Lakers Look to Trade LeBron
4. Lakers Breakup with Klutch and Also Trade ADhttps://t.co/CXIrRIySxR— LakerTom (@LakerTom) February 20, 2022
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What scares me about the Lakers/Klutch alliance ending is the idea of Rob Pelinka calling all the shots going forward.
I don't trust Rob without Klutch guiding him. Lakers need to preserve alliance. It's more than LeBron. Klutch is big Lakers advantage.https://t.co/CXIrRIhh9h
— LakerTom (@LakerTom) February 20, 2022
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LakerTom wrote a new post
If the Los Angeles Lakers hope to compete for championships in a league where the challenge and financial investment to win titles have dramatically increased, they must be willing to pay the price to be a legitimate contender.
After winning their 17th championship in the bubble eighteen months ago, the Lakers struggled to stay competitive as injuries and Covid battered the roster and poor decisions and cap and tax strategies derailed progress. Suddenly, the NBA’s most storied franchise is facing a series of franchise defining decisions with major short and long-term implications as their usual championship team building strategies no longer seem to be working.
What’s happened is the competitive landscape for the NBA has changed and the price of admission to be a legitimate contender in the league today now requires top teams to accept gargantuan payrolls and mega luxury taxes. The last two years, the Lakers’ personnel decisions were driven by their old school strategies of trading for a third superstar, optimizing cap flexibility by only adding players on short term deals, and avoiding luxury taxes.
Unfortunately, those strategies led the Lakers to trade for Westbrook, build a roster of minimum salary players with no trade value, and lose valuable assets like Alex Caruso and Dennis Schroder to free agency with no return. Unable to find a deal at the trade deadline, the Lakers doubled down on the same outdated approach, positioning themselves to use Russ’ $47 million expiring contract and two first round picks to trade for Damian Lillard.
Lakers must accept the rules have changed. Tradeable players on long-term deals are better than cap space, mega luxury taxes are the new price of admission to compete, and two superstars and depth are better than three.
1. Tradeable Players on Long-Term Deals Are Better Than Cap Space
The Lakers’ approach to team building has always favored cap space and players on 1-year deals over players on multiple-year contracts. The Lakers need to rethink this strategy as it limits both team talent and continuity.
with 13 of the 15 players on their roster making either max or minimum salaries, the Lakers’ ability to take advantage of trade opportunities to improve their roster are severely limited as we’ve seen the past two years. Cap space is great if you’re trying to sign LeBron James as your centerpiece but filling a roster with nothing but minimum salary players on 1-year deals limits the talent you can sign and your trading chips to get better.
The trade the Clippers made to land Powell and Covington, two players who would have been great fits on the Lakers, was a perfect example of a trade opportunity for which the Lakers simply did not have the assets to pull off. That’s why not failing to re-sign Caruso and Schroder as trading chips was a serious mistake. Standing pat at the trade deadline also did nothing to help the Lakers be in a better position with respect to trading chips this summer.
The key to putting the best possible team on the court and retaining the flexibility to free up cap space or come up with the assets needed to take advantage of trade opportunities is signing players to tradeable contracts. Signing key players you can easily move if necessary is a smarter strategy than turning over an entire roster of 1-year deals like the Lakers did the last two seasons. It gives you better players and a chance to build continuity.
Settling for 1-year deals to pursue cap space flexibility limits the talent a team can put on the court, the continuity teams needs to be a winner, and the trading chips to take advantage of opportunities to improve the roster.
2. Mega Luxury Taxes Are Price of Admission to Compete for Title
While NBA teams have recently made moves to reduce luxury tax bills, the Lakers are unique among major big market competitors in that they’ve been unwilling to pay mega luxury taxes like the Warriors, Clippers, and Nets.
We’ve seen that in the Lakers’ decision not to re-sign Alex Caruso, a player whom they could have definitely used as a trading chip at the deadline or as a key rotation piece as they struggle to win enough games to make the playoffs. We’ve also seen the Lakers’ refuse at the deadline to accept the Rockets offer of Christian Wood in trade because of the luxury taxes re-signing a young talent like Wood could ultimately cost the franchise.
While the Lakers were never willing to pay significant luxury taxes back in the days the franchise was run by Dr. Jerry Buss, times have changed and big market teams like the Warriors, Clippers, and Nets have raised the bar. While the Lakers may not have billionaire owners like other franchises, they need to continue to invest in building their brand by doing what they have to do to compete in today’s NBA, even if that means mega luxury taxes.
With the salary cap and luxury tax threshold increasing next year, NBA teams as a whole seem to be making moves to limit how much luxury taxes they will have to pay, especially the small market teams who never pay taxes. Unfortunately, big market teams seem intent on raising the bar to compete for an NBA championship. There was a point when the Warriors, Clippers, and Nets were slated to pay over $100 million in luxury taxes.
The Lakers need to wake up and understand that the reason the franchise is worth almost $5 billion is because of the 17 NBA championships they have won. Luxury taxes are the new price of admission to be NBA champions.
3. Two Superstars with Deep Roster Better Than Three Superstars
The Lakers’ and Nets’ experience with superstar big threes suggests two superstars with a deeper balanced roster could be the better team building model than three superstars for winning multiple NBA championships.
The two superstar model is just easier to put together. Just look at the potential personality and fit issues a team encounters trying to make three superstars work. There’s something about ’two’s company, three’s a crowd.’ That’s not even dealing with the issue that there’s only two other starters, which makes building a viable two-way starting and closing lineup near impossible, especially if all you can afford are players on minimum salaries.
Right now, the Lakers’ 15-man roster consists of 3 superstars on maximum deals, 2 players in Horton-Tucker ($9.5 million) and Nunn ($5 million) on non-minimum contracts, and 10 players on rookie or vet minimum deals. Being so top heavy, the Lakers other starters should logically be Talen and Kendrick since they’re being paid more. Unfortunately, Horton-Tucker has regressed from his sophomore season and Nunn has not been able to play.
Imagine if the Los Angeles Lakers could replace Westbrook and his $44.2 million salary with three high quality rotation players like Eric Gordon ($18.2 million), Christian Wood ($13.6 million), and Alec Burkes ($9.5 million)? That’s basically the route the Lakers should be looking to take this summer by trading Westbrook to the Thunder for Derrick Favors ($9.5 million) and a $34.7 million trade exception to acquire additional players.
While the Lakers are anxious to find a third superstar to replace LeBron James when he retires, right now they need to focus on finding two or three quality championship caliber players to complement their two superstars.
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3 Strategies Lakers Must Change to Be Competitive in Modern NBA
1. Tradeable Players on Long-Term Deals Are Better Than Cap Space
2. Mega Luxury Taxes Are Price of Admission to Compete for Title
3. 2 Superstars with Deep Roster Better Than 3 Superstarshttps://t.co/7utiizrc20— LakerTom (@LakerTom) February 17, 2022
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Thing is….we knew this is the position we would be in as soon as we signed Lebron. It’s happened everywhere he’s gone. You end up with an older roster and then bare cupboards once he leaves. Luckily we got 1 tainted ring* out of it all. Jeannie should’ve planned for this but she just isn’t committed to go crazy into the luxury tax penalties (neither was Dr. Buss tbh). Say what you want about Cavs owner Dan Gilbert, but that dude consistently paid the freight attempting to win while he had Lebron in Cleveland. I remember back when Kobe had to be out here making threats in the parking lot because they were surrounding him with the likes of Smush Parker and Slava Medvedenko.
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Kobe just said “F this” and stopped shooting in a freakin playoff game in order to make his point. This is what you wanna trot out here? Here ya go….
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It’s not often Tom and I see eye to eye on things but this post is about as close as it’ll ever get. Stellar.
1) This is the only one I have minor quibbles about. It all depends on the players and the team’s commitment to point #2 which is the crux of success, especially in the NBA. Take last season’s Lakers, for instance. Plenty of tradeable, talented players who just couldn’t get it done in a 7 game series against the eventual conference champs. Talent takes on a new dimension in the playoffs and the most talented are generally the highest paid. So, in terms of talent I think you want to prioritize building a high talent roster. You’ll never hear me denounce chemistry and continuity, I’ve wanted to basically run it back every season since we acquired LeBron. Minor changes? Sure. Roster overhaul like we’ve seen two seasons running…after winning it all? Don’t think it’s smart and I think we’re seeing that play out in real time.
2) This is the crux. If the team is willing to spend then anything is possible. You can land a Big 3, supply them with talented role-players and fill out the edges with vet minimums. We did the complete opposite. Traded away our most desired assets (and contracts) and then basically refused to use 2 out of the other 3 tools we had at our disposal to build out the best roster we could. I think that, had we kept Caruso and properly used Dennis and his Bird Rights this team would look incredibly different. Certainly better defense just by holding onto Alex and we could have avoided triggering the hard cap by using Dennis in a S&T for an exception). Since we chose to retain only one player using Bird Rights of the two we could have and thumbed our nose at properly using Dennis to show him how little he could be worth (and showing the same in ourselves in the same process as in THE LAKERS ARE CHEAP NOW!!!!) we handicapped everyone else. LeBron, AD, Rob, Russ, frank and so on. If the team won’t spend 1 and 3 kind of take a lesser significance but still are smart fundamental philosophical pillars.
3) This one is hard to accept on face value without context. Which 3 superstars and which decent role players? Also, because of how Years of Service works, we’re talking about very different sums of money to say nothing of the “drafted player who meets the criteria for the super-dooper max. So, like I said in #1, you’ll never hear me decry a deep team or chemistry. But to say that always 2 is better than 3 if paired with solid value players is a little much for to buy in wholly on. Now I do 100% agree that the only sensible way to move on from Russ’ deal…should that be the actual route we take (no guarantee on that one)…is to break his big deal up into smaller deals. There are several scenarios I can envision (Boston with Paul, Kevin and Ray/Miami with James, Bosh and Wade) where each superstar takes just a little less and facilitates a big 3 AND a solid team.
Building a team is hard enough without handicapping yourself with an artificial spending ceiling. We could have hard-capped ourselves by S&Ting Dennis and Alex’s cost could have been reduced by reducing our tax bill in any season after this. Not sure what liquidity problems the ownership cabal is facing but it feels silly to me that they think this will work. It won’t. They could do a lot worse then heeding all 3 points listed above.
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Aloha Tom, I pretty much agree with everything you wrote. but unless we can find a way to move Russ, its going challenging to do much about it. we really painted ourselves in a corner by not retaining Alex. what really upsets me is we signed Avery for 2.68 mil. signing Alex would have only added 5.9 mil to our salaries. that is cheap as can be. we are in a position that we cant even increase salaries since every body is under contract. we only have the bi anual exception, the mini Mle and Marc’s 2.5 mil trade exception. i am hoping for the best and that we can move Russ, but we may not get out of this mess until 2023.
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The one thing none of us disagree with is the Lakers need to stop being cheap and invest in the team to be the best in the league. Anything short of that is not acceptable. Sell the freaking franchise if you can’t compete. We are not the fucking Sacramento Kings.
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How about dont make any obviously asinine moves. If the blogosphere can immediately tell you not to do something and be unequivocally be right about it, you don’t do it. Mozgov. Deng. Russ. It didn’t take Jerry West to know these were bad moves. Avoiding these self-inflicted wounds would have gone a long way towards a winning product, wise spending, and an overall greater degree of faith in believing they know what the F they’re doing.
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Thanks for reading and commenting, Jamie. Good tradeable contracts are obviously the key. You certainly don’t want contracts like Tobias Harris or Russell Westbrook, unless they’re expiring. What you want are those $10 to $20 million per year deals where the players is paid fairly or underpaid. Those contracts are easy to move when you need to, often without having to add a sweetener. Caruso is the perfect example. Had we had Alex’s contract, we coud easily have moved it to OKC or somewhere if needed down the road with no sweetener. Might even have gotten a sweetener to trade him.
I think Lakers fans are completely in agreement that the Lakers need to stop the cheap moves to save pennies in a league where millions and billions are the issues. As the article says…
“The Lakers must accept the rules have changed. Tradeable players on long-term deals are better than cap space, mega luxury taxes are the new price of admission to compete, and two superstars and depth are better than three.”
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LakerTom wrote a new post
For a team that needs practices and superstars who need a chance to rest and recover, the All-Star break is Lakers’ last chance to make adjustments for the 24-game stretch run that starts vs. the Clippers February 25th.
If the Lakers have any hopes of transforming what has been a dismal season into a miraculous comeback in the playoffs, then they need to consider major strategic moves to transform the team over the remaining 24 games. The good news is there are major moves on and off the court the Lakers can make to become a much better team. The bad news is there isn’t much time to act and the Lakers have never been an organization to react with urgency.
Here are five strategic moves the Lakers should consider during the All-Star break to optimize their chances of winning 18 of their 24 remaining games to hopefully finish 46–37, which would give them a good shot at the #6 seed.
1. Consider Firing Frank Vogel and Making Phil Handy Interim Coach
Timing is everything when it comes to changing coaches. The last thing the Lakers need to start this offseason is a lengthy coaching search that delays and derails the team’s plans to rebuild their roster to championship level.
There’s no scenario where Frank Vogel is anything but a lame duck coach when it comes to the Lakers. That’s why the smart move by the Lakers is to fire Vogel after Wednesday’s game and make Phil Handy the interim coach. Promoting Handy would give the Lakers the opportunity to test drive him for the rest of the season and open the door for the Lakers to rethink what’s important and how best to utilize the players they have on the roster to win.
The Lakers as a team need to use the rest of this season to decide exactly what kind of team they want to build, specifically whether they want to chase a third superstar like Dame this summer or better starters and bench. The Lakers also need their next head coach to share a vision of basketball that embraces analytics and the importance of 3-point shooting and versatility when building a roster or constructing lineups and rotations.
Changing coaches now will enable the Lakers to use the rest of the season and the performance under Handy to be in the best position to resolve the coaching issue by end of season so they can focus on upgrading their roster.
2. Experiment with Starting Lineups Built Around LeBron and AD
After trading for Westbrook, the Lakers learned building winning lineups around three ball dominant superstars is not easy. Going forward, they need to experiment with starting lineups built around LeBron and AD.
The Lakers have struggled all season long to build lineups with all three superstars. The problem has been it was impossible to fit the elite 3-point shooting and perimeter defense the team needed in just two other starters. Building starting and closing lineups around just superstars LeBron James and Anthony Davis becomes much easier because there are now three starters from which to get the needed shooting and defense.
For example, a Lakers’ starting lineup of Malik Monk, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Stanley Johnson, and Anthony Davis would be able to shoot the three and play solid defense. That’s a lineup the Lakers should test. Logistically, the Lakers could also tailor their starting and closing lineups based on the matchups against different opponents. They could even have big lineups with Howard starting at the five against certain NBA teams.
Strategically, the Lakers need to experiment with lineups built around James and Davis and without Westbrook so the team will not start every game by spotting the other team with an early double digit lead.
3. Experiment with Russell Westbrook off the Bench as Sixth Man
The flip side of experimenting with two superstar starting lineups is the Lakers will get an opportunity to have Russ be their 6th man catalyst coming off the bench with Melo to wreak havoc against team’s second units.
Not unexpectedly, Russ’ numbers when playing without LeBron and AD are positive whereas his numbers with James and/or Davis have been negative. What’s great about Westbrook as a 6th man role is it allows Russ be Russ. Westbrook surrounded by shooters torching other teams’ second units could be a big part of the Lakers matchup strategy the rest of the year. Imagine Russell with elite 3-point shooters like Melo, Monk, and Ellington.
Nor am I saying Russell Westbrook never starts or closes a game. What I’m saying is the Lakers’ major problem all season long, partly due to injuries and Covid and partly due to poorly conceived and ineffective lineups. This is why the Lakers may need to change head coaches for change to work. Frank Vogel is likely not the best choice as coach to experiment with two superstar lineups without Russ and single superstar lineups with Russ.
The Lakers need to find the optimum situation where Westbrook can have the biggest impact for the Lakers. Part of that solution may be lineups with Russ as the lone superstar surrounded by multiple elite 3-point shooters.
4. Ramp Up Playing Time and Responsibilities for Young Players
After standing pat at the trade deadline, the Lakers need to ramp up the playing time and role responsibilities of talented high-performing young players like Talen Horton-Tucker, Malik Monk, and Austin Reaves.
If the Lakers are going to have any chance of surprising teams and winning in the playoffs, they will need to count on even bigger contributions from this trio of young players, which means giving them more minutes and roles. While the Lakers will seek to bolster their roster with more size and defense from the buyout market, they should give Malik Monk and Austin Reaves starter and closer minutes to accelerate their development.
Beside Monk, Reaves, and Horton-Tucker, the Lakers should also give more minutes to Stanley Johnson in certain matchups and hopefully to Kendrick Nunn when he recovers from his lingering knee injury and is ready to play. Making sure the team’s younger players get minutes and roles to grow and become better is a strategic goal for the rest of the regular season. The Lakers need young players to grow their value as players and trading chips.
Ramping up the playing time and roles for Monk, Reaves, Horton-Tucker, Johnson, and Nunn is one way the Lakers can become a better team over the last 24 games of the regular season and peak heading into the playoffs.
5. Offer Starting Roles to Recruit Players from Buyout Market
With the Lakers not improving themselves at the trade deadline, there will be pressure on Rob Pelinka to find upgrades via the buyout market, which could prove difficult as the Lakers are no longer among the favorites to win.
The one big advantage the Lakers may have over other NBA teams is they are able to offer a point guard like Goran Dragic or shooting guard like Gary Harris guaranteed starting roles the rest of the regular season and playoffs. Buyout free agents who will be looking for ways to impress teams and land a big new contracts could feel playing with LeBron James and Anthony Davis and starting for the Los Angeles Lakers was gold for their brand.
We know the Lakers successfully used this same exact strategy last season to entice Andre Drummond to sign with the Lakers after being bought out. Unfortunately, they’ll need to be careful not to make that mistake this time. Landing Dragic and/or Harris as starters would certainly be a long shot since both are rumored to be leaning towards the Mavs and Nuggets but an opportunity to showcase their game on the Lakers could be irresistible.
The Lakers should be aggressive in promising top buyout candidates like Goran Dragic and Gary Harris guaranteed starting roles and minutes to entice them to sign with the Lakers as free agents for the rest of the season.
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I predict Lakers won’t do 1, 2 or 3 even though they should but will do 4 and 5. Problem is 2, 3, 4, and 5 all depend on having a coach who isn’t biased when it comes to certain players.
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#1 – Not a Lakers move, doubt it happens, and no telling if Phil has what it takes to be a lead man.
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What Lakers don’t want is to be stuck searching for a new head coach at the start of the summer while everybody else is making trades and signing free agents. That’s why they need to start the process now to be done by end of the season. Otherwise, we’ll be screwed this summer.
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LakerTom wrote a new post
As usual, there was no lack of culprits to blame for the Lakers’ 117–115 loss last night to the Warriors. While LeBron and AD had subpar games and the Lakers missed 11 free throws, the major culprit for the loss was Frank Vogel.
Between his wacky lineups and senseless favoring of veterans like DeAndre Jordan or Avery Bradley, Frank Vogel has obviously lost this Lakers team. The players aren’t listening to him and the time’s finally come to make a change. Vogel may not be the only reason the Lakers have struggled but it’s hard to envision a scenario where he suddenly turns this team around. Frank is already a lame duck coach. The Lakers just need to make it official.
Why should the Lakers make the change now instead of waiting until this summer? Because they need to stop the bleeding now and start winning. Otherwise, they risk losing the chance to re-sign Malik Monk this summer. More importantly, next season is the last season LeBron James is under contract with the Lakers. The last thing the Lakers want is for LeBron James to suddenly start thinking about taking his talent to some other NBA team.
The other reason for the Lakers making the change now rather than later is it will give them an opportunity to test drive Phil Handy as the head coach of the future. In many ways, Phil could be the perfect coach for the L.A. Lakers. He’s a respected former player who’s greatest strength has been his ability to connect with NBA players whether superstars like Kobe Bryant, LeBron James, or Kawhi Leonard or young guns like Austin Reaves or Malik Monk.
Of all the Lakers coaches, Phil Handy has the best understanding of the power of offense. Most of Handy’s player development success has been expanding players’ offensive repertoires with new moves and counters. Handy’s approach has always been showing players what to do visually by working with them one-on-one on the court, actually teaching them by showing them exactly what to do. That approach resonates with players.
Phil Handy is going to be part of the next wave of new NBA coaches. He was a finalist for the Washington Wizards head coaching gig last season and has been one of the most highly sought after assistant coaches in the NBA. Firing Frank Vogel and promoting Phil Handy to Interim Head Coach could be the only potential game-changing move left for the Lakers’ front office to deploy to try and get the attention of this frustrating, disappointing roster.
Wasting the last 25 games left in this season by allowing Vogel to continue to replicate the same mistakes that have plagued the team all season would be senseless. Time for Lakers to fire Frank Vogel and give Phil Handy a shot.
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Net rating for Frank’s starting lineup last night was -15.0. They played a total of 9 minutes. No other lineup played more than 5 minutes. Seven other lineups played a total of 21 minutes and posted excellent positive net ratings. The Lakers once again were down 16 points early in the game due to Vogel’s fascination with wacky starting lineups.
Lakers can’t waste these final 25 games by letting Frank continue to lose this team. LeBron and AD have had enough, You could see it in their eyes last night as they lost the game once again.
All five Lakers starters other than Russell Westbrook had negative net ratings. Once again, Frank’s starting lineup put the Lakers in a hole that cost them dearly to climb out of. Time to fire Frank and give Phil Handy a test drive as Lakers head coach. I think he could be this Lakers’ team’s version of Pat Riley.
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Combined salary for LeBron James and Anthony Davis: $76, 541, 904.00
If that ain’t motivation to show up and give effort for 48 the coach won’t matter.
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AD no-showed in the 4th and LeBron went 1-10. Bradley wasn’t the problem dude.
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Because he’s on the floor when the game matters against the best guys. Lol.
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All it’ll take for you to flip is one good game from Avery and then you’ll be all like “I owe Bradley an apology, I booted him out the line up 674 times last week but he was great” when what you SHOULD be doing is respecting the man’s tenacity and grit for taking on the hardest assignments. Is it Bradley’s fault there isn’t a center to funnel his man to? No. Is it Bradley’s fault LeBron has been half-assing his defense all season? No. This is what comes of depleting the team. You know what would be funny? If Phil did take over and stuck with Bradley. My bet is you would be all like GENIUS move!!!! Lol. Tom nobody is happy where the Lakers are right now. Let’s just leave it at that. It won’t be fixed until the summer, at best. Might take trading AD to really restock the team. Hope it doesn’t come to that.
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Won’t happen. Honestly, not sure it would be a good “audition” for Phil. Tough to come into a mess like this and do anything positive. Plus, I don’t think Frank has lost the players this season anymore than any season in the past.
Agree though that he has some wacky ideas when it comes to line ups. Need to stop playing Trevor, especially in games where Dwight can go. Stop the small ball experiment as it leads to us getting killed on the boards. We had a hefty rebounding edge at the half, lost it when we played James at center too much. That doesn’t work well, either.
A lot of what we’re doing in these games feels like it would work better in a 7 game series dictated by match ups. Time for our superstars to admit that they can’t do everything, need someone who’s willing to box out and fight for boards, and allow AD and LBJ to be the elite weak side/help defenders that they are. or at least that they could be, not sure either is motivated enough.
Swap Bradley with Monk, give Reaves Trevor’s minutes so he can fast track his learning process, ditch small ball unless you can figure out how to rebound using it, and above all remind AD he gets paid a crap ton of cash to show in all of the games for the entire game. No more loafing.
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You’re probably right but I’m not predicting what I think is going to happen. I’m arguing for what SHOULD happen. It’s so easy to always say that’s not going to happen as your counter to my article. Same ole, same ole. SMH.
We’ve all complained about Vogel’s lineups and we all know he is not going to relent. Bradley will still start despite the eye test and analytics confirming he is not the solution. Same with Trevor. Those are things that are not going to change with Frank.
There is clearly a scenario where the Lakers continue to swirl around the drain same as always with the same crappy starting lineups leaving us in a double digit hole.
Time for the Lakers to think outside of the box. Frank is a lame duck. Fire him now and give Handy a shot.
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Reality. Deal with it or don’t, your choice. Your glass went from full to empty at the drop of a hat. Mine? Been tooting the same things since the summer, you go from full optimist to full destructo. Glass is chock full of what I THINK will happen, not dreamweaving.
Frank coaches an elite defense with the right players, that’s a proven fact. Did it without AD and LBJ for much of last season. His offense leaves something to be desired, yes. His rotations aren’t the best but at least he’s consistent in that he favors vets. On any team with James your offense will revolve around him. James sucked down the stretch last night, result? Loss.
You went from “three super stars is the way!” to “three superstars doesn’t work!” faster than a Kardashian changes outfits. Flip flopping on that one cracks me up.
L.M.A.O. indeed…
The real thing is I don’t think you set Handy up for success putting him in this position. You just look like you’re throwing pasta at the wall and hoping something sticks. That’s not intelligent, that’s desperate. If they were going to fire Frank you should have done so a lot earlier.
I am of the opinion that we can still find a way to compete better this season, as is. I’ve been saying, thinking and SHOULDing that all season long. Steady as she goes, my man. Not pasta flinging or flip flopping on things that haven’t worked out as expected. Three superstars could work IF you spend on a team to surround them. We did not.
Still, for my part, I prefer a better team to a slogan or notion. We had a better team the last 2 seasons. We don’t anymore, it’s gone and it’s not coming back. It has to be rebuilt and that should be done with care, consideration and planning. Knee jerk reactions aren’t saving jack.
I get being frustrated with the squad, they’ve underwhelmed all season long. But just because I’ve been steady and consistent in my opinions about what works, what doesn’t and the issues I’ve had building the team don’t get all ruffled about it.
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1st law of coaching: The new one is always better than the guy who just got fired:))
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