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LakerTom wrote a new post
While the Play-In Tournament and a plague of parity has limited the number of teams who are sellers at this point in the season, that could change dramatically as we approach the February 9 trade deadline.
Over the next month, the Lakers should see more teams become buyers and asking prices dropping as we reach the halfway point in the season and the cost for dumping a contract like Westbrook’s is cut almost in half.
It’s one thing to trade for a player due $47 million and having to pay his full salary for the entire year versus only having to cover the second half of the $47 million owed to Westbrook. It’s like Russ in on a 50% off sale right now.Same is true of the $20.4 million in Beverley’s, Nunn’s, and Jones’ expiring contracts. Right now, teams taking over those contracts will only end up paying out $10.2 million since the Lakers have already paid half of that.
Right now, there is a plague of parity that has given almost every team in the league a realistic chance at making at least the Play-In Tournament if not the actual playoffs themselves. That will change over the next month.As we head toward the February 9 trade deadline, here are the best zero-pick, one-pick, and two-pick Lakers trades for Westbrook and the best zero-pick, one-pick, and two-pick Lakers trades for Beverley and Nunn.
1. Best Zero-Pick Lakers Trade for Russell Westbrook
Lakers and Knicks agree to trade without any draft capital. Knicks take on Westbrook’s $47 million expiring contract while Lakers take on 2-years and $55.9 million owed Fournier and 3-years and $82.7 million owed Randle.
While the trade doesn’t transform the Lakers into instant contenders, it does give them needed upgrades in size and shooting without costing them any picks, giving Los Angeles three available picks to trade this summer.
Since all three contracts are for 2 or 3 years, the Lakers will have over $47 million in tradeable contracts to go with the 3 available first round picks, perfectly positioning Los Angeles for a blockbuster trade this summer.If the Lakers are willing to accept over $135 million in Fournier’s and Randle’s multi-year deals, they can probably upgrade their roster via a trade with the Knicks without giving up any of their first round picks.
2. Best Zero-Pick Lakers Trade for Beverley and Nunn
Lakers and Hornets agree to trade without any draft capital. Hornets take on Russell Westbrook’s $47 million expiring contract. In return, the Lakers take on the 2 years and $73.1 million remaining on Terry Rozier’s contract.
Since the Lakers are taking back over $70 million in Rozier’s contract, there is no way they’re also going to give up a first round draft pick. The Hornets will also only have to pay half of Russ’ $47 million contract at this point.
Both this deal and the potential zero-picks trade with the Knicks are simple salary dumps where the Lakers would normally receive a first round pick for taking on the extra salary, which is offset by taking on Russ’ contract.If the Lakers are willing to take back over $70 million in future salary as the cost for trading Westbrook to the Hornets, then there’s a good chance they can pull off a trade for Russ that does not include any first round picks.
3. Best One-Pick Lakers Trade for Russell Westbrook
Wizards take on Russell Westbrook’s $47 million expiring contract and get Lakers unprotected 2027 first round pick while Lakers take on 1 year and $36.0 million owed Porzingis and the 1 year and $13 million owed Kuzma.
There’s a good chance that the Lakers will compromise with LeBron James by trading one and keeping one of their two available tradeable first round draft picks to potentially use in a mega trade for a third star next summer.
On draft day, the Lakers would be able to offer their 2023 first round pick along with their 2027 and 2029 picks, giving them a total of 3 draft picks that could be packaged with Kuzma and Porzingis to trade for a third star.If the Lakers decide to keep one of their available two picks, then they need to be able to bring back difference making size, shooting, and defense via the other first round pick. Porzingis and Kuzma are well worth 1 pick.
4. Best One-Pick Lakers Trade for Beverley and Nunn
Hornets get L.A’s first round draft pick for taking on Beverley’s $13.0 million, Nunn’s $5.2 million, and Jones $1.8 million expiring contracts while Lakers take on the 2-years and $20.5 million owed to Bogdanovic.
Bogdanovic would be the perfect addition to the Lakers starting lineup and would give LeBron James and Anthony Davis the elite 3-point shooting and deadeye midrange shooting Los Angeles needs to close out four quarters.
Considering that the Pistons would only have to pay the second half of Westbrook’s $47 million expiring contract, the Lakers 2027 unprotected first round draft pick should be enough for L.A. and Detroit to agree upon.Landing an elite starting 3&D wing like Bogdanovic plus a promising young 3&D wing like Bey should be enough for the Los Angeles Lakers to give up one of their two available first round draft picks without any protection.
5. Best Two-Pick Lakers Trade for Russell Westbrook
Raptors take on Westbrook’s $47 million expiring contract while the Lakers take on the 1 year and $22.8 million owed VanVleet, the 2 years and $22.5 million owed Boucher, and the 1 year and $18.6 million owed Trent, Jr.
The beauty of this trade from the Lakers standpoint is they get a trio of new starters to go with LeBron James and Anthony Davis in point guard Fred VanVleet, shooting guard Gary Trent, Jr., and power forward Chris Boucher.
The Lakers get three new starters under 30-years old who are proven above average career 3-point shooters who can play defense. The Raptors get two potentially top-5 post-LeBron James unprotected first round draft picks.The Toronto Raptors are struggling right now and unless there’s a sudden winning streak, they’re likely to decide to rebuild around Scottie Barnes, which means the Lakers could tempt them with two unprotected picks.
6. Best Two-Pick Lakers Trade for Beverley and Nunn
The Raptors O.G. Anunoby is probably the most coveted 3&D wing in the league right now. Lakers give up the $20.4 million in Beverley’s, Nunn’s, and Jones’ expiring contract for the 2 years and $38.5 million owed Anunoby.
Awarding the Raptors their 2027 and 2029 first round picks without any protection for a non-All Star player like Anunoby would be a bold move to fill the gaping hole the Lakers have had in wings the last three seasons.
In a way, it’s the kind of simple strategic move that is a double win: a huge upgrade to give LeBron and AD a chance to win in the current season and an long-term investment to add a difference maker at a coveted position.Trading Beverley, Nunn, Jones, and their 2027 and 2029 unprotected first round picks to the Toronto Raptors for elite 3&D wing O.G. Anunoby would be the best two-pick Los Angeles Lakers trade for Beverley and Nunn.
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LakerTom1 year, 10 months ago
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2. Best Zero-Pick Lakers Trade for Beverley & Nunn
Lakers & Hornets agree to trade without draft capital. Hornets take on Russell Westbrook’s $47M expiring contract. In return, the Lakers take on the 2 years and $73.1M remaining on Rozier’s contract.https://t.co/6c80IEp5cE pic.twitter.com/WsZJLvaANV
— LakerTom (@LakerTom) January 9, 2023
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3. Best One-Pick Lakers Trade for Russell Westbrook
Wizards take on Russell Westbrook’s $47M expiring contract and get Lakers unprotected 2027 first round pick while Lakers take on 1 year and $36.0M owed Porzingis and the 1 year and $13M owed Kuzma.https://t.co/6c80IEp5cE pic.twitter.com/DLzY0tJs3c
— LakerTom (@LakerTom) January 9, 2023
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4. Best One-Pick Lakers Trade for Beverley and Nunn
Hornets get L.A’s first round draft pick for taking on Beverley’s $13.0M, Nunn’s $5.2M, and Jones $1.8M expiring contracts while Lakers take on the 2-years and $20.5 million owed to Bogdanovic.https://t.co/6c80IEp5cE pic.twitter.com/kDf0W0KvB1
— LakerTom (@LakerTom) January 9, 2023
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5. Best Two-Pick Lakers Trade for Russell Westbrook
Raptors take on Westbrook’s $47M expiring contract while the Lakers take on the 1 year and $22.8M owed VanVleet, the 2 years and $22.5M owed Boucher, and the 1 year and $18.6M owed Trent, Jr.https://t.co/6c80IEp5cE pic.twitter.com/vdz9Xz0MPu
— LakerTom (@LakerTom) January 9, 2023
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6. Best Two-Pick Lakers Trade for Beverley and Nunn
The Raptors O.G. Anunoby is probably the most coveted 3&D wing in league right now. Lakers give up the $20.4M in Beverley’s, Nunn’s, and Jones’ expiring contract for the 2 years and $38.5M owed Anunoby.https://t.co/6c80IEoxn6 pic.twitter.com/CwWXA5xx4v
— LakerTom (@LakerTom) January 9, 2023
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Not sure the team on the other side of the table pulls the trigger on any of these deals. I would do the OG deal all the way as a top priority.
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While I will never agree with the reasons Pelinka has kept kicking the ball down the road (which is the desire for a third star), it should work out well for the Lakers because they’ve now found that they have two players who have dramatically upped their game in AD’s absence in Dennis Schröder and Thomas Bryant, who are making big time contributions to winning games. They’re also getting great contributions from Wenyen Gabriel.
Add Davis, Reaves, and Walker to this mix and suddenly the Lakers roster starts to look very fixable. So fixable, in fact, that the Lakers might be able to keep one of their first round picks and still get enough help for LeBron and AD to make a run at #18 this season. It’s the NBA and anything is possible. My only concern is having Rob Pelinka and his team being the ones to make the decisions. Suddenly, opportunity could be knocking at several doors. Which will Rob decides to go though is the billion dollar question.
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LakerTom wrote a new post
The Lakers have not only learned how to win without one of their two superstars but also how to steal games when both of their superstars are not in the lineup as they did last night in their upset of the Miami Heat.
Now 17–21 and riding a 3-game winning streak, the Los Angeles Lakers are 12th in the West only 1.0 game out of 10th seed and the Play-In Tournament and just 3.5 games out of 5th seed and a guaranteed spot in the playoffs.
With the West wide open, the Lakers have a golden opportunity to go all-in and make critical trades to give a dominant LeBron James and MVP level Anthony Davis the opportunity to lead the Los Angeles to their 18th title.Here are three straightforward trades the Lakers should pursue to acquire a 3&D wing to start at small forward, a point guard who can shoot and take care of the ball, and depth in the form of three high quality bench players.
1. Detroit Pistons Beverley/Nunn Trade
The Lakers give up their 2027 first round pick unprotected to get a pair of legitimate 3&D wings to start and backup the small forward position. Both Bogdanovic and Bey are big physical players who can shoot and defend.
2. Utah Jazz Russell Westbrook Trade
The Lakers give up 2029 pick unprotected for a trio of players from the Utah Jazz. Conley gives Lakers starting point guard who can shoot and take care of the ball while Clarkson and Olynyk add shooting off the bench.
3. New York Knicks Lonnie Walker Trade
The Lakers give up Lonnie Walker IV, whom they would not be able to re-sign next summer, and a second round pick for Cam Reddish. Trade makes sure Lakers don’t lose Walker for nothing like they did Monk last year.
4. Lakers Depth Chart After Three Trades
With LeBron James still dominating and Anthony Davis playing like MVP and DPOY, the Lakers starting lineup and primary reserves could be among the best in the league. This is a championship roster from top to bottom.
5. Lakers Salary Cap This Summer
While the Lakers used their 2027 and 2029 first round picks, they transformed their roster into a contender and positioned themselves with over $70 million in tradeable contracts other than James and Davis.
6. Lakers Must Act When Opportunity Knocks
The Lakers are fortunate to still be this close with both James and Davis missing time due to injuries but they must act now while the opportunity is there to make the trades to transform them into legitimate contenders.
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1. Detroit Pistons Beverley/Nunn Trade
Lakers give up their 2027 first round pick unprotected for pair of legitimate 3&D wings to start and backup the small forward position. Both Bogdanovic and Bey are big physical players who can shoot and defend.https://t.co/y7COAMVOmR pic.twitter.com/l0u5i2E1tM
— LakerTom (@LakerTom) January 5, 2023
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2. Utah Jazz Russell Westbrook Trade
The Lakers give up 2029 pick unprotected for a trio of players from the Utah Jazz. Conley gives Lakers starting point guard who can shoot and take care of the ball while Clarkson and Olynyk add shooting off the bench.https://t.co/y7COAMVOmR pic.twitter.com/YBjpdlSk55
— LakerTom (@LakerTom) January 5, 2023
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3. New York Knicks Lonnie Walker Trade
The Lakers give up Lonnie Walker IV, whom they would not be able to re-sign next summer, and a second round pick for Cam Reddish. Trade makes sure Lakers don’t lose Walker for nothing like they did Monk last year.https://t.co/y7COAMVOmR pic.twitter.com/9GMvu1tg4e
— LakerTom (@LakerTom) January 5, 2023
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With LeBron James still dominating and Anthony Davis playing like MVP and DPOY, the Lakers starting lineup and primary reserves could be among the best in the league. This is a championship roster top to bottom-left.https://t.co/y7COAMVOmR pic.twitter.com/YWmmoQm5b3
— LakerTom (@LakerTom) January 5, 2023
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LakerTom wrote a new post
The Lakers would like to keep both picks to pursue a third superstar next summer. Their superstars would like to see them trade both picks for more size and shooting. The logical compromise could be a one-pick trade.
Let’s be clear from the start, the Los Angeles Lakers are not going to write off this season and cause irrevocable damage to their long-term alliance with LeBron James, Anthony Davis, Rich Paul, and Klutch Sports Group.
Those hoping this would signal the unraveling of the relationship between the Lakers and LeBron James will be as disappointed as failed suitors who were hoping the secret love-of-their-lives was going to ask for a divorce.The Los Angeles Lakers and LeBron James are essentially a married couple. LeBron is going to retire in purple and gold and the Lakers are going to honor him with the same royal treatment as Kobe Bryant.
While there’s a conflict over whether or not to trade the picks, the partners will simply work out a compromise to keep everybody happy and the marriage intact, which is exactly what’s probably going to happen here.Here are five reasons why LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers must reach a compromise that will enable the front office keep one of the two picks as a future trading chip but trade the other to upgrade the roster.
Reason 1: LeBron James’ Recent Play!
LeBron James’ recent MVP level play and season long display of athleticism never before seen by a 38-year old NBA player confirms Dennis Schröder’s comments that James believes he could actually play until he’s 45-years old.
Lakers VPBO Rob Pelinka specifically promised LeBron James the Lakers would do everything they could, including trading the two picks, to give the King a legitimate opportunity to win another championship this season.
While a promise is a promise, injuries to Davis and James have changed the landscape and it’s not unreasonable for Pelinka and the Lakers to want to keep draft capital this summer. Agreeing to trade one pick seems logical.It’s one thing for the Los Angeles Lakers to consider tearing this team down, trading their superstars, and completely rebuilding if LeBron James were on his last legs and Anthony Davis was unable stay on the court.
But it’s lunacy to do this when LeBron James at 38-years old is playing at an elite MVP level and all signs appear to signal that he’s going to be the NBA’s version of Tom Brady, who can still be an impactful superstar at age 45.The Lakers and LeBron would be fools not to recognize he still has multiple seasons of All-Star level play and multiple potential championships in his bag and saving one pick to give them two picks this summer is important.
Reason 2: Anthony Davis’ Recent Play!
While LeBron pummeled Father Time with a pair of 40-point games, let’s not forget the good news that Anthony Davis worrisome foot injury is now rapidly healing with AD’s return projected sometime in mid January.
The latest news was Davis was scheduled for an MRI when the team got back from the road trip that just ended on Monday. Hopefully, that MRI will look good and Davis can start ramping up to return the court in January.
Needless to say, LeBron will have to continue to carry the load for the Lakers until Anthony Davis returns. Hopefully, that will be the middle of January when the Lakers will have been able to even their record at .500.Frankly, the prospect of a Lakers team with a healthy, motivated LeBron James still dominating Father Time and a healthy, driven Anthony Davis playing like the MVP and DPOY is a nightmare for the rest of the NBA.
We know how important time off was to Anthony Davis’s great play in the bubble so having him get a month off in the middle of the season could be a bonus for the Lakers as he will be fresher and healthier for playoffs.Now that Anthony Davis has shown he can take the torch from LeBron James as the best player on the planet, the Lakers need to agree to a compromise one-pick trade to give James and Davis a shot at #18.
Reason 3: The West Is Wide Open!
The third reason the Lakers and LeBron need to agree to a compromise one-pick trade is the West is wide open and 13th seed Los Angeles is only 1 loss away from the Play-In Tournament and 3 losses from the playoffs.
Assuming LeBron James and the Lakers can improve their record to close to .500 by the middle of January and get a healthy Anthony Davis back near the same time, they should still have a realistic shot at making the playoffs.
LeBron has the 16–21 Lakers on a 2-game win streak with 6 games left through January 15th: Miami and Atlanta at home, then Sacramento and Denver on the road, followed by Dallas and Philadelphia at home.Assuming the LeBron James can carry the Lakers over the next 6 games and Anthony Davis will be back close to the middle of January, the Lakers could find themselves in perfect position for a stretch run on January 15.
With or without a trade, the Lakers will hopefully have enough firepower with AD back to start moving up the standings, passing teams in the Play-In Tournament until they lock up a spot among the Top-6 teams in the West.Ultimately, the Lakers are likely at this point to wait until the last minute to make their compromise one-pick trade hoping they will be able to get a better return for one pick by waiting until January 115 trade deadline.
Reason 4: The Pelicans’ Pick Swap!
The fourth reason the Lakers and LeBron need to work out a one-pick trade compromise is the Lakers may owe their 2023 first round draft pick to the New Orleans Pelicans due to a pick swap from the Anthony Davis trade.
Were the season to end today, the Lakers would be tied with the Chicago Bulls and Toronto Raptors for the 7th pick in the 2023 NBA Draft while the New Orleans Pelicans are projected to have the 24th pick in the draft.
In that scenario, the Pelicans would swap picks with the Lakers, getting the #7 pick and a 26% chance of a Top-4 pick while the Lakers would pick #24. The Lakers would love to move up to the Top-6 to limit the Pelicans’ pick.The irony of the looming Pelicans’ 2023 pick swap resulting in the Lakers missing out on a generational talent has contributed to Pelinka’s reluctance to give up L.A.’s 2027 and 2029 first round draft picks without protection.
It almost seems as if Rob Pelinka and the Lakers’ front office has lost their confidence and are almost as afraid of making another monumental mistake that could cost the Lakers another decade of lottery basketball.The very last thing the Los Angeles Lakers want to happen is to finish so low that the New Orleans Pelicans end up winning the rights to draft Victor Wembanyama. Compromising on a one-pick trade would help prevent that.
Reason 5: The Celtics Threat to #18!
Just like the Pelicans’ pick swap, the Boston Celtics emergence as potential favorites to win the 2023 NBA championship should be strong motivation for the Los Angeles Lakers to make a one-pick swap for a shot to win #18.
The Lakers 2020 Championship in the bubble finally enabled Los Angeles to pull even with the Boston Celtics as the only NBA teams who have won 17 championships. Allowing the Celtics to get to #18 first is unacceptable.
With LeBron James still dominant and Anthony Davis playing like the MVP, the Lakers cannot cede the 2023 NBA championship to the Boston Celtics. They need a one-pick trade to upgrade their starting lineup and rotation.Even adding a single elite player like Bojan Bogdanovic or O.G. Anunoby could dramatically improve the quality of the Lakers roster and allow L.A. to surround James and Davis with more size, shooting, and defense.
Ideally, the matchup the basketball world wants to see in the 2023 NBA Finals is the Los Angeles Lakers against the Boston Celtics, with the winner becoming the only team in the league with 18 NBA championships.The Lakers need to pull off a blockbuster one-pick trade to upgrade their starting lineup and rotation and give a dominant LeBron James and MVP level Anthony Davis a chance to beat the Celtics head-to-head for #18.
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Five Reasons Lakers and Superstars Must Compromise on One-Pick Trade
1: LeBron James’ Recent Play
2. Anthony Davis’ Recent Play
3: The West Is Wide Open
4: The Pelicans’ Pick Swap
5: The Celtics Threat to #18https://t.co/88Ct4a3fJK— LakerTom (@LakerTom) January 4, 2023
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LakerTom wrote a new post
There’s only one reason the Los Angeles Lakers do not want to trade their 2027 and 2029 first round draft picks. They’re hoping to use those picks to trade for a third superstar like Bradley Beal or Zach LaVine next summer.
When you sift through the conflicting rumors, it’s obvious the one thing that has kept the Lakers from making a trade in the past and is keeping them from making a trade today is their fixation on a third superstar.
The latest reports suggest the Lakers now plan to save their two tradeable first round picks and use them in a blockbuster, 3-pick trade next summer for a third superstar like Bradley Beal, Zach LaVine, or Kyrie Irving.That means the Lakers will likely hold onto their chips as long as possible and wait until the February 9 trade deadline before doing anything to help the current roster and won’t include their 2027 or 2029 pick in any trades.
In many ways, the Lakers are playing a very dangerous game that could easily backfire and end up costing them their future with LeBron James and Anthony Davis and their alliance with Rich Paul and Klutch Sports.Let’s take a closer look at three questions the Lakers need to address to make sure their pursuit of a third superstar won’t doom the current season, cost them their two superstars, and put the future of the franchise at risk.
Should Lakers Even Pursue a Third Superstar?
The Russell Westbrook experiment should have showed the Lakers signing or trading for a third superstar makes it hard to build a quality roster since all you are able to afford are players earning the league minimum salary.
So even if the Lakers were able to trade for Zach LaVine, who would be a better fit because he’s young, talented, can shoot the three, and is repped by Rich Paul and Klutch Sports, there’s more than just fit to consider.
The NBA has always been a superstars’ league and the Lakers’ legacy is filled with legends but the purple and gold have won more rings with just two superstars rather than three, including the last six championships.There’s a reason why three Kobe and Shaq, two Kobe and Pau, and one LeBron and AD two-superstar teams won the Lakers’ last six titles: they surrounded their two superstars with deep, talented, versatile benches.
That doesn’t mean you can’t win NBA championships with three superstars. The Lakers won five championships with Magic, Worthy, and Kareem and the Warriors won four championships with Curry, Thompson, and Green.But the third superstar option is not the best for the Lakers and LeBron and AD. The smarter move would be to upgrade the other three starters, which would push the current starters to the bench and improve the rotation.
How Do Lakers Keep LeBron and AD Happy?
The Lakers biggest concern if the Lakers decide not to trade the picks is what to say to LeBron James, whom they promised to do everything they could, including trading picks, to give him a chance to win a ring at 38?
Considering LeBron’s and Anthony’s recent comments, there’s no question that there appears to be a split between the Lakers’ front office and their two Klutch Sports superstars on the team’s prospects for this season.
Right now, the 15–21 Lakers are just 1 loss from the Play-In Tournament and just 4 losses from a guaranteed playoff spot and the news on Anthony Davis’ foot injury is promising with a possible mid to late January return.The Lakers need to somehow get their record back up to .500 over the first half of January to still be in position to make the playoffs if the front office were to make a blockbuster trade before the February 9 trade deadline.
If they can do that, it’s hard to see the Lakers throwing away a season where 38-year old LeBron James is dominating and 29-year old Anthony Davis is playing like the league’s MVP and best player on the planet.While the Lakers would like to keep their picks and use them in a mega trade package next summer for a third superstar, their smartest move would still be to trade the picks at the deadline to win this season.
How Does This Affect Lakers’ Superstar Legacy?
The Lakers have carefully cultivated an image as the franchise for whom superstars like Kobe and LeBron want to play and retire. Breaking promises to LeBron and tanking this season could severely damage that image.
That’s why the Los Angeles Lakers are more likely to give in to the pressure from LeBron James, Anthony Davis, and Rich Paul of Klutch Sports and agree to trade the picks to give LeBron and AD a chance to win this season.
The alternative, which is holding onto the picks, could easily end up with LeBron James and Anthony Davis requesting a trade from the Lakers and the long-term alliance between the Lakers and Klutch Sports dissolving.You have to believe that Rich Paul and Rob Pelinka have had some heated discussions about the recent news that the Lakers may decide to keep their two draft picks for a blockbuster trade for a third superstar next summer.
Frankly, it’s hard to believe the Lakers would risk their relationship with their superstars and throw away a chances of winning a championship despite how great James and Davis have played when they were healthy.In the end, the Lakers are going to have to decide whether they still want the purple and gold to be where the league’s greatest stars want to play and retire. If so, they need to keep their two superstars James and Davis happy.
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I still see the Lakers unwilling to dump LeBron and AD, which means there will be a trade before the deadline to improve the roster and give the team a chance to win it all this season. Just too big a risk to give up LeBron and AD the way they’re playing. Just need them to get and stay healthy for rest of season. That might be a hard call but it’s the right one imo.
There might also be a compromise where the Lakers trade Russ and 1 pick but keep the second pick. That could be the result of LeBron and AD wanting help but the front office wanting to keep at least one pick. Who knows. We’ll just have to wait and see but a lot will depend on how the Lakers play the next two weeka and how AD’s return looks.
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I could see a small trade being made involving Bev & None…err…I mean Nunn but not including those picks
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It would be a total disaster. Beal is a 25 mil player making Steph Curry money 47 mil. Yikes. LaVine is similar. And neither fills our greatest needs. It would doom us with no money to fill out a quality supporting roster. Big pass.
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Russ pretty much showed that adding a third superstar makes it impossible to build out a deep, versatile, talented roster. Lakers need to focus on upgrading their other starters. That will have bigger impact than 3rd star.
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Russ hasn’t been a superstar for a long fricken time. The boneheaded plays, total lack of decision making ability, and non-existent jumper makes him a mid-tier NBA player. Getting a real superstar would be another story. Lavine, Beal, and other dudes in that category – barely all-stars making superstar money, would be almost as bad.
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I was hoping for something like that, too, but have come round to wondering who even wants them other than for salary dumping? Neither is playing very well. &18 mil combined is a decent player. They’re not worth a decent player without the picks. Maaaaaaybe Jae Crodwer but CP3 ain’t gonna be happy about it lol. Although that’s probably as overblown as Russ’s beef was.
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Here’s the problem. There is nothing to be gained by another team trading their expiring contracts for our expiring contracts. That means the only trades Russ, Bev, Nunn, or Jones will traded would be to get out of multi-year contracts. Problem is Lakers don’t want to take back contracts as that reduces future cap space. That’s why no trades. Fools gold cap space and draft picks that will be traded by Lakers at some point, not ever used.
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Oh. You mean all the reasons you’ve been dumping on for the last year and change? Filed under “Yeah dude I know”
Now I do think you’re not being imaginative about this summer and what can be done with that cap space but I agree it’s not going to be a traditional team-building exercise.
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Why bother with these posts? Won’t be a trade no matter how many wishes upon a star you post here. Basically farting in the wind and following the smell.
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The only shame this season is Rob probably won’t be fired for all this, they just extended him so it feels impossible that will happen. Frank took the fall last season, LeBron will waste a season, again, so is basically the fall guy now and that milk sop will show up to work for another season if not the rest of his deal. That’s the thing bumming me out more than anything. I honestly like watching this team compete as hard as they are, a lot better than the No-show Lakers last season. They’re about as likely to succeed most nights but I enjoy the effort and hustle.
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LakerTom wrote a new post
Jerry Buss understood championships were the key to the Lakers’ success. Sadly, his daughter seems to have forgotten that as her unwillingness to pay big luxury taxes threatens to turn the Lakers into second tier competitors.
After two decades with the New York Knicks or Los Angeles Lakers being the NBA’s most valuable franchises, the Golden State Warriors parlayed four titles in last eight years to take over as the league’s most valuable franchise.
Per Forbes, the Golden State Warriors are worth $7.6 billion followed by New York Knicks at $6.6 billion, Los Angeles Lakers at $6.4 billion, and Chicago Bulls at $4.1 billion. Median NBA franchise value is $2.4 billion.What fueled the Warriors’ rise to the league’s most valuable franchise was it’s commitment to build the best roster money could buy regardless of the astronomical luxury taxes that would accompany this kind of imperative.
Worth just $1.3 billion when they won their first title in 2015 followed by second and third titles in 2017 and 2018, the Warriors proved Dr. Buss formula still works as they quintupled their value over the last eight years.While there’s hope the mega luxury taxes issue will be somehow resolved in the next CBA, the truth is the money raised from the luxury taxes has now become a valued source of revenue for the rest of the NBA teams.
Eliminating exorbitant luxury taxes could be difficult to do when so many NBA teams either are either willing to pay the luxury tax toll or totally willing to accept their share of the taxes as a bonus revenue sharing.Unless Jeanie Buss and her family are willing to pay the exorbitant luxury tax toll that’s now required to compete for a championship in today’s NBA, the Los Angeles Lakers will suddenly become second tier competitors.
How Three Billionaire Team Owners Have Raised the Bar
What’s happened is three teams with billionaire owners — Warriors, Nets, and Clippers — have raised the bar of what it takes to legitimately compete for a championship in today’s NBA to include unlimited luxury taxes.
Last season, the Warriors paid a record $170 million in luxury taxes while the Nets paid $98 million, the Clippers $83 million, the Bucks $54 million, the Lakers $45 million, the Jazz $118 million, and the 76ers $14 million.
This year, Warriors will pay $170 million, Clippers $145 million, Nets $108 million, Bucks at $70 million, Celtics $65 million, Lakers $41 million, Suns $35 million, Mavs $34 million, Nuggets $17 million, and 76ers $2 million.The problem is the Buss family does not have the resources to compete with mega billionaire owners like the Clippers’ Steve Balmer (Microsoft), the Nets’ Joe Tsai (Alibaba), or the Warriors Joe Lacob (Kleiner-Perkins).
While the six Buss children own 2/3 of the Los Angeles Lakers, they do not have outside sources of income like Balmer, Tsai, or Lacob and must live off the revenue stream they receive from the Lakers operating profits.Luxury taxes are a major issue. That’s why the front office did not match salaries and keep valuable role player Alex Caruso last season. It’s why the Lakers will not take back more salaries in any trade than they send out.
It’s a position that’s already relegated the Lakers to second tier status as a competitor. They’re willing to spend $40-50 million in luxury taxes but won’t pony up the $100–170 million paid by the Dubs, Nets, and Clippers.The Lakers must remember championships created their franchise value. If mega luxury taxes are now required to compete for championships, then the Lakers need to accept that as part of the cost of doing business.
How Lakers Became Second Tier Competitor
The above chart shows ten NBA teams are projected to pay $653 million in luxury taxes for the current season. That’s $65 million in taxes per team which will result in a bonus of $32.5 million for each of the other 20 teams.
Luxury taxes will likely be a major point of contention when it comes to the league and the players negotiating a new Collective Bargaining Agreement. There will be the usual hard push by the league for some form of hard cap.
In the end, it’s going to be hard to give up a system where 10 teams pay $65 million each in luxury taxes, which would then be split between the 20 non-tax paying teams, who would get $32.5 million each in profit sharing.The ten tax paying teams can easily be broken down into four tiers. Tier 1 is the teams willing to spend over $100 million in luxury taxes and includes the Golden State Warriors, Los Angeles Clippers, and Brooklyn Nets.
Tier 2 is the teams willing to spend $40–100 million in luxury taxes and includes the Milwaukee Bucks, the Boston Celtics, and the Los Angeles Lakers. Tier 3 is for teams willing to spend $0–40 million in luxury taxes.Right now, the Lakers are not willing to accept trades that raise their total annual salaries because that would also mean increased luxury taxes. L.A paid $45 million last season and is projected to pay $41 million this season. Unless the Lakers are willing to match the luxury taxes that the Warriors, Clippers, and Nets are willing to pay, there is no way they are going to be able to remain competitive being outspent by $60-$130 million per year.
There’s no question that the explosive rise in luxury taxes has changed the competitive landscape in the NBA. As a result, the Lakers’ unwillingness to pay exorbitant luxury taxes has made them second tier competitors.
How Being Second Tier Competitor Will Affect Lakers
After the long dark struggles due to Covid, the NBA is now on the verge of entering another golden age where team revenues, salary caps, franchise values, and superstar salaries soar to never before imagined highs.
Acquiring and developing young players who have Bird rights is a critical part of intelligent roster construction. The NBA has a ‘soft’ cap, which means teams can go over the cap to re-sign players with Bird rights.
The Golden State Warriors, Los Angeles Clippers, and Brooklyn Nets have spent major sums of money using Bird rights to exceed the salary cap and paying luxury taxes to lock up valuable players to long-term contracts.The Lakers are already worried that they may not be able to afford to re-sign sophomore sensation Austin Reaves, who’s clearly the third best player on this roster and will probably earn a bigger payday than Alex Caruso.
Make no mistake, re-signing Austin Reaves or trading for and re-signing a player like Myles Turner will not only increase the Lakers’ annual salaries but also increase the luxury taxes due because of the higher salaries.The Lakers also want to avoid the repeater tax, which doubles the luxury taxes for any team that has been a taxpayer three out of any four years. Lakers will have paid taxes for three straight years after this season.
That means there could be great pressure on the Lakers’ front office from the Buss family to avoid paying taxes this season and next so that the team would not be a repeat offender and have future luxury taxes doubled.Jerry Buss always understood that you had to spend money to make money. The Lakers need to understand that exorbitant luxury taxes are just the latest toll teams need to pay today to compete for an NBA championship.
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Cheapness. Been saying it for awhile now and honestly it was Gerald who first brought up the fact that the Buss fam just doesn’t want to compete at the billionaire level. The luxury tax has thwarted the Lakers ambitions from an ownership perspective. Great post Tom.
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Thanks, Jamie.
The reality is the franchise’s failure to pay big luxury taxes puts a ceiling on how good the Lakers can be compared to the Warriors, Clippers, and Nets. Doesn’t mean we can’t win another championship but that the odds of us doing so are no longer among the top tier. Days of Celtics and Lakers racking up 4 or 5 rings every decade are long gone. This is not Dr. Buss’ NBA.
We’re now second tier because of Jeanie and her minions who don’t understand that you have to spend money to make money. In 8 years, the Warriors won 4 rings and raised their franchise value from $1.3B to $6.7B. Lakers need to match those three teams and get back to being a Tier 1 competitor.
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They’ll trot out the line “Dr. Buss didn’t pay taxes” line but that was a wholly different era.
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If I’m to believe these 2 most recent TV series then Dr Buss was a master at pretending that he had a boatload money. Truth seems to be that we have never been on the same level financially as the truly wealthy owners. That’s how it is when you only have the 1 revenue stream. The family won’t sell the team no matter what because their entire identity & legacy (& bank account) is tied to being the owners of the Lakers. So they will never venture too far into the tax
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The surest way for the Lakers to become a second tier competitor is for them to refuse to pay the same level of luxury taxes as the Warriors, Clippers, and Nets are willing to pay. It’s a cheap cop out to say they cannot compete with billionaires. The truth is they have to compete with them or fall behind.
The Busses need to understand that winning championships is what establishes the primary value of their franchise. They still need to win and the way to do that is go all-in to compete. Like the Warriors, they need to bet on winning, which is what Dr. Buss did to buy the Lakers and keep them winning.
The game has changed. This is not Dr. Buss’ NBA any more. Lakers have the cash flow and revenue to pay those luxury taxes and they will get it back as their franchise value soars again. Busses really only have one choice: sell the team or invest in it. The only other option, which Jeanie seems to have chosen, is to commit the franchise to a slow death as a second tier competitor.
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Just remember.. Donald Sterling always made money on the Clippers. The flaw in your logic Is believing that winning titles is the primary goal of this ownership. It’s not necessarily the case and the proof is in their recent behavior. It speaks volumes.
Also..the valuation of the franchise only becomes real money once you sell the team; which ain’t gonna happen.
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I understand what you’re saying but the Busses are taking the wrong approach. How much the franchise value appreciates will depend on how well the league does and the Lakers do.
Even if LAL struggles, the franchise value will go up but not as much as other teams. If the team wins, it will go up more than other teams. The Warriors showed the Lakers how to win and increase franchise value. It’s not by allowing players like Caruso to leave due to luxury taxes.
Invest in the team by paying luxury taxes and understand that winning will bring financial rewards in terms of franchise value. That’s how you win in today’s NBA. Sooner the Busses learn this, the better. It’s not rocket science.
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Looking at payroll strictly through the lens of who’s paying how much, then sure. But it ain’t like the Lakers aren’t paying well into the tax. If there were players worth paying to really propel them into contention, they would have. I think everyone brings up Caruso, but I mostly remember the poor shooting, bonehead plays, and blown layups. Letting him go is hardly the tragedy everyone makes it out to be. How’s his current team doing? The Russ deal was just the mother of self-inflicted wounds.
What I do think Dr Buss would’ve fought harder against was a CBA limiting the Lakers market advantages. Jeannie lacked the backbone to make that happen. Hell, they couldn’t even get an amnesty clause into the last agreement.
They made some awful personnel decisions, too many to name really. Formed an unholy alliance with an agency concerned with plenty other things than winning themselves. Will likely fail to make the playoffs again. Even with all that, they really don’t have to worry about some other clubs leapfrogging their valuation any time soon.
The Knicks haven’t won squat in 50 years, have arguably the worst ownership, and simply by the virtue of their large market, have the most valuable franchise in the league. So unless LA somehow contracts, the valuation will be just fine.
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I’m not worried about other teams leapfrogging our valuation. I’m worried about the Warriors, Clippers, and Nets outspending us in salaries and luxury taxes every season, making us a second tier competitor who will struggle to keep up when it comes to wining championships.
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Dude the Lakers will always be worth a couple billion more than most teams for one easy to spot reason: they’re in LA. Same reason LeBron will put up with this crap management. The other is the history the Buss family in particular has been a part of. They’ll be in the mix one way or the other. Now, for the right price would they cede control of the team? That’s a worthier debate. Or would they at least empower a GM to really build the team and allow for some amount of tax to be paid. As we’ve seen with specifically the Warriors this season just throwing money at something guarantees nothing. They just need to make better choices.
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Warriors caught lightning in a bottle, got Steph at a discount early, drafted brilliantly right before a massive cap spike, and were able to sign a top-2 in the league player. Clipps and Nets have spent their way to what exactly? And even still, they’re only outspending the Lakers because they had guys worth re-signing. Who haven’t the Lakers re-signed besides sad sack Caruso?
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This is one of the reasons why I feel like that Bubble title was one of the worst things that could have happened in Rob’s first season and for the franchise in general. Everyone started buying all their positive press and ignoring critique, however valid or astute. I have a hard time seeing the Buss Family not being a part of the Lakers in the future. One thing to watch is when/if the NBA begins to allow big foreign money in like FIFA and soccer in general have. That’ll even the playing field money wise and necessitate a new CBA, likely resulting in a hard cap.
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I’ll still take it but it did give Rob credibility with Jeanie that could prove to be costly.
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Hard cap making it easier to get rid of underperforming contracts? Let’s do it!
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Nope, not for the Lakers. Any time you have a handful of FA’s looking to form a superteam, all LA has to do is cut their dead weight to make room. That’s why the podunks never allow that to happen.
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Another thing about these valuations..nobody’s taking into account that the Dubs, Knicks, Bulls, and (very soon) Cipps own their arenas. The Lakers will never have that additional revenue stream as long as the Buss family owns the team..simply can’t afford it. So they also miss out on the naming rights fees (which Dr Buss was one of the 1st to implement back in the day)
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We added 11 mil when traded for Russ. The only other avenue for adding salary was if would have signed Alex for the 8 mil he wanted. The salary cap prevented us from even keeping Monk. We only had 6 mil to offer. If we use our space this summer the only guys we can go over with are Austin with birds rights and Gabriel and Nunn with early bird rights. We really can’t spend more because of the cap. Besides it is not what we have spent that got us into this mess. It was bad trades and poor asset management that did it.
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The Lakers unwillingness to take back salary in trades has limited their possible return. Teams can take back 125% of what they send out. It’s an extra rotation player in a trade. Lakers don’t want to raise payroll or taxes, which is handicapping them vs. the Warriors, Clippers, and Nets.
Lakers also continue to try and create cap space for free agents, which is part of their motivation not to trade the picks. They want to have three picks this summer so they can hopefully put together a trade for a third superstar.
The other problem the Lakers are going to have this summer is going to be matching contracts. Lakers may be forced to look for S&T deals. Otherwise, if they let Russ’ and everybody else’s contracts expire, they will have no tradeable contracts but LeBron and AD.
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You’re right about the arena being another differentiator in competitiveness in today’s NBA, Mongo. The Lakers still have plenty of natural advantages that help them but poor management has left multiple rings on the court imo. They still need to invest in winning, which means luxury taxes today, because winning will only accelerate their value while losing will only limit it.
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