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LakerTom wrote a new post
The Lakers’ win last night against the Oklahoma City Thunder without LeBron James, Anthony Davis, and D’Angelo Russell was nothing short of a ‘must win’ game Los Angeles needed to keep their playoff dreams alive.
With LeBron James out for at least half and possibly the rest of the regular season, the Lakers’ rapidly diminishing hopes of making the playoffs and enjoying a championship run are now hanging by the thinnest of threads.
Realistically, the Lakers’ only remaining path to the playoffs is an inspired Davis taking the baton from an injured James and somehow, someway finding a way to win enough games to make the Play-In Tournament.With LeBron’s return uncertain, the season is now in the hands of Darvin Ham. The Lakers will live or die on his ability to motivate players, play the right lineups and rotations, make the right adjustments, and win a title.
Frankly, it will take a perfect storm of good-news wins and injury-free games for Ham and the Lakers to even have a shot at making the playoffs but the parity in the West still leaves the door open for a Lakers run.So let’s take a hard look at how Darvin Ham has grown over the past year and see if his coaching strengths as a motivator, lineup and rotation creator, and in-game adjuster have become good enough to win a ring.
Ham’s Motivational Ability?
Darvin Ham’s greatest strength and asset as a basketball coach is his ability to build strong personal relationships with his players and convince them to buy in to his vision of how the game of basketball should be played.
Earlier in the season, we saw Ham’s interpersonal skills first hand as he convinced Westbrook to come off the bench and motivated Davis and then James to elevate their games and carry the team while the other was out.
More importantly, Ham was able to motivate the players on the Lakers’ roster to play hard and compete. There were very few of the blowouts that marked Frank Vogel’s last season. Lakers were gritty bunch under Ham.We saw more of the kind of job Darvin Ham has done integrating the six new Lakers players in the big win over the OKC Thunder last night without their top three stars in LeBron James, Anthony Davis, and D’Angelo Russell.
Ham played basically a 9-man rotation with a few throw-in minutes for Max Christie. The Lakers won 123–117 with Schroder, Brown, and Reaves all playing big roles and 9 of the 10 Lakers who played scoring over 5 points.Despite six new players and missing his three best players, Darvin Ham had the Lakers ready to win last night and his ability to get players to buy in and play hard for him bodes well for the Lakers’ LeBron-less stretch run.
Ham’s Lineups and Rotations?
It’s hard to fairly evaluate Darvin Ham’s early lineups and rotations because of the flawed roster given him by Rob Pelinka and the Lakers’ front office. Having said that, Ham’s rookie rotations likely cost the Lakers a few losses.
While Anthony Davis will be the key to whether the Lakers can finish the regular season and make the playoffs without LeBron James, rookie head coach Darvin Ham’s lineup and rotation decisions will be just as critical.
The hope after the trade deadline was the new-look Lakers would be able to finish the season with a consistent starting lineup of D’Angelo Russell, Malik Beasley, LeBron James, Jarred Vanderbilt, and Anthony Davis.With James possibly not returning until the playoffs and no timeframe set yet for Russell’s return, Ham will be responsible for deciding who replaces James and Russell to start and close and who will be in the main rotation.
Hopefully, the new-look roster is better balanced and has more options for size, shooting, and defense at every position that Ham should find it much easier to develop a solid starting and closing lineup and related rotations.Ham will need to shake his rookie jitters and make sound decisions on who will start and close games and be in his middle of game rotations, which should be much easier now that the roster has been completely rebuilt.
Ham’s In-Game Adjustments?
Making in-game adjustments is clearly Darvin Ham’s greatest area that needs improvement. While it is an expected weakness for a rookie head coach, it’s also what Ham needs to improve most for the Lakers to win.
It appears part of Ham’s coaching philosophy is to focus on doing what the team should be doing before giving up and changing strategy or scheme, which has been a criticism his mentor Mike Budenholzer has also heard.
Ham was justifiably criticized for waiting until the fourth quarter to try having Jarred Vanderbilt defend Ja Morant after he torched the Lakers for 28 points in the third quarter. Or for having AD stop playing drop coverage.Lately, however, there have been some good positive signs that Ham is starting to be less reluctant to try changes to mix things up. He went to the zone against the Thunder and the players he closed with won the game.
Darvin also deserves credit for how he handled Schroder’s embarrassing quitting in the middle of a play in the closing minutes of the 4th quarter. Ham immediately pulled Dennis and got him ready to go last night.Darvin Ham’s still going to make rookie mistakes but he’s learning fast and has increasingly shown to be capable of handling what is obviously a very challenging head coaching job. His in-game adjustments are improving.
Ham’s Chances To Win Championship?
The one thing that gives Lakers fans the most hope Darvin Ham can lead this team to the playoffs and beyond ishow hard players play for him and how they never quit, whether superstars and back-end-of-rotation guys.
Last night Lakers win over the Thunder without LeBron James, Anthony Davis, and D’Angelo Russell and with five new players who weren’t here a week ago in the rotation was a tribute to the hard work of Darvin Ham.
The Lakers were not only ready to play but ready to win without their stars. Game balls to Dennis Schroder, Troy Brown, Jr., and Austin Reaves, who bounced back great after tough games in the Grizzlies’ loss in Memphis.There’s been considerable controversy about the Lakers having Anthony Davis take a long-term planned ‘load management’ game off last night after Darvin Ham had said all of his players would play every game unless hurt.
In the end, critics thought the Lakers should have had AD sit out against the Grizzlies but play against the Thunder. The alternative, which makes more sense, is the Lakers played Davis against Denver hoping to win both games.The Lakers are understandably moving towards more load management for James and Davis to keep them fresher and heathier. Ham’s development of the rest of the roster could be the key to the Lakers winning #18.
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I mean…players health probably looms larger than Ham’s ability to motivate or X’s and O’s but this is definitely up there in terms of what needs to break right.
Can’t make anymore last two minute blunders in terms of play calling, not using time outs, and continue to manage his challenges well. He’s been fine in all those areas and pretty darn good in terms of when he deploys the coaches challenge.
Some of this will also track back to the players on the team and their level of professionalism. Of course you want to come out of this season with a raise and that’s not necessarily going to come from the Lakers as they will have some sort of internally installed spending ceiling. Guys like Schroder, Reaves and biggest of all D’Angelo Russell are going to, on some level, be thinking about that next deal. Ham needs them to buy into what we need them to do now and they need to buy in at a high level. That can be a challenge in and of itself.
The health thing… I dunno man, we have a new training staff, we’ve rested AD and LeBron a decent amount, I think AD is just fragile and LeBron is just old and that’s kinda that. So, whatever else he can squeeze out of the rest of the roster will really define his coaching job.
The in-game adjustments are, in my opinion, the hardest to judge because they’re defined by the in-game situations which aren’t static like the players or his basic strategies as a coach. He’s been OK with the in-game adjustments, but he’s also made some really questionable choices.
All in all, I’d probably rank Darvin as the 3rd reason as to why we won’t or will make the playin. I don’t think we get to the playoffs without LeBron but it’s certainly a mathematical possibility at this point. The health of AD and the professionalism and internal motivation of the players comes second (and Ham has some influence e over that for sure) come before the job a coach does.
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With LeBron out I think the biggest challenge is finding chemistry. Since the trade it’s been like pre season with just the games and no practice. Confusion on defense, missed assignments, confusion on transition defense, spacing issues on offense and passes to no one. This is all because the guys haven’t played together. Yet we are 5-2 since the trade. Looking at the schedule I think we have enough talent to make the playoffs if we can get DLO back soon and learn how to play together. That’s the toughest task for sure.
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Michael, everyone of you made a good point. But I would say that the issue of chemistry is the biggest problem. That is primarily the reason for those 26 turnovers against Memphis. That has to be expected. But I also expect that to subside once they get to know each other’s tendencies.
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Little off the subject, but NBA has got to lengthen the season (not more games) and give players a chance to rest. All these guys like LBJ, AD, KD, Booker, Ja, KAT, Curry, etc. are getting hurt too often! Bodies need time to recoup!
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DJ, while I agree with your opinion, I also think it won’t be fair to the older generations who had been there and done that. I am against changing anything. Let the players of this generation deal with it. I am not going to feel sorry for them. It’s been there before them.
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My thinking is more about the fans paying for high $$ tix and want to see the stars play. My son and I would go to Indy 3 times a year and don’t want to see Lakers without Kobe. NBA can make adjustments just like MLB has this new season (pitch clock bigger bases, etc.
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I feel you and I share your concern as well. Things haven’t looked the same ever since Pop and the Spurs invented Load Management.
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LakerTom wrote a new post
Jarred Vanderbilt couldn’t have asked for a better venue to showcase to the basketball world why he’s the missing puzzle piece to transforming the Los Angeles Lakers languishing defense back to a top-5 squad in the NBA.
In an electrifying performance, Vanderbilt showed why he could be the steal of the trade deadline as his dominating defense on Luka Doncic and energizing hustle and aggression fueled the Lakers’ monster comeback.
Vando’s 15 points, 17 rebounds, and 4 steals were at the heart of every run the Lakers put together to bounce back from their 27-point deficit early in the second quarter and stun the Dallas Mavericks with a 111–108 victory.More importantly, Vanderbilt’s game saving performance cemented how impactful he has become for Lakers defensively with his elite hops and rebounding and combo of defensive quickness, physicality, and length.
There has only been one instance in the history of the NBA where a team that was not a top-10 defensive team was able to win the championship. Vando could be the player who transforms the Lakers to a top-5 defense.Since trading for Vando, the Lakers have gone 4–1 and are currently on a 3-game winning streak and their defense, which ranked in the bottom third of the league before the trade, has been the league 3rd best since the trade.
Whether the Lakers’ new look roster gells soon enough to make playoffs or they have to wait until next season to make a run for #18, the Lakers know they now have found the key player they needed to revitalize their defense.So let’s take a closer look at why Jarred Vanderbilt has been such a great fit in the Lakers’ starting lineup and why he could be the missing puzzle piece to transforming Los Angeles’ languishing team defense into a top-5 unit.
Vanderbilt Gives Lakers Elite Wing Defender
The Lakers biggest defensive weakness the past three years has been the lack of a 6′ 8″ wing defender who could shut down or slow down the bigger guard and wing scorers in the West like Luka Doncic and Paul George.
Credit to someone in the Lakers organization who had the vision to think outside the box and find a better solution to a wing defender than spending all of their valuable trade capital for an elite option like O.G. Anunoby.
The answer was the brilliant 3-team trade where Pelinka got the defensive wing they desperately need in Vanderbilt and the necessary high volume, high percentage 3-point gunners in Russell and Beasley to make it work.Pairing an elite wing defender who can’t shoot with two high volume 3-point gunners with good size was an inspired solution to the Lakers’ desperate need for a wing defender while still improving their spacing.
Vanderbilt has been the difference maker the Lakers’ defense needed, giving them an elite versatile defender who can defend all five positions. Teams now have to game plan for Vanderbilt when playing the Lakers.Vanderbilt showcased his defensive stopper capabilities to the max against the Dallas Mavericks’ Luka Doncic, who leads the NBA in scoring. Luka went 0–3 and turned the ball over 5 times when defended by Vanderbilt.
Visibly frustrated by Vanderbilt, Luka struggled to maintain his usual control over the game pace as Jarred’s quickness, physicality, and 6′ 8″ size and 7′ 1″ wingspan forced him to speed up his game and make errors.Thanks to outside-the-box front office thinking, Jarred Vanderbilt now gives the Lakers an elite 6′ 8″ wing defender with size, length, quickness, and physicality to shut or slow down the West’s bigger wing scorers.
Vanderbilt ‘Completes’ Lakers’ Front Court
Jarred Vanderbilt is also the perfect fit as third member of what could be the NBA’s best defensive backcourt. His size, length, quickness, athleticism, savvy, and physicality complement and ‘complete’ the Lakers’ front court.
Finally, after three full years of watching the small forward position being poorly manned by shooting guards, the Lakers have finally given the small forward position back to the front court through 6′ 8″ Jarred Vanderbilt. What Vanderbilt does is create an almost interchangeable front court trio with James and Davis that can defend all three front court positions and has versatility to switch in the front court. No more small ball for Lakers.
Vando ‘completes’ the Lakers in that he provides everything their two superstars need in a third front court player: great defender, cutter, rebounder, and passer who does all of the little things that matter.
LeBron James and Anthony Davis have never had a third front court member as impactful as Jarred Vanderbilt. He could make this Lakers front court even better than the 2020 championship front court in the bubble.Vanderbilt is only 23-years old and has two years left on his contract with an annual salary under $5 million, which means he’s likely to become a staple alongside LeBron James and Anthony Davis for the next three years.
Finding that third front court member who complements and completes the Lakers front court was a huge plus for the Lakers’ chances to make the playoffs this season and emerge as a consistent contender going forward.With a towering, long, and athletic front court trio with 6′ 8″, 6′ 8″, and 6′ 10″ size 7′ 0″, 7′ 1′, and 7′ 6″ wingspans, the Los Angeles Lakers have what could become the best defensive front court in the league the next few years.
Vanderbilt Helps Lakers Backcourt Defense
The key to balancing the Lakers’ starting lineup to include a non-shooter like Jarred Vanderbilt is starting a pair of volume 3-point gunners D’Angelo Russell and Malik Beasley, who together take over 15 threes per game.
Since the Lakers traded for Russell, Beasley, and Vanderbilt, who all played together on the Minnesota Timberwolves before being traded to the Jazz as part of the Rudy Gobert deal, their backcourt defense has been excellent.
In fact, during the Lakers current 3-game win streak, the three Lakers players with the best individual defensive rating were surprisingly D’Angelo Russell at 83.5, Malik Beasley at 88.3, and Jarred Vanderbilt at 93.7.The combination of having Vanderbilt defend the opposing team’s leading scorer, who’s often a guard, and having three elite rim protectors in James, Davis, and Vanderbilt in the front court helps L.A.’s backcourt defense.
That Russell, Beasley, and Vanderbilt have played together before on the Wolves also had to help them get off to a good start in purple and gold. There were moments when the Laker defense was rotating on a string.D’Angelo Russell is 6′ 5″ with a 6′ 10″ wingspan and Malik Beasley 6′ 4″ with a 6′ 7″ wingspan, which makes the Lakers backcourt bigger. With Schroder moving to the bench, the Lakers suddenly have a bigger starting lineup.
That positional size and length advantage translates into more rebounds, dunks, layups, blocks, and steals throughout the game. After suffering from being undersized, watching the Lakers bully ball other teams is fun.Having D’Angelo Russell and Malik Beasley post the best defensive ratings on the entire Lakers team for the current 3-game win streak is encouraging since both guards were brought in for their offense, not their defense.
Vanderbilt Makes Lakers Top-5 Defense
NBA history is studded with great players like Ron Artest,Dennis Rodman, and Draymond Green who found ways to become championship players despite not being shooters. The Lakers think Jarred Vanderbilt is another.
In the 5 games since the trade deadline, the Lakers have a 4–1 record and a team defensive rating of 106.8, which 3rd best in the NBA for that period. During the recent 3-game win streak, they had an even better 104.2 rating.
One of Rob Pelinka’s goals at the trade deadline was to improve the Lakers’ defense as well as their offense, which is why Rob demanded Vanderbilt be part of the trade and why they pursued Bamba in the end over Bogdanovic.Pelinka knows defense wins championships and the current roster needed help on the defensive side and the offensive side. Before the trade, the Lakers had #19 OffRtg at 113.1, #20 DefRtg at 114.3, and #24 NetRtg at -1.1.
For the 5 games after the trade, the Lakers had #21 OffRtg at 112.4, #3 DefRtg at 106.8, and #7 NetRtg at 5.6. While the deadline trades have not yet helped the Lakers’ offense, they’ve definitely given L.A. a defensive boost.The Lakers simply need to play like a top-5 defense for the 21 games left on their regular season schedule. That means posting a defensive rating below 110.0 for the rest of the regular season, which L.A. should be able to do.
The challenge for the Lakers is going to be to stay healthy. We already heard that James and Russell will both miss tomorrow night’s game against the Grizzlies. Hopefully, they’ll both be ready to play Wednesday night.With Vanderbilt becoming their shut down wing defender, ‘completing’ the Lakers front court, and helping the backcourt defend better, the Lakers have a chance to enter the playoffs with a dominant top-5 team defense.
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The big challenge for coach Darvin Ham is figuring out whom to start. It will be interesting to see who replaces LeBron. I could see him inserting Rui or Mo. Be interesting to see how a front court of AD and MO could do to an undersized Grizzlies team missing their starting center.
I seriously think the Lakers can win tonight’s game. This team loves LeBron James and to a man, I expect to see nothing but their very best effort tonight. Lakers win by 20. Four in a row. Watch it happen live tonight. Lakers win 4th in a row.
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I expect Rui to start. He matches up well with Tillman who is also 6’8” and not the scoring threat that Rui is. At 6’ 11” Jackson Jr is not undersized and he is a scorer and you definitely want AD on him. I think Vandy will draw Bane. He is a big time scorer. And if Vandy can hang with Luka, he can hang with Bane. Probably have Beasley on Brooks. Brooks can be streaky but over all not a good shooter. Dennis had a great defensive game against Ja last time so hopefully he can do it again.
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Rui needs to be aggressive in getting his easy midrange jumpers. He can jump over most defenders. We really need Russell to get back. LeBron’s playmaking will be the hardest to replace. We need DLO for that.
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My concern has been Rui. Not that he has been a disappointment it is just that he needs to be more aggressive and start making those midrange jump shots. He tends to be a little bit passive but I am liking what I am seeing so far. There is a little bit more to be desired.
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I think you’re spot on with the matchups, Michael, but I would still like to see how Vando does against Ja for a few possessions. Lakers still need to win this game with their defense. That’s what’s gotten much better post trades.
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Jackson Jr is a walking foul waiting to happen. AD needs to put pressure on him early and send him to the bench.
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Good read, LT, as you know I was stoked to see Jarred come here minute one. The Mavs were the best test to date and there will be some other good ones down the line. Hope the young man forces us to pay him a lot of money…and that we make good on that and don’t pull a Caruso.
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Thanks, Jamie. I tried in every trade to include one promising young player. Vando, PJ, Bey. Rob may have the steal of the trade deadline in Vando. That trade is Pau Gasol quality deal.
The trades and new look roster have me not so worried about LeBron’s injury, especially since no surgery will be required and it’s not season ending.
I’m hoping the injury can be a silver lining for this team in AD taking over (yeah, I know but it’s going to happen some time and the situation now is ripe for it) and the team coalescing around winning for LeBron.
In a way, to me, this is an opportunity to see what an Anthony Davis centric basketball team might look like. This team is really deep and diverse. I think we can win tonight and keep making progress despite LeBron being out. If we can, that will give the team and us fans a lot more hope for good endings.
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Won’t go full hyperbole and compare it to the Gasol trade which resulted in 3 straight NBA Finals appearances and 2 banners but it did improve the team if only by sticking to the summer plan and not using both picks.
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The Lakers transformed their roster to complement, support, and help the team win when James and Davis miss time with injury.
We're going to get a real time trial run of what the new look Lakers roster can do with James now out 2-3 weeks.https://t.co/3VXlYcwSVR
— LakerTom (@LakerTom) February 28, 2023
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LakerTom wrote a new post
The Lakers making the playoffs seems like a pipe dream with 7 teams standing between them and a top-6 finish and guaranteed playoff seed in the west but it’s actually a slam dunk if they can win 75% of their games.
Right now, the Lakers are in 13th place, 1.5 games out of 10th place and the Play-In Tournament and 3.5 games out of 6th place and guaranteed playoff spot but fortunately have 13 games against 8 of the 9 teams above them.
Lakers’ head coach Darvin Ham says the team does not want to participate in the Play-In Tournament and is focused on winning a top-6 seed in the Western Conference playoffs by winning 16 of 23 or 70% of the games left.When you look at how many teams are between the #13 Lakers and the #6 seed in the playoffs, it’s easy to wonder if it’s simply just too late for Los Angeles to make a serious run at getting into the top-6 teams in the West.
Earning 7th or 8th place in the West to get two shots at winning a playoff spot in the Play-In Tournament is certainly a more realistic and achievable goal for the Lakers to have with so far to climb and just 22 games to do it.But this season has seen a plague of parity the likes of which the Western Conference of the NBA has not seen for years and the Lakers are fortunate that this situation has given them an unexpected chance to win a ring.
Current Western Conference Standings and Records
With Denver, Memphis, and Sacramento holding the top three spots in the West standings, the battle for the remaining three guaranteed playoff spots and the four available spots in the Play-In Tournament will be ferocious.
Right now, the Phoenix Suns, Los Angeles Clippers, and Dallas Mavericks have solid but small leads on the #4, #5, and #6 seeds. All three teams have winning records for the season as well as for the last 10 games they played.
If the Lakers want to avoid the Play-In Tournament, they’re going to need to climb over seven teams including one of the Suns, Clippers, and Mavs to jump from 13th to 6th seed, a formidable challenge with just 22 games left.Frankly, the more realistic target for the Los Angeles Lakers is to finish in 7th or 8th place so they would get two shots at winning a Play-In game to secure the favorable #7 or #8 seed in the Western Conference playoffs.
Fortunately for the Lakers, most of the teams with whom they would be competing in the Play-In Tournament do not have winning records for the season or for their last 10 games, which gives Los Angeles an advantage.Here are current Western Conference standings and win-loss records for the 10 teams separated by 3.5 games between 4th place and 13th place plus the teams’ win % last 10 games and games still remaining against Lakers:
PLAYOFFS:
#4 PHX 33–28, 70%, 2 games
#5 LAC 33–29, 50%, 1 game
#6 DAL 32–29, 60%, 2 gamesPLAY-IN:
#7 MIN 31–31, 40%, 2 games
#8 NOP 30–30, 40%, 1 game
#9 GSW 30–30, 40%, 1 game
#10 UTA 30–31, 50%, 2 games#11 OKC 28–31, 40%, 2 games
#12 POR 28–31, 50%, 0 games
#13 LAL 28–32, 50%
Projected Western Conference Standings and Records
If the Lakers want to avoid the Play-In Tournament and enter the playoffs as the #6 team in the West, they’re going to have to do it by stealing the Clippers’ top-6 playoff spot and kicking them down to the Play-In Tourney.
The unprecedented parity that’s infected the Western Conference of the NBA shows no signs of breaking with 15 teams competing for 6 guaranteed playoff spots and 4 postseason spots in the new Play-In Tournament.
The bad news is the Lakers have to climb over 7 teams just to avoid the Play-In Tournament. The good news is they still have 10 games against the seven teams directly above them in the Western Conference standings.One way to project the win-loss records for the ten teams fighting for the remaining 7 postseason spots is to apply their win % last 10 games to the games remaining on their schedules to project their final win-loss records.
That would give the Lakers 11 wins and a 39–43 record, which probably means missing the Play-In. Winning 75% or 17 games, on the other hand, would elevate the Lakers’ projected win-loss record to 45–37 and #5 seed.Here are projected Western Conference standings and win-loss records if team’s win % last 10 days is applied to the remaining games. For Lakers, we used 75%, their record since deadline, rather than 50% win % last 10 days:
PLAYOFFS:
#4 PHX 48–34
#5 LAL 45–37
#6 DAL 45–37PLAY-IN:
#7 LAC 43–39
#8 UTA 41–41
#9 POR 40–42
#10 MIN 39–43LOTTERY:
#11 NOP 39–43
#12 GSW 39–43
#13 OKC 37–45
Why Every Remaining Lakers Game Is ‘Must Win’ Game
While winning 75% or 17 of their remaining 23 games would essentially guarantee the Los Angeles Lakers make the playoffs, their margin for error is razor slim with every single remaining game being a ‘must win’ game.
Another way of showing how thin the Lakers chances of making the playoff are is to consider how many losses would eliminate them from top-6 seed, 7th or 8th in the Play-In Tournament, or 9th or 10th in Play-In Tournament.
If Lakers lose 7 games, they probably aren’t making playoffs as top-6 team. If they lose 9 games, they probably aren’t making 7th or 8th in the Play-In Tournament. If they lose 11 games, they’re at risk of missing the playoffs.That means the Lakers have to view every single one of the 22 remaining games on their schedules as ‘must win’ games. They need to come out and dominate every game from the start and not allow teams to hang around.
The Lakers don’t have any margin for error to suffer a loss because they allowed an opponent to hang around and then heroically pull out a win with a great play by their star player or a blown call by one of the refs.The Lakers’ last two dominating wins were perfect templates for what they need to do every single game. Every Laker has to come out and play like every game is the most important regular season game of their careers.
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Here are current Western Conference standings and win-loss records for the 10 teams separated by 3.5 games between 4th place and 13th place plus the teams’ win % last 10 games and games still remaining against Lakers:https://t.co/MdVkr2hn5a pic.twitter.com/xYdtR4Ffow
— LakerTom (@LakerTom) February 25, 2023
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Here are projected Western Conference standings and win-loss records if team’s win % last 10 days is applied to the remaining games. For Lakers, we used 75%, their record since deadline, rather than 50% win % last 10 days:https://t.co/MdVkr2hn5a pic.twitter.com/rrbfVmOCHf
— LakerTom (@LakerTom) February 25, 2023
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If the Lakers want to avoid the Play-In Tournament and enter the playoffs as the #6 team in the West, they’re going to have to do it by stealing the Clippers’ top-6 playoff spot and kicking them down to the Play-In Tourney.https://t.co/MdVkr2hn5a pic.twitter.com/RezOFNXOeM
— LakerTom (@LakerTom) February 25, 2023
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Did not watch Clipps, but what a game. Did see Westy had 7 TO’s though. Anyone watch and your thoughts.
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Just like Lakers. Made some great passes and shots. Also made 7 turnovers and they lost the game.
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While winning 75% or 17 of their remaining 23 games would essentially guarantee the Los Angeles Lakers make the playoffs, their margin for error is razor slim with every single remaining game being a ‘must win’ game.https://t.co/MdVkr2hn5a pic.twitter.com/0nZhlRr7y4
— LakerTom (@LakerTom) February 25, 2023
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Basically it all comes down to health. Our 2 most recent wins have come against team’s without key players in Steph and Zion. We should (and had) to win those games. The real point of this, which should be obvious, is that the Lakers do not in any way shape or form control their own destiny. They haven’t for awhile now. They need two teams to fall out of the playoff AND playin picture completely. Of all the teams in front of us it feels like Utah will fall out mainly because one assumes that was the plan all along.
KAT could be back soon which will bolster the T’Wolves chances of staying in the playin. Hard to count Golden State out when they get Steph back. NOLA might fall all the way out…unless Zion comes back and pumps them back up to what was a top 3 team. That’s just the playin teams. Those already feel like a stretch even with our new look lineups.
The playoffs feel like a mile away, yes I understand the math. Kyrie and Luka feel combustible enough that they might fall out. I actually see the Clippers either staying put or climbing just based on depth and experience and the fact that Kawhi is rounding into shape.
If the Lakers win 70-75% of their games it will be astounding, but it is possible and they can’t afford to lose many (if any) in division or conference games going forward because those basically count as 2 losses.
I’ll add that if the team misses the playoffs the season will, and should, be viewed as a massive failure. People will try and blame Russ the same way the blamed Vogel. The true fault rests with neither but with the dithering and woebegone leadership of the franchise. Could have pulled the trigger on a trade this summer. Did not. Could have spent to keep Caruso and THT and had more trade flexibility or even just better players. Did not.
What they do after this season, however it ends, will give us a very clear picture of their priorities. Are they willing to spend on a level comparable to the Nets, Warriors or Clippers? Or are they highest profile small market team of all time. Concerned more about the bottom line than the team on the court? Those questions look over all of this and we won’t really know how it’ll break until the season concludes. My hope is the players on the roster force ownership to come up to their level of winning but I have doubts that will happen. I expect at least one of the new guys to be on a new team next season simply because the Lakers won’t go deep into taxes to keep them all. We’ll see, I was (finally) wrong about the lack of in-season trades so maybe it’s portends of better things from the top down.
Honestly, in the end as it has all along, this will come down to AD and LBJ’s health and ability to play well. The rest are the trimmings and, gravy and cherry on top.
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LOL. Takes a lot to get Dr. No happy. That’s the big problem with the glass-half-empty crowd. Always focused on the negative that they miss the positive. Lakers doing everything right but some still unhappy.
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LOL back atcha. You do realize that, should we not make the playoffs, we’ll have basically traded a 1st round pick for players we probably could have signed in free agency, right? Or at least their equivalent. For this we should all be lining up to give Rob an apology hand job or something? Lol, you’ll not be surprised when my place in line is empty, I assume.
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LMAO. You need to pay a little more attention to how the salary cap and trades and free agency work.
We traded for 6 new players whose combined salaries totalled $69.5M. We also have a way to keep all 6 playerw with Bird, RFA, or Team options so we can go over the cap to keep all of them plus Reaves.
The goal of these trades was to get players who were keepers, who were young, tall and long, athletic, and able to shoot the rock and play defense. This was a move for the present and the future.
Wait until hell freezes over if that’s what you want. The rest of us will cogratulate and thank Rob and root for things to keep coming up Lakers.
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..:at a price point ownership has yet to come close to. That’s the sentence you left out.
Also, if they don’t or we choose not to keep some/most/any (something certainly atBD) then, yes, we will have traded a FRP for the plan they were following all along. Basically, the way I see it, the jury is still pretty out on how amazing all these trades are. As I’ve already said, and will continue to say, Rob did a good job hewing to the course defined for him this summer and still moved Russ who fit poorly here based onbthe choices made after they signed him. which was to cheap out. If the cheaping outbdoesnt change there’s no way we keep all these guys.
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They didn’t give up a first round pick for players they are not going to re-sign.
We may not spend like the Clippers or Dubs but were not going to cut any of the 5 new players we added if they all play great.
Doesn’t mean we won’t trade them but I think we’re done letting tradeable players walk for nothing in free agency.
Need to manager the assets better than that. No more losing guys like Monk and Caruso for nothing.
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The win number we have the 6 seed at in our BBI forecast is 43.8 wins.
40-42 would place LA in the play-in. https://t.co/splEDbN9pn
— Cranjis McBasketball (@Tim_NBA) February 25, 2023
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This whole thing is built on a faulty premise. It assumes that all 7 teams are gonna play .500 or worse and that we’re the only team capable of getting hot to end the season. That logic is flawed…at best. Give me 7th or 8th and let’s roll.
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It assumed that the other teams in the race would finish with the same percentage as their last 10 games. If that was true for Lakers, they would finish at 50% to end 39-43, which would be 10th, 11th, or 12th. Seems like a logical way to project final totals.
That seems about right except the Lakers dramatically improved so I used 75%, which is their winning percentage since the trade deadline. That gives them 17 wins instead of 11 of the next 22 games, which moves them up to a tie with the Mavs and a game in front of the Clippers, who get dumped down into the Play-In.
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It’s not sound logic if you’re projecting the other teams based on a different sample size from what you’re using o to project the Lakers. And the Mavs and Clipps both made major moves at the deadline as well.
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LOL. OK. I believe the Lakers moves are all positive while the moves by the Mavs and the Clips have potential to be disruptive and harmful to those teams.
Anyway, it’s just a fun projection. Let’s see how close or far away it is when the season ends. I do think the Lakers record for the last 20 games will be among the best in the West.
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I believe the same thing. What I don’t believe is that everyone else is gonna play .500 or worse. Other teams want momentum heading into the playoffs too…ain’t just us.
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Here’s the problem. Most of these teams are playing .400 or .500 right now for season and last 10 games. Nobody’s winning 6 or 7 or 8 of 10. And they’re all playing each other, which is why they’re still bunched.
I think Lakers have best chance to break out. It’s going to be very hard to get #6 and the only way is to win 17 or 18 games. Frankly, the Lakers are that much better after the trades so it’s up to Ham and them to do it.
Best of all, even if they don’t, I like the pieces going forward. Very good fits with James and Davis and very tradeable. Unlike the past when we were chasing cap space, we now have pieces to trade when opportunity knocks. But this year is still wide open.
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lol. Projections. Let’s take it one game at a time. FWIW we’ve played teams we match up well with and had injuries to key players. That scenario won’t hold. The new look hasn’t really even been tested, yet, today is a good one. Who is going to contain Kyrie and Luka? Jarred will try, probably get into foul trouble but I hope he makes it hard for Luka to get his. Don’t see anyone on our roster other than Dennis who can stay in front of Irving.
What I’m saying is that that you’re basing projections off of the two best case scenarios, that’s not sustainable or realistic, although it is fun, I guess. I personally don’t go in much for sun/loss projections. Too many factors that influence the outcome. I think you laid out great and lofty goals and I hope the Lakers are up to it but like DJ said a couple days ago: I can see 7-8 or 13-2z Vast difference between the two. One keeps the season alive and one signals it’s demise.
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I think health will be the key. Not just for the Lakers but everyone in front of us as well. I can’t remember a years were so many stars have lost significant playing time to injury. That is the primary reason the west is so tight. The Warriors sit at 7 but they get Steph back next week, so you have to assume they will start playing better. I have not read a time frame for Towns and Zion but once they are back both the Pels and T-Wolves will be better as well. I do believe we make the play in. But the 6th seed will be tough. I think Dallas could slip out of the 6th seed. They traded defense for Kyrie and they were not good defensively before the trade, but a healthy Warriors team is in better position to step into that slot. I would feel better about our chances if this group had been together longer and had developed a chemistry. But they will be forced to learn on the fly which will be tough. I think our secret weapon will be our depth. After the trade we are probably the deepest team in the west with the exception of the Clippers. Our 2nd unit has played together and they have started so we should have an advantage there. I would love the 6th seed but the 8th seed seems a more realistic goal. This road trip will tell us a lot about how far we can climb. And if we have any chance at the 6th seed we will need to beat the Mav’s today.
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Yes to all of the above. Health is always the key in sport but especially the NBA where the pool of talent/team is small. Our depth isn’t enough to overcome an injury to AD or LeBron, for instance. Those 5-8 games we gave away at the free throw line loom larger and larger as the season tightens. Just those are a lot of ground to recover and if you throw in the number of division and conference losses it gets doubly tough. Great test for this squad because if they ride to the challenge it really can be something special and ownership shoukd rise to the challenge next and spend to keep it together.
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Well said, Michael. I especially agree about our depth being our secret weapon. Fear LeBron and AD but watch out for the others.
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LakerTom wrote a new post
The Rob Pelinka apology train can’t add enough cars to carry all the purple and gold fans who want on after Rob surprised everybody with a series of brilliant trades that transformed the Lakers into possible title contenders.
While the Lakers face a challenge just to make the playoffs, their new-look starting lineup and rotations after the trade deadline have already made them the extremely dangerous team nobody wants to meet in the playoffs.
Frankly, Pelinka surprised everybody with a masterclass in roster building, getting six quality players who are great fits next to LeBron and AD for one lightly protected first round pick and six players the Lakers didn’t want.But the question everybody should be asking is what’s behind the Lakers’ suddenly making smarter decisions? Is it as simple as Rob learning from the Westbrook mistake or Jeanie allowing Rob to make the big decisions?
Were the trade deadline moves isolated transactions or do they represent major changes in the Lakers’ future basketball philosophy and strategy? What’s the real story behind the Lakers making smarter decisions?How could the front office that traded Kyle Kuzma, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Montrezl Harrell, and #22 pick in 2021 draft for Russell Westbrook and two second round picks suddenly start making smart decisions?
The answer is Rob and Jeanie learned, adjusted, and did a better job this time, prioritizing fit, depth, continuity, and versatility rather than a third star, resetting their LeBron calendar, and embracing the modern game.Here are four reasons why the Lakers are now making smarter decisions: Rob’s learned from his mistakes, Jeanie’s given him full authority, they reset their LeBron calendar, and they embraced the modern game.
1. Pelinka Learned From Mistakes
Whether the mistake was lusting for a third superstar, ignoring the poor fit, or not standing up to your owner and superstars, trading for Westbrook would have cost any NBA general manager other than Rob Pelinka his job.
But instead of firing him, the Lakers gave Rob a 2-year extension in June of 2022 to sync his contract with Darvin Ham to allay any fears Ham had of the Lakers hiring a new GM who would then want to hire his own coach.
Frankly, that the Lakers gave Pelinka an extension in June 2022 but did not reveal that publicly until October suggests that Jeanie Buss did not blame Rob Pelinka for the Russell Westbrook trade and trusted him to fix it.We know that James and Davis were initially behind the Lakers trade for Russell Westbrook and that Jeanie Buss has always loved Russ and vetoed trading him to Indiana for Myles Turner and Buddy Hield before camp.
It would not be surprising to eventually find out the Rob had not been in favor of trading for Westbrook, which was why Jeanie Buss doubled down and extended him as the Lakers’ Vice President of Basketball Operations.Regardless, there’s universal praise for the job Rob Pelinka did completely remaking the Lakers roster with three precision trades that cost six players the Lakers no longer wanted and a lightly protected 2027 first round pick.
The Lakers received starting point guard D’Angelo Russell. shooting guard Malik Beasley, and small forward Jarred Vanderbilt, plus backup shooting guard Davon Reed, power forward Rui Hachimura, and center Mo Bamba.Rob clearly learned from his mistakes. He refused to overpay in a trade for superstar Kyrie Irving and prioritized filling the Lakers desperate need for size, shooting, and defense while not sacrificing the franchise’s future.
2. Jeanie Gave Rob Full Authority
The best professional sports franchises have owners who, while reserving the final right of approval, hire professional front office executive teams to whom they delegate the job of decision making and running the franchise.
That was never the business management model Dr. Jerry Buss followed as he built the Los Angeles Lakers into a legendary sports franchise that had won a league best 17 NBA championships and was worth over $5 billion.
Jerry Buss was a hands-on visionary who made the franchise’s basketball as well as business decisions. His son Jim tried to follow his footsteps and won two NBA championships before being replaced by his sister Jeanie in 2017.Jeanie has now been in charge of the Lakers for five years and has won one NBA championship. She has wavered being an active owner and visionary like her father and trusting and relying on a professional like Rob Pelinka.
Jeanie deserves kudos not only for signing Rob to an extension last summer but also for giving him the authority and power at the trade deadline to go out and do whatever he needed to transform the Lakers into a contender.Jeanie Buss is not the hands-on visionary her father was or her brother tried to be but she‘s smart enough to know she needed a trusted basketball professional manager to be the visionary the Lakers desperately needed.
This is not the same NBA in which her father was able to win 11 titles in the 33 seasons he ran the team. The landscape is completely different both on and off of the court. This is no longer her father’s NBA or L.A. Lakers.Jeanie Buss bet the future of the Lakers on Rob Pelinka and the ghost of Kobe Bryant by giving him the extension he deserved and the power and authority to set the Los Angeles Lakers on an exciting new directionless.
3. Lakers Reset LeBron Calendar
One of the biggest benefits of Rob Pelinka’s decision to wait until the trade deadline to move Westbrook was the Lakers were able to satisfy themselves that LeBron still had another 3 to 5 years of high quality basketball in him.
Once the Lakers felt comfortable James was not going to dramatically decline in the near future, they were able to reset their clock for finding a replacement for James, which clarified the Lakers rebuilding process.
Suddenly, the Lakers were looking for an extreme roster makeover not only to give then the size, shooting, and defense needed to be win this year but also to be legitimate championship contenders over the next 3 to 5 years.There’s no question LeBron James has committed to the Los Angeles Lakers and plans to finish his career wearing purple and gold. His signing the 2-year extension was significant proof of his commitment to Lakers.
While the Lakers did show interest when superstar Kyrie Irving demanded a trade, it’s significant that Rob Pelinka ultimately ghosted the Nets when they suggested a counter offer that the Lakers would never accept.Resetting the LeBron calendar reduced the immediate pressure on the Lakers to find a replacement for James and emboldened them to start the extreme roster makeover before the deadline and finish it this summer.
As the Lakers continued to grow more and more confident LeBron had multiple high caliber years remaining, their makeover plans became more and more aggressive as they worked multiple deals simultaneously.In the end, resetting the LeBron clock changed everything for the Lakers. Suddenly, they could see a window of at least 3 and maybe 5 more years of LeBron playing at a high level, which changed their entire perspective.
4. Lakers Embrace Modern Game
After decades of old school GMs and coaches, the moves by the new-look Lakers are a final confirmation that the Los Angeles Lakers have wholly and unabashedly embraced the modern NBA and the power of the three.
Much of the Lakers’ struggles the past three seasons can be linked to their lack of vision or identity, which is what happens when ownership and management are more interested in a player’s star power than skillset.
That lack of direction or vision led to wheel spinning and poor decision making on whom to sign or pursue via trade, which led to a Lakers’ front office almost paralyzed with fear of making another disastrous mistake.Basically, the modern NBA game is about spacing and shooting, both of which the Lakers have seriously lacked the past three seasons. This season the Lakers took the 24th and made the 29th fewest 3-pointers in the NBA.
With the addition of 2 of the league’s 15 highest volume 3-point shooters in D’Angelo Russell and Malik Beasley, the Lakers added significant 3-point gravity to their backcourt that should unleash superstars James and Davis.In addition to adding Russell and Beasley, the Lakers brought in Jarred Vanderbilt to be their starting small forward and defensive specialist whose job would be to shut down or slow down the other team’s top scorer.
Finally, the Lakers traded for a pair of promising young 3&D front court players in Rui Hachimura to backup superstar power forward LeBron James and and Mo Bamba to backup superstar center Anthony Davis.Embracing the modern NBA and its reliance on 3-point shooting to create spacing to unleash superstars has enabled the Lakers to make smarter decisions on whom to pursue and how to utilize them in modern game.
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Here are four reasons why the Lakers are now making smarter decisions: Rob’s learned from his mistakes, Jeanie’s given him full authority, they reset their LeBron calendar, and they embraced the modern game.https://t.co/0eGEIDa1eV
— LakerTom (@LakerTom) February 24, 2023
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No apologies coming from me. He did the job he’s paid to do. Not sure why folks feel the need overly congratulate him for simply showing up for work. Also we can’t judge the job he’s done until we see how two things work out: 1) the rest of the season and 2) how many of the guys who end up fitting well we can retain. Rob did a good job hewing the company line of cap space for the summer and don’t use both picks. He did that. That’s worthy of praise. The rest is TBD.
I would say that this was more of a relief for all the people who fell all over themselves giving him props like “master class” and such in the summer before they even saw the team play. Talk about hyperbole.
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In the end I feel like B is both a solid and fair grade. Would have been nice to keep Bryant who I still think would have been a better fit as he can shoot the three but plays at a better pace and with more energy than Bamba does. I hope that Mo works out but personally not expecting big things from a seven footer who plays small.
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LakerTom wrote a new post
Everything’s suddenly coming up roses for the Lakers as the first preview of head coach Darvin Ham’s new look starting lineup and rotation powered Los Angeles to a dominating 120–102 coast-to-coast win over New Orleans.
Two days after proclaiming Schröder and Russell as his starting backcourt, Darvin Ham reversed course and unveiled a new innovative starting lineup for Wednesday night’s game that could change everything for the Lakers.
Darvin Ham’s surprising new Lakers’ starting lineup has D’Angelo Russell at point guard, Malik Beasley at shooting guard, Jarred Vanderbilt at small forward, LeBron James at power forward, and Anthony Davis at center.The new lineup addresses the Lakers’ two greatest needs: a pair of volume 3-point shooting guards with gravity to create spacing and a bigger wing defender who can guard opposing team’s leading scorer at all three levels.
Russell, Beasley, and Vanderbilt played together on the Timberwolves, which made their first integration with James and Davis smoother and easier as the Lakers suddenly looked like a potential playoff juggernaut.Right now, the 27–32 Lakers have 23 games remaining on their regular season schedule, that restarts next Thursday against the Warriors. The Lakers need to win almost every single game to make the playoffs.
To finish 10th and make the play-in, they need to win 14 of 23 for a 41–41 record. To finish 8th, they need to win 16 of 23 for a 43–39 record. To finish 6th and make the playoffs, they need to win 18 of 23 for a 45–37 record.After watching their new lineups, the Lakers’ long-shot path to the playoffs suddenly looks more like a slam dunk. Barring injury, the Lakers are about to become the nightmare team that nobody wants to face in the playoffs.
The Lakers were a doomed team last week, their front office questioning whether to even make a move to save the season. That now appears to have been all posturing as Rob Pelinka and the Lakers won the trade deadline.Ham’s new lineups now have the Lakers looking at bigger targets than just making the play-in tourney or the playoffs. The Lakers believe their new lineups and rotation have them potentially poised for a championship run.
Rob Pelinka Finally Shows His Royal Flush
Sometimes, the best opportunities to redefine who you are, reestablish an identity, or create a new vision for the future happen after a team has made a horrendous mistake that threatens the viability of the franchise.
That’s exactly what happened with the Los Angeles Lakers this season. After struggling to figure out how to get out of the hole in which the Westbrook trade had left them, Rob Pelinka found a vision to embrace.
Westbrook caused the Lakers to rethink everything. Three superstars vs. two superstars? Cap space vs. tradable contracts? Win now vs. build for the future? The value of draft picks. How to make a third superstar work?As the trade deadline approached, Pelinka knew the Lakers needed more than tweaks not only to give the team a shot at making the playoffs and winning #18 but also to position them to be a major player this summer.
Pelinka knew the Lakers needed an extreme makeover and set a goal to swap six players, all but one on expiring contracts, and one protected first round pick for three new starters and three new primary backups.But before Pelinka could execute his bold trade deadline plan to rebuild the Lakers, Kyrie Irving turned the NBA world on its head by demanding a trade from the Nets with the L.A. Lakers as his preferred destination.
This was the ultimate test for Pelinka. Could a last minute trade for a third superstar once again derail Lakers’ plans to build a deep, diverse roster? This time Rob resisted the Nets’ crazy demands and returned back to plan.The trades Pelinka had lined up had already produced Hachimura, Russell, Beasley, and Vanderbilt when Rob reportedly gave up trying to trade Beverley and Walker for Bogdanovic and instead traded for Mo Bamba.
Rob solved the Lakers’ need for size, shooting, and defense with six bigger, younger, better players, including two new starting guards and one starting defensive wing plus a backup shooting guard, forward, and rim protector.By keeping one of the picks, trading for younger players with more upside, and negotiating strong top-4 protection on the pick that traded to Utah, Pelinka was able to protect and actually enhance the Lakers’ future.
Should the Lakers make the playoffs and be fortunate enough to win their 18th NBA Championship, those observers, including myself, who thought the Lakers were the biggest trade deadline winner will be vindicated.Bottom line, while trying to find a way out of the Westbrook disaster, Rob Pelinka’s ended up finding an innovative vision he could embrace for a new and different Lakers’ team that’s built to win both today and tomorrow.
Darvin Ham Embraces New Look Lakers Lineups
After being mercilessly trolled for his earlier starting lineups and rotations, Darvin Ham is now receiving universal praise for the new look Lakers’ lineups that he previewed against the Pelican last Wednesday night.
There’s been no behind-the-scenes reporting on how and why Darvin Ham suddenly changed his mind two days after declaring Dennis Schröder and D’Angelo Russell would be his starting backcourt for the foreseeable future.
Whether it was his own decision or whether he was following counsel from Rob Pelinka or others, Ham clearly made the right decision and the Lakers’ performance Wednesday night clearly validated his new look lineups.The decision by Rob Pelinka and the front office to completely rebuild the Lakers’ starting lineup and rotation with just 23 games left was a complete surprise considering the franchise’s inaction the past two trade deadlines.
It was also a strong vote of confidence in rookie head coach Darvin Ham, who had been specifically included in the trade deadline strategy meetings and was closely involved as the Lakers’ final trade deadline plans evolved.While I’ve been a strong Darvin Ham supporter, I’ve also been highly critical of his lineups, rotations, and substitutions. What drives me crazy about Darvin is he won’t set rules to help manage his lineups and rotations.
The Lakers have two superstars, two point guards, two rim protectors. Every single Lakers lineup that sets foot on the court should have one superstar, one point guard, and one rim protector as part of its fivesome.There’s no question some of those earlier lineups were probably the best Ham could do with what Pelinka had given him. Fortunately, the new look roster is deeper, bigger, and more diverse than Darvin’s earlier roster.
The key will be can the new look Lakers lineups defend. Based on last Wednesday’s preview, the signs are promising. The Lakers starting lineup has two defenders who can defend all five positions at all three levels.The Lakers took a huge risk in hiring a rookie head coach like Darvin Ham but he’s held up well in face of serious challenges in getting Westbrook to accept coming off the bench and dealing with James’ and Davis’ injuries.
Now Darvin will get a chance to coach with a roster that’s deep and diverse and a perfect fit for LeBron James and Anthony Davis. And with his new look lineups, Ham’s ready to go with the right players in the right positions.With 23 games left in the season, this Laker are now firmly in the hands of rookie head coach Darvin Ham, who’s finally going to have a chance to coach the quality of team we expected to when he was hired by the Lakers.
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Really this last week or so was a tale of two realities: one with LeBron and the other without. Few players warp a basketball court, or a sport even, like a healthy and engaged LeBron James. The two key words in all of that are “healthy“ and “engaged”. There is no line up entered only around Davis that can win consistently. We saw that for the last couple weeks after LeBron broke the scoring record. I also have to wonder if Ham deployed Vanderbilt because of his track record of excellent defense on Brandon Ingram and added Beasley into the starting five because those three played together for a couple seasons. We’ll see post break, I think that line up has potential that could be switched up a little depending on matchups (Walker, Reaves or Dennis over Malik, for example) and with no camp and not much practice it won’t be too surprising to see Ham try some combos down the stretch. In all honesty, given how we need to win as many of these games as we can, it makes sense to treat them like playoff games. Got a guy who lights some team or other? Start him and make sure you run something for him in the sweet spot. Someone locks up a crucial matchup on D for whatever reason? Make him the primary defender and make sure he’s ready in the same minutes slot.
The only thing that the Lakers absolutely have to avoid is complacency. They need to do what they can to reduce LeBron’s workload, and your ideas about staggering minutes should have been gospel since the summer and why it hasn’t been is highly questionable, and maximize his availability. Same goes for AD who needs to use what health he has to dominate the paint on both ends.
We’ll see how some of the new guys adjust to this pressure cooker, we’ll see how the guys here from before adjust to new roles. The one thing I know is the spacing won’t matter if we give up points like they’re junk mail coupons. That has been the issue, yes some of that can be stymied by running a smarter offense, but most of it comes from simple effort on defense. We need to rr-dedicate ourselves to hard close outs and live with midrange twos, can’t sieve points in the paint, either. If Mi can defend without fouling on a per minute basis I think he can help but that’s not really his MO to date. Like many players before him and yet to come, physical tools are wonderful but limited by what you are actually able to accomplish. We had high hopes for the long-limbed THT and we saw how chasing that dream cost us a truly impactful rotation and playoff player.
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Good stuff, Jamie. Great win to keep us enthralled for another week. What a great starting lineup and rotation. Frankly, going to be hard for Darvin to screw up the rotations if he sticks to these lineups.
I’m sure we will see some growing pains as the team learns how each other plays but the upgrade in quality of suddenly having a bunch of guys who make more than the minimum is amazing. I love the starting lineup and the first line of reserves. Ham can even play the second unit as one since it covers all the basics.
The big difference will be defense and adding Vando and Bamba will turn out to be huge defensive moves. Both already have shown they totally change the Lakers defensive dynamic and give AD needed support. This could be the best trade deadline set of deals I’ve ever seen.
The result is what happens when a team’s front office has made such a terrible move that they’re willing to consider everything. That they actually initiated an extreme makeover tells you how distressed they were over the situation. That they made the smart move to rebuild a team with youth and athleticism to surround their older superstars was a difference maker. With a little more luck, we just might have another parade.
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I just rewatched Wednesday night’s game again to see if I still felt as strongly after a second viewing that the Lakers seriously have a potential championship team if they can continue to play like they did against the Pelicans. This team is going to be great.
I also believe they will make the top-6 teams by the end of the season by winning 16 or 17 out of the remaining 23 games (LeBron’s old number, by the way) to finish 43-39 or 44-38. If everybody can stay healthy, that should be a slam dunk, which is a huge upgrade from missing the playoffs before the trades.
When I look at what Rob accomplished at the trade deadline – swapping Westbrook, Beverley, Nunn, Bryant, Jones, Toscano-Anderson, and a lightly protected first round pick for D’Angelo Russell, Malik Beasley, Jarred Vanderbilt, Rui Hachimura, Mo Bamba, and Davon Reed, it’s an amazing extreme makeover.
I seriously believe this team has a legitimate chance to win the Lakers 18th NBA championship this season. Rob did a great job. Now it’s Darvin’s turn to get this team humming so they enter the playoffs directly peaking at the right time to win #18.
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2nd best defensive rating in league at 100.0 for their last game. Having two elite defenders in the starting lineup like Davis and Vando makes a huge difference. Bamba is also going to be huge protecting the rim for second unit. This team will be top-10 in both offense and defense, which is what you need to win a championship.
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I didn’t get to rewatch the game since I got rid of my league pass. But I have to admit I read this pobrably a 1000 times. That’s how much I enjoyed reading this post. Good job, Tom. I have been watching the Lakers on an online site for free. Not that am cheap like Jeanne Buss. Lol!!!
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Here's an updated Depth Chart and Basic stats recap for the New Look Lakers lineups. Recently traded for players are highlight in red.https://t.co/9KGprFsIaA pic.twitter.com/sn9N78WLHN
— LakerTom (@LakerTom) February 18, 2023
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Lakers Advanced Team Stats Last Game
10th in OffRtg of 118.8
2nd in DefRtg of 100.0
3rd in NetRtg of 18.8https://t.co/9KGprFsIaA pic.twitter.com/pgS7zzHYsO— LakerTom (@LakerTom) February 18, 2023
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Lakers Player Advanced Stats Last Game
OffRtg led by LeBron 128.3 and Dennis 125.6
DefRtg led by DLO 86.4 and Brown 87.8
NetRtg led by DLO 32.5 and AD 28.6 pic.twitter.com/7l4wJDl3x8— LakerTom (@LakerTom) February 18, 2023
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True but for the first time since the bubble, I think we we have the right players in the right positions. There will be setbacks and learning lessons and may not be enough time, but the chance is there and we just might be good enough to pull it off if LeBron and AD can remain healthy.
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Certainly a better shot than before the trades. Probably still too late. Just imagine if they’d have simply told Westbrook to stay home and would’ve won at least 5 more games to date. Could’ve made all the difference.
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Darvin did a near perfect job getting the team ready and making smart substitutions all night long. What impressed me most was our ability to hang close enough to then close out and win the game going away. Well done, Darvin.